7-25-10

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Re: 7-25-10

Arthur Ralph Sports

486 - 356 run 58 %
Free play Sun Atl Braves -150

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Re: 7-25-10

Dave Cokin Comp
(919) TAMPA BAY RAYS
(920) CLEVELAND INDIANS
Take "(919) TAMPA BAY RAYS"

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Re: 7-25-10

JIM FEIST COMP
(905) SAN DIEGO PADRES
(906) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Take "(905) SAN DIEGO PADRES"
The NL West leading Padres are playing great ball, having now won seven of their last nine games after Saturday's 9-2 drubbing of the Pirates. It's still baffles most people how the Padres have the NL's best record with a team with no power and a team .253 bating average. Good pitching must beat good hitting since the Padres are doing this with a top NL staff and bullpen. Sure, the Padres have scored 14 runs in the first two games of this series, but they did this by only getting two runs on one extra base hit. Meanwhile, the Pirates lost their third game in a row and for the 11th time in the last 15. San Diego will start Wade LeBlanc who is 4-8 this season with a 3.28 ERA. Despite having eight losses, LeBlanc has not given up more than four earned runs in any of his last 10 starts while holding opponents to one run or less in four of those starts. Brad Lincoln gets the start for the Bucs with a 1-3 record, 6.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Lincoln was hit hard last time out, allowing seven earned runs and nine hits in just 2 1/3 innings to the Brewers. I don't like laying this heavy of a price on the road, but when you have such a difference in pitching, you know you will always be in this game with the Padres. I'm taking San Diego here as they continue their great play.

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Re: 7-25-10

Chuck O'Brien Comp

The Dodgers came through in 13 innings to cash Saturday’s FREE winner. Sunday’s complimentary selection comes from Houston, as I’ll play the Reds as a slight favorite against the Astros.

One of the reasons I used Cincinnati as my 30 Dime top play on Saturday was the fact that it completely owns Houston. With last night’s rout, the Reds are now 16-2 in the last 18 meetings, including 7-1 this year. They’ve also won five straight games at Minute Maid Park. And none of these contests have been very close, with the Reds’ last nine victories in this rivalry coming by scores of 10-4, 10-4, 6-2, 6-4, 4-2, 15-6, 12-2, 6-4 and 7-0.

Reds rookie Mike Leake has faced the Astros twice this season and allowed just one run in 13 innings, winning 6-4 in Houston and getting a no-decision in the Reds’ 2-0 home loss (the only game Cincy has dropped to the Astros this year). Leake is coming off a strong start against the Nationals, as he was rolling through five innings (one run, five hits allowed) before a long rain delay ended his night. Also, the right-hander has displayed a ton of poise on the road, going 3-0 with a 2.66 ERA in seven starts (including that 6-4 victory in Houston on April 28).

So why not use Leake and Cincinnati as a premium play once more today? Only one reason, and that’s Astros lefty Wandy Rodriguez. He’s turned his season around in the last month, although he did get hit around pretty good at Wrigley Field on Monday (five runs in six innings). However, the Astros handed him a 7-0 first-inning lead and cruised to an 11-5 victory, so they’re 4-1 in Rodriguez’s last five starts. That said, Rodriguez got tattooed by Cincinnati back on May 28, giving up eight runs in 3 1/3 innings, falling 15-6 on the road.

The Reds are 6-2 in their last eight games against southpaw starters, 51-20 in their last 71 against teams with a losing record and 26-9 in their last 35 on the road versus losing teams. On the flip side, Houston has lost six straight games on Sunday and six of eight as a home underdog.
3? CINCINNATI (LISTING LEAKE ONLY)

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Re: 7-25-10

POINTSPREAD LIGHTNING

Sundays free play is the Phillies.

