7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

**Mr. IWS** · 07-23-2010, 10:57 AM

Re: 7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Ben Burns CFL

8* HAMILTON (+8 or better)
Game: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes Game Time: 7/22/2010 7:35:00 PM Prediction: Hamilton Tiger-Cats Reason: I'm taking the points with HAMILTON. The Alouettes dominated the Eastern Conference for several seasons and they did so again last year. They've gotten off to a strong start again this season. They've gone 2-1 but all three of those games came on the road, against Western Conference opponents. So, 2-1 was pretty fair. After making big strides last season and then getting even stronger in the offseason, the Ti-Cats expected and hoped to be the team that challenged Montreal in the East this season. After they got blown out in Week 1, a lot of people were quick to jump off the bandwagon. Still more abandoned ship when they lost a nailbiter vs. a good Calgary team - the one Western Conference opponent which the Als have yet to play. The Ticats didn't hang their heads though. Instead, they bounced back with a 28-7 destruction of Winnipeg, avenging their opening loss in convincing fashion. This is a team which has gotten better and better each week. The Ticats defense is improved from last season and is coming off a great game. The offense was already potent last season and should be again last season. The Ticats dominated in all facets of the game last week, holding the Bombers scoreless into the fourth quarter. They finished with a 435 to 290 advantage in total yards and a 33-16 edge in first downs. That was arguably more impressive than any of Montreal's games, all of which have been decided in the fourth quarter. Admittedly, the Ticats haven't had much success against the Als in recent years. However, they've also been a bad team for a long time. They're a lot better now and their most recent game with the Als - last October - gave reason to believe that they're capable of going toe-to-toe with the champs. That game, which was played here at Montreal, was decided by just three points. Yes, the Als will be fired up for their home opener. It's also their first game off a 3-game Western Conference road trip though, which can be a difficult spot. As mentioned, the Als have been involved in three very close games. Two were decided by four points or less and the third was decided by 10 - however, the Als were losing that one in the fourth quarter and ran back a late interception for a touchdown. Including the cover here last October, the Ticats are a profitable 9-2 ATS the last 11 times that they were getting points. They're also 11-5 ATS the last 16 times that they were underdogs of greater than eight points. Loaded with confidence from last week's blowout win and determined to prove that they can compete in the East this season, I look for the Ticats to give their hosts a tougher game than many will be expecting. *8

9* EDMONTON (pk or better)
Game: Edmonton Eskimos vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Game Time: 7/24/2010 6:30:00 PM Prediction: Edmonton Eskimos Reason: I'm playing on EDMONTON. I've successfully played against the Blue Bombers in back to back games. I think this will be another good spot to do so. The Bombers earned an impressive victory in their opening game. That instantly raised expectations for the season. However, the fact is that the Bombers weren't that good last season and that they made numerous changes during the offseason. Naturally, the Bombers will be anxious to get back on track. The Eskimos should also be extremely motivated though. That's because they check in with a 0-3 record. They could easily have a 2-1 record though. They lost their first game, vs. BC. Their next two games both came against last year's Grey Cup Finalists, Montreal and Saskatchewan. In both cases, the Eskimos let a lead slip away in the fourth quarter. Still, they've been right there against a pair of this year's elite teams. That's a lot tougher schedule that Winnipeg has had to contend with. The Bombers split vs. Hamilton and lost, at home, vs. the Argos - a team which practically never wins on the road. While Edmonton has been "right there" in each game, the Bombers got crushed in last week's game, which was their first road game of the season. They were outgained by a 435 to 290 margin, in terms of total yards. They managed only 16 first downs, while allowing 33. Additionally, they possessed the ball for just 23 minutes to Hamliton's 37. Speaking of Winnipeg, note that the Bombers are expected to be without starting QB Buck Pierce. Pierce was knocked out of the last game which means Steven Jyles will likely get the nod. Jyles was solid in relief last week. However, that was when the game was pretty much out of hand. I believe that Pierce currently provides them with a better chance to win and I expect him to be missed here. The Eskimos are 7-4-1 the last 12 meetings in the series. Desperate to earn a victory and catching the Bombers without Pierce, I expect the Eskimos to improve on those stats by scoring the minor upset here. *9

