7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

**Mr. IWS** · 07-17-2010, 11:41 AM

Re: 7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Larry Ness

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals Jul 17 2010 7:10PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Oak A's at 7:10 ET.
The A's opened the season 12-24 on the road but last night's 5-1 win at KC gives the team SIX wins in its last eight road games. It's helped that five of those wins have come over the Orioles, Indians and Royals but Oakland will take it. Expect Oakland to win again tonight in KC, as Trevor Cahill faces off vs Bruce Chen. Cahill had a solid rookie season in 2009 but wasn't called up from the minors this year until late April. He went 1-2 with a 4.37 ERA in his first four starts (team was 2-2) but has since gone 8-1 with a 2.49 ERA over his last 11 starts. The team is 9-2 in those games, losing only at home to the Yankees (and Sabathia) plus at Minnesota. Cahill has been particularly good on the road during this current stretch, going 4-0 (team is 5-0) with a 2.61 ERA in five away starts! Bruce Chen is a journeyman pitcher who has been around since 1999. This is his 10th team and really hadn't seen much action since going 13-10 (3.83 ERA) with Baltimore in 2005 until this season. He was 0-7 with a 6.93 ERA in 40 appearances (12 starts) in 2006 with Baltimore, made just five appearances for Texas in 2007, did not play in the majors in 2008 and then went 1-6 with a 5.78 ERA in 17 appearances (nine starts) for the Royals in 2009. He's made 18 appearances (eight starts) for the Royals this year with the team going 4-4 (4.01 ERA) in his eight starts. The Royals have lost four straight games (team ERA of 7.91 ERA during the slide) and now must count on Chen, who is coming off his shortest start of the season, allowing three ERs and six hits in 3.1 innings of an 8-2 loss to the White Sox on July 9. I don't think so. Expect Oakland to roll.

Good luck...Larry

**Mr. IWS** · 07-17-2010, 12:23 PM

Re: 7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 910 CIN (-125) BetUS vs 909 COL
Analysis: My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET.
One is beginning to get the feeling that things are starting to come together for the Cin Reds. They€ entered the All Star break in first place for the first time since 1995, which was the last time the team had made the postseason. Then last night, they opened the second half of the 2010 season by ending a nine-game losing streak to the Colorado Rockies with a 3-2 win. More good news (actually GREAT news!) comes in the fact that the team is getting Edinson Volquez (17-6 with a 3.21 ERA in 2008) back earlier than expected from elbow surgery. Volquez was limited to just nine starts in 2009, after he was the team's ace in 2008 (21-11 in his starts and an All Star appearance). Volquez has been on the DL recovering from Tommy John surgery but is set to make his first start of the year tonight against the Rockies. His last major league start came back on June 1, 2009 but Volquez "is ready," after going 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA in six minor league starts (teams were 6-0), posting a 28-8 KW ratio. He will get to pitch in front of a team which leads the NL in batting and has scored more runs than any team in the senior circuit. The Reds are 28-19 at home, where they are averaging a very healthy 5.34 RPG. Opposing Volquez will be Colorado lefty De La Rosa, who has had a spotty 2010 season. Here's a guy who opened the 2009 season 0-6 in his first 10 starts (team was 2-8) but then went 16-3 the rest of the way, as the Rockies won 18 of his final 22 starts (16-9 with a 4.38 ERA / team was 20-12). He opened this season 3-1 (3.21) but then went on the DL after tearing a tendon in the middle finger of his pitching hand on April 25. He's just returned but looked very rusty on July 9 at home vs the Padres (4.1 IP / 7 runs, 5 earned), getting a no decision in a 10-8 Colorado win. De La Rosa is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in eight career games (two starts) against the Reds and faces a team this year which is 10-5 at home vs lefties, including averaging 6.6 RPG in home night games vs left-handers. This is a PERFECT spot for Volquez to return. Reds win.

Good luck...Larry

**Mr. IWS** · 07-17-2010, 12:23 PM

Re: 7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Ben Burns | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 926 MIN (-150) Sportbet vs 925 CWS
Analysis: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The White Sox entered the series as the much hotter team and they grabbed Thursday's opener. The Twins bounced back with a solid 7-4 victory yesterday though. I expect the Twins to build some positive momentum from that victory and look for them to make it two in a row this evening.

Pavano goes for the Twins and he's been excellent lately. In fact, he's 5-0 with a 2.87 ERA in his last seven starts. For the season, he's 10-6 with a 3.58 ERA. Additionally, note that Pavano is 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA in six starts against Chicago.

Minnesota's Michael Cuddyer had this to say of Pavano, after his last start: "Carl has been our stopper so far this year. He went out there and did it again today."

Buehrle is also off a strong game and has also pi~tched well in recent weeks. He's 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA his last five starts at Minnesota though and he was mediocre (4 runs on 8 hits) when facing the Twins, at Chicago, back in April. Speaking of mediocre, he's just 8-7 on the season.

The Twins badly need to string together some victories. After yesterday's win, manager Ron Gardenhire noted: "We need to get on the right track. We've been floundering here for about a month. The crowds are coming out to support this baseball team, and we need to play a better brand of baseball for 'em. Tonight, hopefully that's a good start."

The Twins, who hit a lot better at home than the White Sox do on the road, have been excellent as home favorites in this range the past few seasons. They've also dominated the Sox, when the teams have met here at Minnesota. In fact, yesterday's victory brought the Twins to 15-5 the last 20 times that they were a host in this series. Behind another quality effort from Pavano, I expect them to build on those stats with another victory. *10

Ben Burns | MLB Total Sat, 07/17/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 925 CWS / 926 MIN Under 8.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: I'm playing on Chicago and Minnesota to finish UNDER the total. The first two games in this series have both been high-scoring. Thursday's opener saw 15 runs scored. Yesterday's game finished with 11. With both starters in excellent current form, I expect a much lower-scoring affair this evening.

Pavano has been outstanding recently. In fact, he's 5-0 with a 2.87 ERA in his last seven starts. For the season, he's 10-6 with a 3.58 ERA. He's averaged seven innings per start and has seen the UNDER go 10-7-1. Additionally, note that Pavano is 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA (0.96 WHIP!) in six starts against Chicago. The UNDER was 4-2 in those games, including a 3-2 affair earlier this season.

Minnesota's Michael Cuddyer had this to say of Pavano, after his last start: "Carl has been our stopper so far this year. He went out there and did it again today."

Buehrle checks in having gone 5-1 with a 2.23 ERA in his last six outings. Last time out, he tossed seven shutout innings. That one finished above the total but Buehrle has still seen the UNDER go 3-1 his last four starts. For the season, the UNDER is 6-3 in his nine road starts. Dating back to last season, the UNDER is now a profitable 12-3 in his last 15 road starts.

Even with the results of the last two days, the UNDER is still 8-2 the last 10 times that the Sox played here at Minnesota. The UNDER is also 5-2-2 the last nine times that the Twins faced a southpaw starter. I expect those stats to improve here. *8

7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

7-17-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

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