7-25-10

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Re: 7-25-10

Master sports
3* red sox
from the nc line

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Re: 7-25-10

executive 250-cubs

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Re: 7-25-10

Teddy Covers
Road warrior
Toronto Blue Jays game #1

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Re: 7-25-10

KIKI SPORTS

Sunday July 25th

2 units Atlanta -135
1 unit Cincinnati -127
1 unit Detroit +104

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Re: 7-25-10

WUNDERDOG

Game: Atlanta at Florida (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida +1.5 runs -140 (runline)
Don't look now but the Marlins are on a roll having won six of their last eight games. They go for the series win vs. Atlanta this afternoon. Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens has been amazing at home this season but on the road he is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Chris Volstad has a 3.55 ERA at home. In day games this season, Florida owns a winning record and they are allowing just 3.3 runs per game. They also own a winning mark vs. division opponents. Atlanta is coming off a big win last game but that doesn't bode well for them as the Braves are just 15-37 on the road after a win by 4+ runs the past three seasons. Meanwhile, Florida is 11-2 revenging a loss in which they allowed 10+ runs.
I like Florida today and will back them on the +1.5 runline here.

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ATS LOCK CLUB
4 UNIT MLB Minnesota Twins, -125 ML
5 UNIT MLB Cincinnati Reds, -115 ML

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Info Plays

3* on Arizona Diamondbacks +132

Reasons the Diamondbacks win:
1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (ARIZONA) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games. This is a 43-20 ML System hitting 68.3% since 1997 while gaining +45.9 units. This system is 9-1 this season.

2.) The Giants are just 5-5 in Tim Lincecum's 10 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Lincecum gave up 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his only start against Arizona this season. The Diamondbacks won that game 8-7. Barry Enright has been brilliant this year, going 2-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.141 WHIP as a starter for Arizona. Bet the Diamondbacks at home.

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Re: 7-25-10

KELSO
10 UNIT MLB Boston Red Sox, -145 ML
15 UNIT MLB San Diego Padres, -140 ML
25 UNIT MLB Saint Louis Cardinals, -120 ML
3 UNIT MLB Tampa Bay Devil Rays, -145 ML

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Re: 7-25-10

NSA

20* NY Yankees-1.5rl-140
20* SF Giants -140
20* TB Rays -145

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Re: 7-25-10

INSIDER ANGLES

Cincinnati (55-44) vs. Houston (39-58) 2:05pm ET
Mike Leake of the Cincinnati Reds is certainly having a nice rookie campaign at 7-1, but Wandy Rodriguez of the Houston Astros has continued to display the severe home vs. away splits he has had throughout his career, and he gives the Astros value as small home underdogs here.

Rodriguez is 7-11 with a 5.11 ERA overall and he has continued to falter on the road, but he has now reeled off three straight Quality Starts here at home while allowing only four earned runs and 12 hits in 19 innings with 19 strikeouts against only five walks. He has had one awful start vs. the Reds this year, but that was at Cincinnati, and the last time he faced them in Houston, he allowing only two runs in six innings last September.

No one can quite explain why Rodriguez has had such severe splits, but they are certainly real. For his career, Wandy is 35-26 at home with am excellent 3.66 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, with 402 strikeouts and 166 walks in 80 starts. On the road, this exact same pitcher has gone 23-37 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, with 337 strikeouts and 160 walks in 74 starts! Therefore, it is not as if we are talking only about a small sampling.

Now Leake has really not done much wrong, as he has a 3.45 ERA in 18 starts. However, the youngster has finally begun to show some inconsistency more fitting for his age lately, with only three Quality Starts in his last seven outings. He has alternated good and bad outings in his last six starts, which puts him in line for a bad start today after pitching well vs. the Nationals on Tuesday, as he was nicked for five earned runs and nine hits two starts back.

With the Reds winning the first two games of this series, look for Houston to avoid the home sweep with Rodriguez continuing his home dominance as a slight dog.

MLB Sunday Pick: Astros +105

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Re: 7-25-10

GOODFELLA
ADDED
MLB ML - Sunday, Jul 25 2010 1:05PM
ML 917 TOR (-118) Sportbet vs 918 DET single-dime bet

Analysis: Cecil and Galarraga both MUST START
(1*) Single Star Subscriber Play

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Re: 7-25-10

Bookiemonsters 12-4 run

sf giants -142

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Jeff Benton



1-1 yesterday Plus 15 Dimes or Plus $150. overall, 81-98-3 MINUS 370 dimes.

Jeff Benton Sunday's Winners ... 15 DIME selection on the CLEVELAND INDIANS over the Rays in the third game of a weekend series from Progressive Field. Note that you must list Justin Masterson as Cleveland’s staating pitcher. If Masterson does not start, this play is VOID!

