7-30-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA
4 UNIT Washington +7.5 over Indiana Fever
4 UNIT Los Angeles Sparks +7.5 over New York Liberty
4 UNIT San Antonio Silver Stars -4.5 over Tulsa Shock

MLB
4 UNIT Over 9 New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Ra

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

JOHN MORRISON
MLB SYSTEM PLAY

NY Mets [A] Bet
Arizona
Blue Jays A
Marlins A

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

MICHAEL CANNON

NL BOOKIE BASHER

15 DIME Cincinnati Reds OVER Atlanta Braves
Kris Medlen and Johnny Cueto as the listed pitchers

[Donkwin47]

Re: 7-30-10

Chris Jordan

600*

Toronto Blue Jays RL

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

Sportsbook Breakers

4 nyy
4 tex

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS

GAME #2
30 DIME TRIPLE PLAY NEW YORK STYLE!(2 Sides 1 Total)

10 DIME Atlanta Braves
10 DIME Seattle Mariners
10 DIME Boston/Detroit Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

SPORTS WAGERS

HOUSTON +1.02 over Milwaukee
The Brewers favored in Houston with Manny Parra going up against recently acquired J.A. Happ is ludicrous to say the least. Of course the Brewers can win but one has to like the Astros chances more. Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over the Cubbies in which they outscored them 14-2. The Astros are 16-14 over its last 30 games and remain a very undervalued team almost daily. Last year Happ went 12-4 with a 2.93 and that record comes after pitching most of his games at Citizens Bank Park. Happ is not as good as those numbers suggest and that’s something to get into a little later but he’ll definitely be juiced up for his new team and his teammates will want to get him a win too. Also note that Houston is a .500 team vs lefties. Manny Parra appears to be running on fumes right now. This is a guy that’s been absolutely smoked in four of his last five starts. He’s coming off a decent game against the Nats but prior to that he allowed 25 ER over 21 IP. In 22 July innings, Parra has an ERA of 8.59 and a BAA of .364. Furthermore, the Astros have seen him plenty and in fact, current Astro hitters have 96 AB’s against Parra and they have a combined 34 hits for a BA of .364. Play: Houston +1.02 (Risking 2 units).

NY Yankees/TAMPA BAY over 9
Phil Hughes is 12-3 with a 4.04 ERA and while those numbers look decent on paper but the fact is, Hughes is a tired pitcher. This is a guy that’s never pitched more than 86 frames in a season and now he’s up to 111 innings. He’s in unchartered territory and the toll it’s taking is apparent. Throw out one game in Seattle in July and in his other four starts, Hughes has allowed 20 ER in 24 innings. Since May 28, Hughes has seen his ERA balloon from 2.70 to the current 4.04. Over his last 11 games he’s also faced Seattle twice, Baltimore twice, Houston, the Mets twice, Toronto, KC, the Angels and Cleveland. The only teams over .500 in that group are the Jays and Mets and they got to Hughes for 12 ER in a combined 18 IP. Hughes has had perhaps the easiest schedule in the majors over the past three months and his numbers are no better than guys like Kyle Davies, Jeremy Guthrie or Doug Fister. It goes even further than that. Hughes has a very low GB rate of 34% and a high strand rate of 74%. Hughes has relied on control most of the year to get him through, however, his K’s are way down because of fatigue (5 K’s in his last 10 IP) and frankly, a fatigued Hughes is simply not that good. Wade Davis isn’t much better despite his numbers. Davis has an unsustainable LOB% of 79.7% and that’s a number that should not be ignored. Is groundball rate is below the league average and this guy has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this season. Based on the numbers, both these teams should have plenty of runners and plenty of scoring opportunities. Both know how to cash them in and it wouldn’t surprise to see one of these teams or maybe both score seven or more. Play: NY Yankees/TB over 9 +1.01 (Risking 2 units).


