8-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl lol..

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

Baseball Crusher
TB (-140) over MIN

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

Wicked Good Wagers

MLB

Baltimore Orioles
Toronto @ New York UNDER 9.5
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers

Note: Wager to win evenly across all 4 picks.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

MVPLocks

Rangers -145 (lock of the day)
Mets/Braves under 8.5 -125
Cardinals -1.5 -115
Padres/Dodgers under 7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

The Sharp Side

Houston/St. Louis Under 8 (-118)
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

PHIL MAXWELL

NY YANKEES -140
moseley -vs- romero

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

JAMES JONES
Odds Worth Betting

TRIPLE PLAY SYSTEM
DOUBLE WAGERS
YANKEES
BOSTON

DOUBLE PLAY SELECTION
ST LOUIS

[BKK]

Re: 8-3-10

Football Jesus text : Blue jays

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 976 TAM (-150) Bookmaker.com vs 975 MIN
Analysis:
Tampa Bay - 150 and Over 8 -115 tonight at 7:10 pm.. The Minny Twins are banged up J. Morneau and J Mauer will not play We note the Twins 8 game win streak snapped last night, Tonight's Rz banger goes to Mighty Rays - 150 with Neihmann and Over 8. The 66-39 Rays need to keep winning and the Rock Neihmann 9-3 over all and a smooth and slick 3.08 ERA will spin another gem tonight and grab the 10th win !! Minny Twins Hurler Duensing is a false 4-1 over all and 1.83 ERA as wins vs.the lowly O's and Royals padded his stats.. The Rays are a smooth + 2.6 run winner on the power ratings and the Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, Rays a smooth 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League Central
Over and Tampa Bay strong!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

Greg Shaker | MLB Total Tue, 08/03/10 - 8:40 PM

triple-dime bet 961 SFG / 962 COL Over 9 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
MLB: San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies - Over 9 (Sanchez/Cook)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 8/3/2010
Note: I know that I have been on the OVER with Colorado Home Games a lot lately but we can't deny that they are not winning with great success. The weather pattern this time of year is one that is conducive to this type of activity and although it is not quite as good tonight, it is very playable. So are the other situations that make this a High Percentage play. Neither one of these starters are tearing it up right now with High Whips, and in the case of Cook, very much so. Both teams are hitting as well and especially the Rockies verses lefties as they have done all year. Here at this park that would be over the .300 mark and we also have 2 Pens that are performing sub-par right now. We have had 4 straight OVERS here on this homestand and OVER is 13-5 last 18 at this park as well. My MLB Totals Model shows 9 or OVER at just over 62% of the time and I agree with that summation. Therefore I once again will play this one harder than usual. This one is going to go upward so I would not wait at all..

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 976 TAM (-145) BetUS vs 975 MIN
Analysis: Full write-up coming in the morning, but play posted now, as this line is almost undoubtedly headed North!


The gist of the play is that fading a team off an extended win streak is one of my favorite baseball angles. It worked late last week when we took the Nationals at home against the Phillies, who were coming off a long win streak, and it's set to work here!


Tampa is playing outstanding baseball, they showed that they're betting competition than the teams the Twins had been beating on (the Orioles, Royals, and Mariners), took game one with what appeared to be a pitching disadvantage, and now have the edge in almost every facet here in game two.


This side is going to be getting some money, and the line will probably make its way into the 150's, and maybe as high as 160, so let's get down on it now.


I'll add some more on the pitchers in the morning, but suffice it to say that when a team takes a loss to snap a long win streak, which was the case with Minnesota, yesterday, it generally takes more than one night to "re-energize" the batteries, and the Rays can take advantage of that!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Tue, 08/03/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 979 TEX (-140) Sportbet vs 980 SEA
Analysis:
Lewis has a 0.78ERA in 3 starts v Sea this season. He is holding opponents to a .215BA in 2010 while posting a 1.13WHIP (5ht best in MLB). He now faces a Mariners club that has dropped 7 in a row and has been outscored 45-14 over that span while hitting .212 w just 1HR. Ichiro himself only hit .246 in July. Vargas is tough at home, though, 2.23ERA in 11 starts at SAFECO this season, holding opponents to a .234BA. But he has given up 13E‰R in 19IP lifetime v Tex for a 6.16ERA. And even though Vlad Guerrero is likely to sit this one out, Josh Hamilton will be back in the lineup for Texas. He is the straw that stirs the Rangers lineup. Sabermetrics likes the value here, as well, as Lewis has a 3.68FIP and 3.92xFIP while Vargas has a 3.94FIP and an alarming 4.74xFIP (18th worst in MLB). Alarming, that is, if you’re a Mariners fan or backer. The fade on that is on. -140 is a very nice price at which to grab the Rangers.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

King Creole | MLB Total Tue, 08/03/10 - 7:10 PM

double-dime bet 973 CLE / 974 BOS Over 9.5 BetUS
Analysis:
7:10pm ET / CLEVELAND INDIANS with Huff @ BOSTON RED SOX with Beckett
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

Last night's Game One of this series went OVER... with both teams combining for 11 runs and 24 hits. That makes it 3 STRAIGHT 'Overs' in this Boston / Cleveland series. The Indians come in on current streaks of 4-1-1 O/U as a big road dog of +200 or higher.... 3-0-1 O/U In their last 4 vs right-handed starters.... 4-1-1 O/U vs the AL East... and 26-12-1 O/U after allowing 5+ runs in their previous game. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 14-6-1 O/U in their last 21 roles as a big fav of -200 or greater... 5-0 O/U vs poor starters with a WHIP of > 1.30... and 5-1 O/U vs the AL Central.

