8-16-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-16-10

TIM TRUSHEL

Under Oakland A's
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles F5 INNINGS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-16-10

LT Profits

MLB:

Astros -107
Rangers/Rays UNDER 7 -120
Blue Jays/Athletics UNDER 7 -109

NFL:

Giants +3 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-16-10

Northcoast
2* Jets under 34

[BKK]

Re: 8-16-10

anyone have jesus football??

football jesus has no free pick today

[BKK]

Re: 8-16-10

Marco Diangeleo : TB Rays

[kar261]

Re: 8-16-10

Al DeMarco
Monday's Plays
5 Dime release on Houston and Rodriguez over New York and Niese. Both starting pitchers must go as schedulid or this play would be null and void. As I release this selectison at 10:15 AM Pacific, the Astros are -115 in Las Vegas and offshore.

5 Dime release on Atlanta and Hanson over LA and Billingsley. Again, both specified starters must go for their respective teams. The Braves are currently -155.

5 Dime release on the Jets over the Giants in preseason play. The Jets are currently -2 1/2 to -3 depending on where you shop. If you get 3 or even 3 1/2, go ahead and guy down the 1/2 point as insursnce. That strategy got us the win with Baltimore over Carolina last week and 3, 4, 7 and sometimes 10 are the four numbers that I always purchase insurance on when they're crossed.


Anthony Redd
Monday's Card
50 Dime play on the Jets over the Giants. As this selection is released at 1:30 PM Eastern, the Jets are currentsly between -2 1/2 and -3 points in Las Vegas and offshore, although -3 is by far the more dominsnt number.

20 Dime play on the Jets in the 1st Half against the Giants as well. The Jets are -1 to -1 1/2 in Vegas and offshore on the 1st Half line.


Bob Valentino
Monday's 30 Dime MLB Winner ...
30 DIME play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES over the Cubs at Wrigley Field. As I go live with this reiease, the Padres are a very slight -110 to -115 favoiite.
IMPORTANT NOTE: You must specify Kevin Correia as the Padres' stasting pitcher. If Correia does not start, for whatever reason, this is a NO PLAY.


Bobby Maxwell
Monday's winners...
400-Unit Preseason Book Buster #2 in a Row - NEW YORK JETS

The Jets and Giants meet in the first NFL game at the New Meadowlands Stadium tonight and while it’s being billed as a big “rivalry” game, that doesn’t usually pan out in preseason football games. There’s been some trash talk between the two teams leading up to the game, but with the starters only going the first quarter at most, how much bad blood can there be?

I’m playing the Jets in this one because they are a deeper team that always seems to have a chip on its shoulder, probably thanks to coach Rex Ryan.

There’s no denying the Jets have improved their roster in the offseason with the additions of big names like LaDainian Tomlinson, Jason Taylor, Santonio Holmes and Antonio Cromartie. Sure, they are still without superstar Darrelle Revis, but this is still s quad that is loaded with talent.

The Giants will be without WR Steve Smith and Chris Snee, and their starters just don’t put the fear of big-play possibilities in the opposition like the Jets’ starters do. The Giants’ starters will play 15 to 18 plays and then this game becomes a battle of third- and four-string players.

Ryan has said his starters will actually play into the second quarter but they will be without Josh Mauga and Brashton Satele. Look for guys like rookie RB Joe McKnight to get a lot of second-half carries and I love the Jets’ QB rotation after starter Mark Sanchez as veterans Mark Brunell and Kellen Clemens will see time in this one.

Eli Manning is the solidified starter for the Giants, but his backups are a little more questionable than the Jets’. Behind Manning is longtime colt backup Jim Sorgi and Rhett Bomar. Expect Bomar to bet most of the second half snaps and I don’t think he’s ready for a blitz-happy Jets’ defense.

Forget the “rivalry” factor and just go with the better team in this one. The Jets are deeper and have a defense that will shut down second- and third-team offenses. Play the Jets.

100-Unit Baseball Smart Play - TAMPA BAY RAYS (must list Price as starter for the Rays)

Chris Jordan
Monday's play ...
My 100? winer for Monday is on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES. As I release this selectiins at 10 a.m. Pacific, the price in Vegas or offshore is -130. And make note I am listing pitchsrs in this contest. As always, please shop this number accordsngly, and look for the best line possible.


