7-18-10 sunday

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  • spook
    Banned
    • Apr 2010
    • 13485

    #76
    Re: 7-18-10 sunday

    Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 4:05 PM

    dime bet 961 NYM (-115) Bodog vs 962 SFG
    Analysis: In the fourth game of the series, the Mets are in desperate need of a win to avoid a sweep. Six other times this season the Mets have needed a win in the final game of a series in order to avoid a sweep, and five out of six times they've got that win. This is simply a team that battles back. And while their offense is often times stagnant, especially on the road, they usually find one game to come together. Folks will certainly tell you this isn't that game, especially with Carlos Beltran likely sitting out due to rest, and Jose Reyes likely sitting out due to an Oblique injury. But I've confident in Pagan taking over center field, as he's been there almost all season anyways, and I'm confident in Ruben Tejada when it comes to his speed and defensive ability. Often times it's the days the stars are off the field that the team shines the most. The Mets know they need some production today, and with those two big names off the field, I expect their focus to be high.

    When it comes to pitching, Jonathan Sanchez has had a tough couple weeks coming into this game, and his past against the Mets is less than impressive. He's got an ERA in the mid 4 range against the Mets in his career, and with his stuff reeling a little bit, I think it's a good time to go off his bandwagon (even at home).

    On the other side, Johan couldn't be more of a different story. Santana has been absolutely lights out in his last two starts, and on top of it, Santana has gone 2-0 in his last four starts against the Giants.

    Classic case of two pitchers going in opposite directions. Santana is really finding his stride, and as we know, he can be one of the best pitchers in the majors when he's on. And Sanchez is losing his stride a little bit, which means walks and high pitch count. Expect Santana to pitch well, and expect this depleted Mets lineup to find a way to win the final game of the series, as they always do! Mets 1.5 units!

    Comment

    • spook
      Banned
      • Apr 2010
      • 13485

      #77
      Re: 7-18-10 sunday

      Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 2:15 PM

      double-dime bet 959 LOS (-136) Sportbet vs 960 STL
      Analysis: There isn't a ton of value in betting the Dodgers in this one, and due to time constraints, we need to keep this writeup nice and short, but suffice it to say that the Dodgers have dropped the first 3 in St. Louis, and we know Tony LaRussa likes to play for series wins more than he does for sweeps.


      I would expect the Cards to run out a somewhat disjointed lineup today against a red hot pitcher, in Padilla, who has zero issue pitching in hot, humid environments.


      Jeff Suppan, meanwhile, has been a total disaster this season, and I would strongly expect the Dodgers to score a few runs off him, and finally get to utilize that superior bullpen, for once.


      Play on LAD!






      Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 1:05 PM

      double-dime bet 969 TAM (+125) Bodog vs 970 NYY
      Analysis: This game should actually be quite good, but because I'm a firm believer that this is about as close to a "decided late" game as you can find on paper, grabbing the team getting a nice underdog price is a no-brainer!


      David Price has a very positive history against the Yankees, and he's been rolling almost the entire season. His effortless 97mph fastball continues to have great life, and his arm is showing zero signs of fatigue.


      Andy Pettitte is having a "fountain of youth" type season, but if you look back, his one truly BAD start came against these Rays, who, if you watched yesterday's game, are really playing with confidence in this series. They should have won the opener, but the emotional Yankees made a comeback; they stomped on New York last night, picking on a slightly injured A.J. Burnett, and the Yankees middle relievers; and today, the Rays will score just enough off Pettitte to hand another lead over to a very strong back end of a bullpen that this time won't blow it.


      Rays, as a dog, should take this one by the final score of 3-2, or 4-3. It's going to be a tight one, but at +125, we'll take it, even if we have to work for it.


      Play on Tampa!

      Comment

      • spook
        Banned
        • Apr 2010
        • 13485

        #78
        Re: 7-18-10 sunday

        Picktherightbet<< John Gains 7/18

        Tex/Bos Under 8.5 is the play

        Comment

        • spook
          Banned
          • Apr 2010
          • 13485

          #79
          Re: 7-18-10 sunday

          Logical pick

          Pick Today is Cincinnati Reds.
          The game is on at 12:00 PM EST.

          72.9% Win Probability
          This is a solid play. Our sim shows this line should be -185....This is a strong play. Would even take the -1.5 on run line
          Over/Under:
          Spread: -1.5
          Moneyline: -132

          Comment

          • spook
            Banned
            • Apr 2010
            • 13485

            #80
            Re: 7-18-10 sunday

            ASA NL GOY

            ASA MLB - PLAY ON N.L. GAME OF THE YEAR 9* San Diego (Correia) -130 over Arizona (Jackson)

            Comment

            • spook
              Banned
              • Apr 2010
              • 13485

              #81
              Re: 7-18-10 sunday

              PowerPlayWins - Simple, profitable handicapping!