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Re: 7-25-10

CONSENSUS AMERICA

Sundays free play is the Reds

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Re: 7-25-10

Gorans winners

Werder Bremen - Santander
Werder Bremen -0,75 ASIAn Hcp

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Re: 7-25-10

BIG AL COMP

At 1:35 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Colorado Rockies and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total. The struggling Phillies, who are just 4-6 in their last 10 games heading into Sunday's action, hope to get a well-needed boost from the return of lefthander J.A. Happ to the rotation this afternoon. Happ, who finished second last year in the NL Rookie of the Year balloting, has been out since April with an injury in his throwing elbow and he will no doubt be welcomed back by the home crowd today at Citizens Bank Park. The only problem is, Happ is being rushed back to the rotation because of an injury to Jamie Moyer and the truth is that the Phils would have preferred that Happ continue his rehab assignment in the minors for a while longer. Even though they don't really think he's ready, they are forced to go with him today against a Rockies team that's had some struggles of their own lately. Fellow southpaw Jeff Francis got a well-needed quality start last time out, but he'll have to have a few more before anyone thinks he's back to his best form as he'd really been struggling prior to shutting out the Marlins last Tuesday. In his three prior starts, Francis had allowed 16 runs in just 12 innings and although this is his first start of 2010 against Phily, he's struggled against them in the past, with just one win in four career starts with an ugly 7.59 ERA. Runs have been plentiful in Francis' starts, as none of his last four outings have resulted in less than 10 total runs. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

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Re: 7-25-10

Sunday, July 25

Hot pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
-- Leake is 2-0, 4.19 in his last three starts. WRodriguez is 4-1, 3.38 in his last five outings.
-- Dodgers are 5-0 in Kershaw day starts (3-0, 2.01).
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts. Enright has a 2.66 RA in his first four big league starts.
-- Carpenter is 2-0, 1.13 in his last couple starts.

-- O'Sullivan beat Bronx 10-2 Tuesday, allowing two runs in six IP for Angels (85 PT) before getting traded to Royals Thursday. That was his only big league start this season. He is 5-2, 5.15 in 11 big league starts.
-- Cecil is 1-0, 2.33 in his last three starts. Litsch has 2.84 RA in his last couple starts.
-- WDavis is 2-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- White Sox won first two DHudson starts (1-0, 5.06) scoring 21 runs.
-- Texas is 8-1 when Hunter starts (7-0, 2.41).

Cold pitchers
-- Happ is making first start since April 15; he was 1-0, 0.87 in his first two '10 starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-3, 6.70 in eight starts this season. LeBlanc is 0-4, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad is 0-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Bush is 1-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Mets lost last five Dickey starts (2.57 RA in last two).
-- Cubs won last three Dempster starts, scoring 34 runs; he has a 6.65 RA in his last four outings.

-- Hughes has 6.69 RA in his last six starts.
-- Masterson is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Bonderman has a 7.48 RA in his last five starts. Galarraga has a 6.67 RA in his last five starts.
-- Slowey is 0-0, 7.80 in his last three starts (Twins lost all three).
-- Braden is 0-3, 5.97 in his last six starts.
-- Fister is 0-5, 5.51 in his last eight starts.
-- TBell is 2-3, 7.94 in 23 games, making four starts LY; he was 2-0 in six AAA starts this year, with a 3.00 ERA. He is grandson of the guy who played Bozo the Clown on TV in the Chicago area for years.

Totals
-- Three of last four St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Francis starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine San Diego games.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Florida home games stayed under the total; seven of last nine Atlanta games went over. .
-- Over is 13-6 in last nineteen Lincecum starts.

-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Five of last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Baltimore games.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Cleveland games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Detroit games.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Texas games.
-- Three of last four Fister home starts went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- Phillies won last three games, outscoring foes 18-2.
-- Pirates are 9-6 in their last fifteen home games. Padres won seven of their last nine games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten games overall. Braves won five of their last seven road games.
-- Reds won six of their last nine games.
-- Brewers won their last five games at Miller Park.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 17 games.

-- Blue Jays are 5-2 since the All-Star break.
-- Twins won three of last four games, allowing five runs.
-- Indians won ten of their last thirteen home games.
-- Bronx won 13 of its last 17 games.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost last three games, after winning previous eight.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Nationals are 5-19 in last twenty-four road games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five home games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games. Mets are 5-14 in their last 19 games on road.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Rays are 1-18 in their last 19 games in Cleveland.
-- Angels lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- White Sox are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Red Sox are 8-12 in their last twenty road games. Mariners lost 17 of their last 21 games.

Umpires
-- StL-Chi-- Six of last seven Davidson games went over the total.
-- Col-Phil-- Four of last five Reyburn games went over the total.
-- NY-LA-- Home side won nine of last ten Demuth games.
-- SD-Pitt-- Four of last five Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Hst-- Eight of last nine Layne games stayed under total.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Last four Meals games went over the total.
-- Atl-Fla-- Six of last nine Cederstrom games stayed under total.
-- SF-Az-- Home side won 10 of last 12 Foster games.