Baltimore has won seven of its last 10 home meetings with the Mariners. Look for the run to continue!
Chuck O'Brien
MONDAY'S WINNERS ...
25 DIME release on the HOUSTON ASTROS over Mets at Minute Maid Park. Houston is a slight road favirite here, laying right around -110 to -115 depensding on where you shop. When placing your wager, be sure to specify ONLY Wandy Rodriguez as the Astros’ starsing pitcher. If Rodriguez gets scratched, this play is null and void!

Astros

BREAKDOWN: Can’t get over how this can be a near pick-em game. The Astros just completed a three-game sweep of Pittsburgh (allowing just five runs) to improve to 9-2 in their last 11 at home and pull to within one game of .500 at Minute Maid Park this year (30-31). New York has lost 19 of 26 road coniests to fall 15 games under .500 on the road (22-37). Overall, the Mets are just 11-22 since July 6, including a pair of home losses to the Phillies the last two days by scores of 3-1 and 4-0. … New York cannot hit a lick right now. It scored a grand total of two runs in this weeksend’s series against Philadelphia and has been held under five runs in 11 of its last 13 contests, including the last six in a row (nine runs total in those six games).

Now the Mets run up against the Astros’ hottest pitcher in Wandy Rodriguez, who has surrendered a total of four runs (two earned) in his last four starts covsring 28 1/3 innings (0.64 ERA). Going back to June 24, Rodriguez has allowed just 12 earned runs in nine starts covering 60 1/3 innings (1.79 ERA), and five of those runs came in an 11-5 victory over the Cubs when he was staked to an 8-0 lead and just laying the ball over the plate. During this solid nine-start stretch, Rodriguez has pitched at home six times and given up five earned runs in 41 innings (1.10 ERA) with 44 strikeouts and just nine walks. … One final point: Rodriguez, as you likely know, is a left-hander. Well, the Mets’ anemic offense is batting just .180 against southpaws over the past 10 games and just .234 on the road against lefties this season.


Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
20 Dime - Mets (Niese/Rodriguez)

Can you say T-R-A-P? Why would oddsmakers make it easy to bet a pitcher (Rodriguez), who's surrendered only 2 runs in his L4 starts? That makes him one of the hotter pitchers in the National League, and he's at home were he's at his most effective... And yet, we're only being asked to lay this much vs the struggling Mets? Line smells mighty fishy, and I for one, am not buying it.

Mets are desperate to get things going, and what bettors don't realize is this is the perfect match up for them to do so. They have plenty of confidence built up from owning the Astros last season (5 straight wins), and getting 5 straight quality efforts from Rodriguez is hard to expect, being that he's yet to do it this season (longest run was 4 straight quality starts). Astros bullpen has blown his last 2 starts, wasting 2 impressive efforts, and that'll come back to bite them in the ass tonight.

Then there's Jonathan Niese, who's being given little chance here by bettors, despite allowing 2 runs combined over his L14 innings (2 starts). To his credit Niese has been incredibly consistent in his home/road splits, so getting it done on the highway shouldn't be an issue. And of course, there's the last time he pitched at Minute Maid Park, back on July 25th of last season, surrendering 1 run on 4 hits over 7 innings for the road win. This is going to be a much tougher match up than most bettors think.

And if I were an Astros-backer, I'd be mighty worried about a bullpen that has not only blown Rodriguez's last two starts, but has posted an ugly 7.66 ERA over their L22 1/3 innings. Based on the fishy line, and the way gamblers are flocking to the Astros (to get Rodriguez at this price), I'm convinced this is the biggest trap of the day. Play the Mets (Niese) over the Astros (Rodriguez) on Monday.


Karl Garrett
Monday's Selections ....
G-Man for Minday night, 20 Dime Dead Mortal Lock # 3 in a Row on the San Diego Padres over the Chicago Cubs. Correia and Gorzelanny are schesduled to start. I also have a 10 Dime Bonus Best Bet on the Oakland Athletics with Anderson over the Toronto Blue Jays with Marcum. Rememser: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the releases.

A little surprised that the 1st place Padres are not a bigier road favorite this evening, as San Diego continues to roll, winning 6 of their last 7 overall.

Tonight they take on a Chicago team that has actually won their last pair, but are on an oversall 4-14 run their last 18 games, and starter Tom Gorzelanny has allowed 12 runs his last 19 innings pitched for an 0-1 mark.

