7-19-10 monday

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

randall the handle MLB

BALTIMORE +1.70 over Tampa Bay
Play: Baltimore +1.70

Chicago –1 +1.12 over SEATTLE
Play: Chicago –1 +1.12

Toronto –1½ +1.19 over KANSAS CITY
Play: Toronto –1½ +1.19

Houston +1.56 over CHICAGO
Play: Houston +1.56

Philadelphia +1.15 over ST. LOUIS
Play: Philadelphia +1.15

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

jeff benton monday

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0-2 yesterday for minus 35 dimes or minus $440...overall, 78-93-3 MINUS 275 dimes..

current streak is a losing streak 0-4..since the all-star break. 1-5.

Tuesday's Action 30 DIME selection on the Detroit Tigers at home in a virtual pick-em spot agaanst the Rangers. As I publish this release, the Tigers are laying about -115 acreoss the board. Note that you must list the Tigers’ Jeremy Bonderman and the Rangers’ Scott Feldman as the staroing pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!


Tigers

I know the Rangers are riding high after just taking three of four at Fenway Park over the weekend to improve to 12-3 in their last 15 road games. And I know the Tigers are licking their wounds after getting swept in a four-game series at crappy Cleveland, giving them five straight losses going back to the Sunday prior to the All-Star break.

Still, to be getting Detroit at home – where it is 32-13 this season, including 17-3 in its last 20 – and with the superior starting pitcher on the hill (Jeremy Bonderman vs. Texas’ Scott Feldman) is a massive bargain that I can’t let slip by.

Yes, Bonderman has strugaled over the past month, giving up 18 runs in his last four starts covering just 22 1/3 innings. But he’s still got a 4.79 ERA for the season, which is certainly better than Feldman’s 5.32 ERA. And like his team, Bonderman has been strong at home all season, going 3-3 with a 3.63 ERA in eight starts (Detroit won five of those eight games). By compareison, Feldman is 3-5 with a 5.94 ERA on the road (and going back to last season, the Rangers have dropped eight of Feldman’s last 11 road starts).

Back on April 26, Bonderman faced the Rangers in Texas – a brutal pitcher’s park, as you know – and he led the Tigers to an 8-6 victory, giving up four runs in 5 2/3 innings. So Detroit is 5-2 in Bonderman’s seven career starts against the Rangers. On the flip side, Feldman has faced the Rangers once in each of the last three seasons – all at home – and Texas lost all three games, with Feldman posting a 9.75 ERA. That includes an 8-4 loss on April 24 this season, with Feldman giving up eight runs in 3 2/3 innings.

One more point to make about Feldman: He flat-out stinks against quality opponents, as Texas has lost his last seven starts against teams with a winning record.

Finally, get a load of this: The Rangers have dropped 11 consecutive games at Comerica Park, and they have just four wins in the last 14 meetings overall against Detroit!

Bottom line: Texas’ strong performance at Boston last weekend was quite deceiving, as the Red Sox were without a bunch of injured starters, including Dustin Pedroia, Victor Martinez and Jacoby Elsbury (all on the DL). And their recent 12-3 run on the road is also misleading, as eight of those wins came in interloague play versus the Astros, Marlins and Brewers, three teams way under .500. At the same time, there’s been nothing fluky about the Tigers’ success in Motown, where they’ve won 17 of their last 20.

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

The Duke's Sports

Oakland (-110) for 2 Units

We're going to look for the A's to win their sixth straight behind Ben Sheets. Sheets, has been a dominant home pitcher at home since his early days in Milwaukee. The A's are 4-1 as a home favorite with him on the mound, and he is currently in good form (2.79 ERA last 3 starts). On the other hand, Matsuzaka has shown some good stuff on the road (one of reasons for "under"), but with injuries to key Red Sox hitters, we don't feel the run support for him will be there. Boston is batting just .229 this month vs righties; moreover, they're 3-7 on the road vs righty starters. And with the Red Sox at 1-6 in Matsuzakas last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in previous game, we'll look for the A's to continue their winning surge.

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

Redd 7/19 1st ever 75-dime underdog play of his career.

He's on AZ -1.5 today at +165 to +175...Take it how you wish...
__________________

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

Black Widow
Free play

1* on Chicago White Sox -113

The White Sox blew a 3-run lead in the 9th yesterday to lose to the TWins 6-7, and lost the series 1-3. A series with the Mariners starting Monday will get Chicago right back on the winning track. Seattle is 2-9 in their last 11 games overall, and 1-7 in their last 8 home games. The White Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Chicago is 26-8 in their last 34 games overall. Take the White Sox on the Money Line.

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

Hollywood Sports
Free play

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

Ian Kennedy represents the Diamondbacks on the mound with his 4-7 record that accompanies his 4.12 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. But Kennedy has been much better at home this season as evidenced by his 3.46 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and .212 opponent's batting average home split stat stats. He faces off against Mike Pelfrey who sports a 10-4 record with a 3.58 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. But Pelfrey has really struggled of late as he possesses a 10.15 ERA and whopping 3.08 WHIP over his last three starts. Pelfrey also has not been nearly as effective on the road given his 4.17 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .314 opponent's batting average when away from Citi Field. Pelfrey had his Friday start pushed back after straining his neck sleeping on the plane which just places another question mark regarding his potential effectiveness going forward.

Additionally, there is an underlying sabermetric statistic we find intriguing that favors Mazzaro over Bannister in this contest: Batting Average for line-drive Balls put Into Play (LD BABIP). Line-drives typically are the result of the batter winning the "hitter-versus-pitcher" battle since the typical goal for a batter is to produce line-drive contact with the baseball. Hitters also have the most control in placing their line-drives (as opposed to groundballs or flyballs) in areas where there is open space for base hits. The MLB average for line-drives that go for base hits is typically in the .715-.730 range. Kennedy has a low .683 LD BABIP this season which is encouraging regarding his overall efforts this season. Comparatively, Pelfrey sports a .716 LD BABIP which is just below the league average but not nearly as impressive as Kennedy's number.The importance for sabermetric statistics like this is that it exposes a deeper picture regarding the expected future performances of starting pitchers. Most bettors evaluate pitchers based on a starters Won-Loss record and ERA. By analyzing statistics like LD BABIP, we get a better sense of why a pitcher has a certain W-L record or ERA which produces a more sophisticated perspective regarding evaluating this pitcher's future.

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

rhg111 this is for you my friend!! gl..spook..


ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Detroit Tigers , -120 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* San Francisco Giants, +105 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

KELSO

10 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies, +115 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Colorado Rockies, Under 7
3 UNIT* MLB* Milwaukee Brewers, -115 ML

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Milwaukee v. Pittsburgh 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game ev
PICK: Milwaukee ML -114 Game Best bet of the day#1

Colorado v. Florida 7:10pm
PICK: Marlins ML +140 Game Best bet of the day #2

Washington v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Reds RL (-1.5) Game +115

NY v. Arizona 9:40pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game ev

Chicago v. Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: Mariners ML +103 Game

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

SPORTSLOTTERY
*** TOP PLAY*** Detroit Tigers ML

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

808 SPORTS PICKS
1 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 -110
1 UNIT Chicago Cubs -1.5 +140

[rhg111]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

rhg111 this is for you my friend!! gl..spook.
you're spoiling me spook--they are on a nice run now.
thanks--BOL.



ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Detroit Tigers , -120 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* San Francisco Giants, +105 ML

[harley1]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

syndicate sharps?

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

Capri Sports - Paradise Play:
Cincinnati Reds RL -1.5

[spook]

Re: 7-19-10 monday

executive 250-oak