Projected pre-game WIND forecasts are to our liking. Anticipated winds are OUT to straightaway Center Field in excess of 15 MPH. We'll also benefi~t from a top-notch 'OVER' Umpire as well. Amongst all full-time "Men in Blue", TIM WELKE is ranked NUMBER ONE in the League in high-scoring results with an overall YTD record of 14-6-2 O/U. That's 70% of his games that have gone OVER in the 2010 season. For the year, he's also gone 7-2 O/U in all American League games... 9-3 O/U in Righty vs Lefty pitching matchups... and 4-1-1 O/U on this particular Day of the Week (Tuesdays). He's picked up this season right where he left off LAST year... when he went 30-16-3 O/U overall. And he's ALWAYS been strong in 'Junior Circuit' games... going 14-5 O/U last year on the AL... and 23-10-2 O/U in the last two seasons.

We also note that Welke has gone 6-1 O/U in all Cleveland Indian games in the last 3 years... and 1-0 O/U in career David Huff starts. In Boston Red Sox games, Welke has gone 2-0 O/U in the same time frame. And he's also gone a PERFECT 2-0 O/U in career Josh Beckett starts in the last 5 years.

David Huff was called up from Triple-A Columbus to make Tuesday's start for the Tribe. He didn't perform very well at the Minor League level as well... with an ERA of 5.62 in his last 4 starts. In the BIGS, his ERA id 6.04 on the year... and even worse on the road (7.51 ERA / .417 opponent team batting average.

Josh Beckett is only two starts removed from his long stint on the DL. For the season, he's gone 3-1 O/U in all home starts (ERA of 7.88). And 'under the lights', his ERA for the year is 7.31 (and 6-2 O/U).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

teddy covers

milw/cubs over 9-

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-3-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Tampa Bay vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET: Niemann vs Duensing – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


These teams are coming off a low-scoring match-up yesterday and, because of today’s pitching match-up, we feel we are getting fantastic line value with this total. As of early Tuesday morning, this total is currently an 8 flat. Considering the power of these two offenses, that is a great bargain. We expect Joe Mauer of the Twins to return tonight but, even if he doesn’t there is plenty to like about this total here. Also, Ben Zobrist could return here for the Rays. Again, even if he doesn’t, we still like what we see in this match-up. Jeff Niemann of the Rays has impressive full season numbers but he got hit very hard in his most recent start and allowed four earned runs on eight hits in six innings of work. A lot of the outs were also hard hit balls and Niemann has now given up ten homers in his last nine starts after giving up two longballs to Detroit in his most recent start. The Twins just saw Niemann about five weeks ago and that provides an extra added edge here for their lineup. Yes, the Twins were held to just two runs in yesterday’s loss but they had previously won eight straight games and averaged 8.3 runs per game during the 8-0 run!

Look for the Twins offense to get back on track as Niemann gets hit hard again. As for the Rays lineup, they pounded out ten hits yesterday and we expect more success against Brian Duensing of Minnesota. Yes, the Twins southpaw has impressed in his first two starts since moving into the rotation but he faced the Royals and Orioles in those outings. Now he steps up in class to face a solid Rays lineup and let’s not forget that Duensing’s last three outings have seen him give up 19 hits in 15 innings so he certainly hasn’t been unhittable. Righties have hit .280 against Duensing this season and the southpaw will see plenty of right-hand lumber in this match-up with the Rays. Tampa Bay is 9-1 their last 10 games and they’ve averaged nearly 9 hits per game in their last 6 games and they’ve averaged a respectable 4.3 runs per game their last 10 games. Yes, pitching has keyed many of their wins too but, as you can see from the above, there is more than meets the eye at first glance with EACH of the starting pitchers in tonight’s match-up. Niemann seems to be on a late season fade while Duensing is currently getting too much respect from the betting markets after his first two starts were solid – but were against weaker competition! The Rays are 28-19 to the over this season when facing a team with a winning record. The Twins are 4-1 to the over in games played on artificial turf this season. Minnesota is 38-28 to the over the last three seasons when they are on the road and the total is 8 or 8.5 runs. The Twins are 5-2 to the over in the second half this season when facing a team with a winning record. Two red hot teams, coming off a low-scoring 4-2 game yesterday, look for some offensive fireworks to return tonight. Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay as a *10* Top Play selection on Tuesday night!