10* ( CALGARY (-3 or better)
Game: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Calgary Stampeders Game Time: 7/24/2010 9:30:00 PM Prediction: Calgary Stampeders Reason: I'm playing on CALGARY. I successfully played against both of these teams last week. Both were favored. Saskatchewan won but didn't cover. Calgary lost outright, at Toronto. The Stampeders were on the wrong side of a fourth quarter comeback. The Riders were on the right side of one. Those results have worked in our favor here. For starters, they've kept the Riders as the league's lone undefeated team. That's forced the oddsmakers to give us a little better line on Calgary than we normally would have gotten. Additionally, those results should have the Stampeders highly motivated to bounce back with a victory. Of course, the Stampeders' real motivation comes from the fact that the Riders knocked them out of the playoffs last season. The Stamps were the defending Grey Cup champs and the Riders took that away from them. Note that Calgary had a 381-338 edge in total yards in that game, which was at Saskatchewan. Last week, when playing against the Stampeders, I noted that they were playing on a very short week and with less rest than their opponent. This week, the Stamps are the team which is playing with more rest. As a result of last week's game occurring on a Wednesday, the Stamps now find themselves with 10 days between games. That extra preparation figures to have come at a good time. Not only were the Stamps off back to back nailbiters but this is a huge 'revenge' game vs. an undefeated team. While this is arguably the biggest game on Calgary's entire regular season schedule, the Riders have already played theirs - their Week 1 Grey Cup rematch vs. Montreal. Obviously, they want to keep their undefeated record in tact. That said, they may not be quite as 'hungry' as the Stamps. Already 1-0 SU/ATS here this season, the Stamps are now 14-2-1 SU and 11-6 ATS their last 17 games here. While they were 0-1-1 against the Riders here last season (scores were 24-23 and 44-44) the Stamps are still 11-7-1 the last 19 series meetings here. Playing at home and loaded with motivation, I expect the Stamps to hand the Riders their first loss. *10

**Mr. IWS** · 07-23-2010, 12:10 PM

Re: 7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 928 OAK (-140) Sportbet vs 927 CWS
Analysis: My 10* Pitching Mismatch of the Month is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET.
The White Sox won 25 of 30 games heading into the break and the team's July 11 win gave them a half-game lead in the AL Central, for the first time all season. The White Sox remain in first place as of this morning (two games up on both the Tigers and Twins), although the team has gone just 3-4 since the break. Chicago lost three of four at Minnesota before taking two of three at Seattle, and now concludes its 10-game road trip with three games in Oakland. The A's will likely not catch the Rangers (trail by 7 1/2 games) in the AL West but they won their final two games before the break (over the Angels) and have won five of six since, giving them SEVEN wins in their last eight games (have outscored opponents 52-25). The White Sox have won two of three games in Oakland in each of the last two seasons but for most of the decade have struggled when visiting the Bay Area. Chicago lost 27 of 33 road games against the A’s from 2001-2007! Making matters worse is that Mark Buehrle, who has pitched well during Chicago's recent "rebirth" (he's 5-2 with a 2.42 ERA in his last seven starts, evening his record at 8-8 on the year), has been just AWFUL in his career vs the A's. He is a WOEFUL 3-12 with a 4.11 ERA in 20 career starts against the A’s, with the White Sox going 4-16 (an 80% "go-against!"). That includes an 0-6 record here in Oakland with a 4.95 ERA in 10 career starts! Trevor Cahill went 10-13 with 4.63 ERA as a rookie but opened the 2010 season on the DL. He was sent to the minors in mid-April from some rehab work and was called up on April 30 to make his first start. He's gone 9-3 with a 3.19 ERA in 16 starts (team is 12-4) and was a member of the AL All Star team this year. When he gets his 10th win (I'm counting on that happening right here!), he'll join Tim Hudson as the only A’s to earn at least 10 victories in each of their first two seasons (pretty good company). While the team is 7-2 in his road starts and a more modest 5-2 in his home starts, note that his road ERA is 4.07, compared to a home ERA of 2.14! Buehrle's 'nightmare in Oakland' continues!

Good luck...Larry

**Mr. IWS** · 07-23-2010, 12:10 PM

Re: 7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular

Ben Burns | MLB Total Fri, 07/23/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 927 CWS / 928 OAK Under 7.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: I'm playing on Oakland and Chicago to finish UNDER the total. These teams have seen the UNDER go 13-6-1 the last 20 times that they have faced each other. This figures to be another well-pitched affair.

Cahill is having a very strong season. He checks in at 9-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He's been particularly dominant here at Oakland. Indeed, he's 5-1 with a 2.14 ERA in seven starts here. Opposing hitters are batting only .206 against him overall and just .200 here at home. In his last home start, Cahill limited the Angels to a single unearned run through seven innings, earning a 5-2 victory.

Buehrle's season stats are still fairly mediocre. He's 8-8 with a 4.18 ERA on the season. However, he's been much better than that lately.

Indeed, he's 5-2 with a 2.42 ERA in his last seven starts and 3-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his last five on the road.

For the season, Buehrle has seen the UNDER go 7-3 on the road. Meanwhile, Cahill has seen the UNDER go 6-0-1 at home.

Both starting pitchers are supported by solid bullpens. Chicago relievers have a combined 3.04 ERA on the road. Oakland relievers have a combined 2.79 ERA (1.129 WHIP) at home.

The White Sox have seen the UNDER go 36-18-1 the last 55 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the +125 to +150 range, including 9-2 their last 11 in that role. Meanwhile, the A's have seen the UNDER go 30-19-4 the past few seasons, when listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range.

The A's typically don't score all that many runs vs. southpaws. They're averaging only 4.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters, down slightly from their overall average. They've seen the UNDER go 15-9-1 their last 25 against southpaw starters and 73-49-6 the past few seasons. Given Cahill's commanding stats here, I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *10

7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

7-23-10 requested tout's here, all other's go in regular's

Comment

Comment

Comment