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Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BUSH, D vs. (R) LINCOLN, B
Play: Milwaukee (ML -122)
If the Brewers could limit their schedule to play just the Pirates, they would be a juggernaut. The Monday night win by Milwaukee means they have now defeated the Bucs in 43 of their last 58 meetings, which is pretty remarkable. I like the road team's chances of extending that dominance tonight. Dave Bush is on a surprising roll for the Brewers, tossing six consecutive quality starts and he should have little trouble handling a Pittsburgh squad that is beyond dismal against opposing right handers. Brad Lincoln is a promising starter for the Pirates, but he's been mostly mediocre in his first trip around the majors, and I would expect him to have some problems with a potent Brewers attack tonight. It's never that tough to pull the trigger against the Pirates when the price is reasonable, and that's the case here, so make Milwaukee the play.
Matchup: Boston at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) WAKEFIELD, T vs. (L) BRADEN, D
Play: Boston (ML +112) SOLID GOLD PLAY
Dallas Braden shocked the baseball world with his perfect game earlier this season. Ever since, it's been all downhill for the lefty. Braden is 0-5 following the perfecto, and the A's are 0-8 as a team when Braden starts. Now add in the fact that he's just off the DL and prospects for a good night by Braden seem very limited. Tim Wakefield is hardly reliable for the Red Sox. But the old knuckleballer has enjoyed quite a bit of success in this ballpark and while they're still shorthanded with injuries, Boston is the better team and I'm surprised to see them installed as dogs tonight. This looks like an excellent value spot at the price, and I'm backing the Red Sox to get a second straight win against the A's.
The Mets were blown out last night in the opener of this series as Mike Pelfrey once again was hit hard. It was the fourth loss in five games for New York since the All-Star break but it should be able to recover tonight and get the offense moving in the right direction. The Mets have averaged only 2.0 rpg during this five-game stretch but to their credit they have faced some tough pitching. That changes tonight. Arizona snapped a four-game losing streak with the victory last night so it is not playing much better right now. The difference is that the Diamondbacks has been struggling all season long and they have won consecutive games only once since mid-June and three times since the end of May. They are 15-34 over their last 49 games since winning a season-high four straight games from May 19-22. R.A. Dickey looks to stop the bleeding and he has done a phenomenal job this season for someone whose expectations were very low. He has a 2.62 ERA on the season and in 11 starts, he has thrown nine quality outings so he is obviously keeping the Mets around most of the time. He is winless in his last four starts which is far from his fault as run support have been the biggest issue but he should be able to get some tonight. Barry Enright will be making his fourth start of the season tonight and while the previous three have been decent, there has been nothing special. He has been unable to go deep into games and that means the Diamondbacks bullpen will come into play. That is not good as the ERA of the pen is 6.70 which is easily the worst in baseball. Arizona is 6-24 against N.L. starters with an Era of 3.50 or better this season while the Mets are 14-4 in their last 18 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 3* New York Mets
Mets knuckle baller R. A. Dickey has allowed 3 runs or less 8 of his 11 starts. New York is 8-2 their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and they are 14-4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. The Mets are 4-0 with Dickey in his last 4 starts. Arizona starter Barry Enright. Since the he has lost his last 2 starts. The Diamondbacks are 20-43 their last 63 games overall and they are 14-39 their last 53 games as underdogs. PLAY ON NY METS - (Dickey vs. Enright)
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