Chicago +1.15 over COLORDO
Very nice that the Rockies managed to squeeze out a victory last night over the Pirates to salvage one game in the series. The Rockies were a 3-1 favorite. This is a team that has lost to Joe Blanton, Sean Gallagher, Kyle Kendrick, Zach Duke and J.A. Happ among others during a stretch in which they’ve lost eight of 10. The two pitchers they beat over that stretch were Nate Robertson and Paul Maholm. Now they’ll face a quality pitcher in the ever-reliable Ryan Dempster. Dempster has a BAA of .240. He has 134 k’s in 140 innings and is always a threat to throw a strong game. Current Rockies have just 40 AB’s against Dempster and all they have to show for it is six hits for a BA of .150. The Cubbies are more dangerous against southpaws and will face one here in Jeff Francis. Francis is going good but he’s also been limited to under 100 pitches in seven straight starts and in 11 of 12 since coming off the DL. He has yet to throw over 100 pitches all year. By contrast, current Cubs hitter have 23 hits in 68 AB’s against Francis for a BA of .338. In no way do the Rocks have any advantage in this game, other than home field and it’s for that reason there’s great value on the visitor. Play: Chicago +1.15 (Risking 2 units).


EDMONTON -1½ over B.C. Lions
For the second consecutive week, many folks are on the Eskies to snap its losing streak and unlike last week, this week we have to agree. The Eskies were seriously instructed to take a gut-check this week and it says here they respond. They already lost to the Lions, in BC, in week one and losing twice to this pedestrian squad in five weeks is not an option. Fact is, the Eskies are much more talented than the Lions in every way, they just haven’t show it yet. Edmonton features a great RB in Arlee Whitlock and a proven QB in Ricky way while the Lions feature none of the aforementioned. Instead, they will once again be forced to turn to QB Travis Lulay for his second start. Lulay was adequate last week in Toronto but once the Argos caught on it was a different story. The Lions offense mustered a mere three points (a safety and a single) in the second half and things will not get easier this week against a team that is in a foul mood. The Lions are a one-dimensional squad and even its passing game is average. The Eskies will be so prepared and so ready to go for this one after the team lost its first four games for the first time in 45 years. Remember, just two weeks ago at home the Esks were taking it to the Als and one play changed the course of that game. This is a talented team at home playing a much-less talented team and there’s just no way the Eskies aren’t focused big time and treat this one like a playoff game, that’s how important it is. Play: Edmonton –1½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

KELSO

3 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds -135 ML
10 UNIT* MLB* Chicago Cubs +115 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* San Diego Padres -135 ML
50 UNIT* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals -1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Chicago White Sox +100 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* Los Angeles Angels -115 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Tampa Bay Devil Rays -110 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

OC DOOLEY

Best bet 3* Brewers
2* Oakland
1* Over 8 Phillies/nationals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

USA SPORTS CONSULTING

Milwaukee (M.Parra) -109 at Houston (J.Happ) - 1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 07/30/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 954 CIN (-130) Sportbet vs 953 ATL
Analysis:
Cueto and Medlen both MUST START

(2*) Double Star Play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

KIKI SPORTS

Friday July 30th

2 units Phily -164
1 unit Detroit +220
1 unit NY Yanks -107

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

Dave Cokin

Matchup: Milwaukee at Houston
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) PARRA, M vs. (L) HAPP, J.A.

Play: Houston (ML +103)

J.A. Happ just went from a playoff contender to a team with no shot. But it's actually a great opportunity for the southpaw to firmly establish himself as a legitimate starting pitcher rather than a back end spot type, which was pretty much Happ's role with Philly. We frequently see pitchers switching teams excelling when they join their new squad and I think there's a good chance Happ can follow that route here. I certainly have no problem betting against Manny Parra. The Brewers lefty will have the occasional game where his command is on and he looks like keeper material. But more often than not, this is simply not the case and wagering against Parra in spots where the price is no factor is a money maker. The Astros have had a good week and I like their chances of opening this somewhat meaningless NL Central series on a winning note.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-30-10

DEANO
HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 30th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************
[960] St. Louis |8*|-150|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST
[976] Chicago |8*|-150|+1.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[970] Boston |8*|-120|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[968] Toronto |8*|-180|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[956] New York |8*|-138|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[971] New York |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

* BUILD YOUR BANKROLL PLAYS ARE ALL OF THE ABOVE @ 10% MINUS THE NY YANKEES
Reply With Quote