              Today's Power Play of The Day is
              Our money management plan is very simple:
              We play each Power Play at equal unit value.



              Sport: MLB

              New York Mets(-108) Over
              San Francisco Giants
              Pitcher: Santana
              Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

              Comment

              • spook
                Banned
                • Apr 2010
                • 13485

                #82
                Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                John Morrison's pick(s) for July 18 2010

                <MLB Baseball> Philadelphia -165 This game is against Chicago Cubs at 8:05 PM ET

                Comment

                • spook
                  Banned
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 13485

                  #83
                  Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                  VEGAS EXPERTS

                  Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

                  Cincy’s Travis Wood will make his fourth major league start today. He has been very good so far allowing just five runs through his first three starts. The Reds average 5.3 runs per game at home. We have found two terrific systems supporting a play on Cincinnati. Play against road teams (COLORADO) where team's hitters strike out 7 or more times/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This system has cashed 66% of the time over the last five seasons. Play on home teams (CINCINNATI) cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent hot hitting team batting .300 or better over their last 15 games. This system has cashed 67% (54-27) of the time over the last five seasons. Take Cincinnati

                  Play on: Cincinnati Reds

                  Comment

                  • spook
                    Banned
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 13485

                    #84
                    Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                    Bob Balfe

                    Florida Marlins -143

                    If the Marlins want to make a run in the NL East, it has to start now against bad teams. Washington is horrible on the road and I do not think they have much success against Florida at all in this series, especially today with the pitching matchup. Take the Marlins.

                    Comment

                    • spook
                      Banned
                      • Apr 2010
                      • 13485

                      #85
                      Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                      Teddy Covers

                      Reds

                      DBacks/Padres Over 7.5

                      Comment

                      • spook
                        Banned
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 13485

                        #86
                        Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                        Mike Lineback

                        Cardinals

                        Comment

                        • rhg111
                          Junior Member
                          • Sep 2009
                          • 29

                          #87
                          Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                          NO ATS YET?? 7-1 SINCE BREAK

                          Comment

                          • spook
                            Banned
                            • Apr 2010
                            • 13485

                            #88
                            Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                            Originally posted by rhg111
                            NO ATS YET?? 7-1 SINCE BREAK
                            not yet man..try to get it for ya!!

                            Comment

                            • spook
                              Banned
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 13485

                              #89
                              Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                              DWAYNE BRYANT

                              MLB Total - Sunday, Jul 18 2010 1:05PM
                              969 TAM / 970 NYY UNDER 8.5 Bodog single-dime bet

                              Analysis: 1 Unit Play
                              Price & Pettitte MUST START
                              We have two dominant lefties on the mound at Yankee Stadium today. David Price has NASTY stuff and even the powerful Yankees lineup has had trouble hi tting him. In four career starts against the Yankees, Price owns a 2.39 ERA and he hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of those contests. Only A-rod (.308 with a HR in 13 AB) and Swisher (.286 with a HR in 7 AB) have had any decent success against Price.
                              Andy Pettitte has been just as tough this season. He has also given up three runs or less in 6 of his last 9 starts against the Rays. The Rays did hammer Pettitte for 7 runs (6 earned) and 9 hits (3 HR) in just 5 innings at Yankee Stadium back in May, but I think that outing just serves as added motivation for Pettitte today. The Yankees bullpen pitched 7 innings yesterday, so Joe Girardi will ride Pettitte as long as he can. I really expect Pettitte to come up big for the Bombers today.
                              Bottom line: I expect solid performances by both Price and Pettitte this afternoon. I don't expect either to give up more than 3 runs and I wouldn't be surprised to see both go 7 innings. This game could go either way, but I see a 4-3 final score no matter who wins. Go UNDER.

                              Comment

                              • spook
                                Banned
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 13485

                                #90
                                Re: 7-18-10 sunday

                                AL DeMARCO
                                Sunday's Plays

                                10 Dime play on the Astros and Oswalt over Pittsburgh and Maholm. Both scheduled starters must go for their respective teams or this play would be voided. As I release this selection at 5:30 AM Pacific, Houston is -145 in Las Vegas and offshore.

                                10 Dime play on the Red Sox and Lester over Texas and Wilson. In this case, just specify Lester against any Texas entry. The Red Sox are -150 as I release this selection.

                                10 Dime play on the Angels and Santana over Seattle and Vargas. Again, list both pitchers. At this time, the Angels are -150 as I check Vegas and offshore.

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