Kevin Correia is sesking win # 10 on the year, and the Padres have been a money-making proposition when he starts on the road, going 12-3 his last 15 road starts.

This price is too good to pass on. Take Diego to notch another win.

10 dime bonus play on Oakland at home over Toronto.


Michael Cannon
Monday's Plays...
15 Dime Winner on the HOUSTON ASTROS over the New York Mets with Wandy Rodriguez and Jonathon Niese as the listed pitchers. If either pitcher does not start, this play is void. The Astros are listed as a -110 home chalk.

5 Dime Winner on the NEW YORK JETS minus the points over the New York Giants. The Jets are laying -2 1/2 points.

15 Dime –

ASTROS (With Niese and Rodriguez as listed pitchers)

Take the Astros for the home win over the Mets.

Wandy Rodriguez starts for Houston and he’s been red hot. The left-hander is 6-1 with a 1.79 ERA in his last nine starts. He’s only allowed two earned runs in his last 28 1-3 innings and has racked up 32 strikeouts.

Rodriguez is also 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career home starts against the Mets.

The Astros as a team are playing well, having won nine of 11 at home.

The Mets have been a terrible road team all season. They are 22-37 away from home, including 7-19 in their last 26 roadies.

Take the Astros for the home win.

5 Dime –

JETS

Take the Jets minus the points over the Giants.

I feel like Rex Ryan is going to have his troops ready to play tonight. There’s been a lot of talk that the Jets are the team to beat this year and he’s going to have his team ready to prove it.

The Jets also have pretty good depth on this team at quarterback behind Mark Sanchez with Kellen Clemens and Mark Brunell.

The Giants are the Giants. They know what they have offensively and defensively and they don’t have much quality depth behind Eli Manning at quarterback.

Jets make a statement here in the new home for both teams.

Lay the points with the Jets.


Stephen Nover
Monday's play
My 100 dime play is on the Houston Astros and Rodriguez over the New York Mets and Niese in a game that goes at 8:05 Eastirn at Minute Maid Park. You must specify both schedusled starting pitchers in this contest; any change would result in the play being voided. As I release this selectson at 12:30 AM Eastern, the Astros are between pick-em and -110 in Las Vegas and offshore.

Everything lines up perfect for the Astros in this matchup, including the price.

On paper, this looks like a pick'em type game with southpaw Jon Niese opposing Wandy Rodriguez. But the Astros have many edges despite the Mets owning a better record.

New York hasn't been playing well, dropping 20 of its last 30 games. The Mets have scored only 28 runs in their last 13 games, an averige of 2.1 runs per game. New York is 22-37 on the road this season, losing 19 of their last 26 away from Citi Field.

The Astros have been bad on the road, but are a respectasble 30-31 at Minute Maid Park. They are 17-13 versus lefties this season, which makes sense since their best hitters are right-handed. The Astros have won the past five times they've faced a southpaw at home.

Houston did some housecleansng at the trade deadline. The result is the Astros are loose, relaxed and their young players are performing well. They don't have nearly the pressure and media scrutiny the Mets have.

Houston is 4-2 in its last six games, having just swept Pittsburgh. The Astros have also won nine of their last 11 at home.

This is a bad situational spot for the Mets. They just lost to the Phillies at home Sunday night in a key nationally televised divisional matchup and now have to fly out for this game in a depressed state. The Astros played a day game at home on Sunday and this is game seven of a 10-game homestand.

The Mets are 2-5 in Niese's past seven road starts. The youngster is having a good season, hence the near pick'em price, but the Mets are concerned Niese is about to hit the wall. He's already thrown 126 innings; His previous major league high was 25 2/3 innings pitched last year.

Rodriguez started the year slow, but has come on strong. He's 6-1 with a 1.79 ERA in his past nine starts. Rodriguez always has been a strong home pitcher at Minute Maid Park; he's 6-5 there this season with a 3.00 ERA.

Rodriguez is at the top of his game right now allowing just two earned runs during his past four starts spanning 28 1/3 innings. During these four starts, he's given up only 19 hits with a 32-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

[BKK]

Re: 8-16-10

VEGAS RUNNER
BIG SLICK BOOKIE BETS
3* Oakland A's
3* Seattle Mariners

[JohnnyVegas]

Re: 8-16-10

BKK

Thanks for the work tonight. Diangelo continues the run. FBJ free picks have done well and you were able to get VR. Real contribution tonight and I thank you