15 DIME selecetion on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES over the Twins in the finale of a four-game series from Camden Yards. Note that you must list Baltimore’s Jacob Arrieta and Minnesota’s Kevin Slowey as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!

15 DIME selection on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX over the A’s in the finale of a three-game series from the Oakland Colisrum. Note that you must list Daniel Hudson as Chicago’s starting pitcher. If Hudson does not start, this play is VOID!


Indians

Although very few are noticing, Cleveland is playing its best baseball of the season right now. It has won seven of nine since the All-Star break, including five of six at home. Going Back to June 28, the Indians are on a 10-3 roll at Progressive Field.

Speaking of the Tribe’s ballpark, it has been a house of horrors for the Tampa Bay Rays, who had lost 18 consecutive games at Progressive Field prior to rallying for Saturday’s 6-3 victory. And while the Indians have been playing solid ball, the Rays are sputtering. They’ve alternated wins and losses in their eight games since the break, with all eight of those contests on the road.

As for this pitching matchup, not much separates Tampa Bay rookie Wade Davis (7-9, 4.41 ERA) from Cleveland’s Justin Masterson (3-8, 5.25 ERA). And in fact, Masterson has better home numbers (3.91 ERA) than Davis has road numbers (4.68 ERA).

Granted, Masterson has had his struggles against the Rays in his career (1-3, 6.49 ERA). However, he’s coming off one of his better outings of the season, leading Cleveland to a 4-3 win at Minnesota on Tuesday as he yielded the three runs in 6 1/3 innings. And the last time Masterson pitched at home, he dominated the Blue Jays, giving up one run in 8 1/3 innings of a 6-1 victory.

Given Davis’ inconsistency (especially on the road) and the Rays’ lengthy struggles in Cleveland, this is a tremendous underdog value play on the Tribe.


Orioles

Just cannot justify the Twins being favored with Kevin Slowey on the hill. Minnesota has come up empty in each of Slowey’s last three starts, as he gave up 13 runs in 15 innings (7.80 ERA). Since June 13, Slowey has made seven starts and allowed 31 earned runs in 33 1/3 innings (8.37 ERA), and Minnesota is 2-5 during this stretch.

Slowey has struggled on the highway this year, going 3-2 with a 5.98 ERA (including allowing 17 runs in his last three road starts covering just 14 innings). And he’s 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles.

Pitching opposite Slowey today is Baltimore rookie Jacob Arrieta, who has five quality outings – at least six innings pitched while allowing three earned runs or less– in eight starts, with the O’s going 5-3. And in fact Arrieta’s ERA (4.87) is better than Slowey’s (4.94).

The Orioles have held their own against the Twins this season (3-4 in seven contests), and they’re 4-2 in the last five meetings at Camden Yards. Throw in the fact Minnesota is in slumps of 5-10 on the road, 27-55 against teams from the A.L. East, 3-13 in Slowey’s last 16 starts against the A.L. East and 0-5 in Slowey’s last five Sunday efforts, and again, there’s a lot of value on the ‘dog.


White Sox

Chicago rookie right-hander Daniel Hudson has made four big-league starts prior to today (two this year, two last year0, and he delivered the goods in three of those contests. That includes Monday’s 6-1 victory at Seattle, as he limited the Mariners to a run on five hits with six strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings. Since losing his major-league debut 7-0 to the Twins last September 21, Hudson has led the White Sox to three straight wins.

Meanwhile, I don’t know what’s happened to A’s lefty Dallas Braden, but he has not been the same since his Mother’s Day perfect game. In fact, since that historic performance, the A’s are 1-8 with Braden on the mound. That one victory came on Tuesday against the Red Sox, but Braden was hardly sharp, giving up four runs (one earned) on 10 hits in just 4 2/3 innings. It was his first start on a major-league mound in a month, as he returned from a stint on the disabled list.

Overall, the A’s are just 6-10 with Braden on the hill this year, losing four of his last five at home (the one win was against Boston on Monday). Oakland is also 6-14 in its last 20 games against winning teams, 1-5 in Braden’s last six starts as a favorite and 4-10 in Braden’s last 14 Sunday affairs. And while the White Sox have hit a bit of a rough patch lately – they fell to 3-5 in their last eight after Saturday’s 10-2 loss to Oakland – they’ve still won 31 of their last 42 games. And only three times during this stretch has Chicago dropped back-to-back contests.

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Re: 7-25-10

Billy Coleman

4* Phil
4* StL
3* Milw R/L
3* Cinn Under

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Re: 7-25-10

Mike Lineback pod

Today's Pick: Padres / Pirates OVER 8.5