-- KC-NY-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Fairchild games.
-- Chi-A's-- Underdog is 6-3 (+$356) in last nine Hirschbeck games.
-- Min-Balt-- Road team won four of last five Emmel games.
-- TB-Clev-- Five of last seven Johnson games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Det-- Five of last six Gorman games went over the total. Dogs are 12-4 in last sixteen Randazzo games.
-- LA-Tex-- Last seven Gibson games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Sea-- Four of last five Estabrook games stayed under total.

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Re: 7-25-10

TRENDS

1:05 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
No trends available
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

1:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Kansas City is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games
NY Yankees are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. FLORIDA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

1:35 PM
COLORADO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:35 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BALTIMORE
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Baltimore is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:35 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Diego is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

2:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing Cincinnati

2:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:33 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets

4:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Chi White Sox are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games
Oakland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

4:10 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Seattle is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home

4:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Arizona is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home

6:05 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Toronto is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,on the road
Detroit is 2-8-1 SU in its last 11 games ,
Detroit is 5-9-1 SU in its last 15 games ,when playing Toronto

8:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road
Texas is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
St. Louis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

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Re: 7-25-10

Jimmy Boyd

FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -145
Expect the Red Sox to bounce back strong following Saturday's defeat. Seattle hasn't won back-to-back games in nearly a month. The Mariners have lost 16 of their last 20 overall and 11 of their 13 at home. They are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The M's send Fister to the mound today, and it is certainly worth noting that they are 0-4 in his last 4 starts and 1-6 in his last 7 home starts. For Boston, Matsuzaka has pitched a pair of gems in back-to-back wins at Toronto and Oakland. Looking back, the Red Sox are 14-3 in Matsuzaka's last 17 starts as a road favorite, 4-0 in Matsuzakas last 4 starts vs. the American League West and 8-2 in his last 10 Sunday starts. Take the Red Sox in this bounce back spot.

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Re: 7-25-10

VEGAS EXPERTS

Boston at Seattle

The Red Sox send Dice K to the hill today and the Sox righty is rounding into shape. In his last three starts he's posted a respectable 3.57 ERA with all of those outings on the road. Seattle starts Fister and although he's posted decent numbers on the season he's been struggling of late with a 5.09 ERA and 0-3 team start in his last three starts. Seattle won last night's game despite getting only four hits and are now hitting just over .200 in their last seven games. Boston gives Dice K the needed support tonight as the Red Sox beat up Fister and get the final game of this series!

Play on: Boston

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Re: 7-25-10

Gill Alexander
Free play

NYM (+160) vs LOS

Dickey has 8 quality outings in his last 9 starts, including 4 in a row coming into this ballgame. His ERA over those 4 appearances is 2.28. That's not to take anything away from Kershaw, who has held opponents to a .218BA this season and has 7 straight quality starts at home for which he has posted a 2.48ERA. However, unlike the amazing consistency that Dickey has exhibited, Kershaw is prone to the very ordinary outing, generally speaking. He yielded 5ER in 6.2IP v LAA towards the end of June and gave up 4ER in 4.1IP v StL two starts ago. But again, this is more about the fact that Dickey shouldn't be +160 against anyone. Period. While much has been made about the Mets' offensive struggles -- they're batting just .211 with 32R and 105SO over 15G and just .194 while averaging 2.3R/G while getting shut out 3 times in dropping 8 of their last 10 -- the Dodgers have also failed to generate much offense lately, scoring 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 ballgames. The real big angle beyond that on this play is that the Mets and Dodgers played a 13 inning ballgame on Saturday. The Mets used 6 relievers while the Dodgers used 8. The key: while Valdes and Parnell each went 2IP for the Mets, a much more formidable pair in Jonathon Broxton and Jeff Weaver each went 2IP for LAD and will most likely be unavailable for this one. That's a huge back end advantage for NYM in this one, whether Dickey emerges with the edge over Kershaw or not, prior to the game getting thrown to the pens. At +160, this is a must play.

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Re: 7-25-10

Hondo

Suddenly hot Hondo made it four straight last night when he took two with the Dodgers and Giants to lower the NRN (nasty red number) to three figures at 960 pinsons.
Today, he's counting on Leake to hose the 'Stros -- 10 units on the Reds.

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Re: 7-25-10

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* St Louis Cardinals
3* Cincinnati Reds
3* Philadelphia Phillies