8-18-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 18th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[902] St Louis |5*|-125|-1.5 RL|Network N/A|2:15 pm EST

[920] Oakland |5*|-118|B+0|Network N/A|3:35 pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

Atlanta Braves RL -1.5

Pitcher : Hudson

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

MONEYLINE KING

3* SF Giants -106

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME


Wednesday Baseball
100* Play Florida (-180) over Pittsburgh
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST

Florida pitcher, Josh Johnson has won 9 of the last 10 games when pitching on a Wednesday and he is 10-5 in all games this season with an ERA of 2.27. Pittsburgh has lost 121 of the last 168 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and pitcher, Ross Ohlendorf is 1-9 in all starts this season.
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50* Play St. Louis (-220) over Milwaukee
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST

St. Louis pitcher, Adam Wainwright has won 8 consecutive games as a favorite of -200 or higher and he has also won 15 of the last 18 games when pitching on a Wednesday. Adam Wainwright is 11-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.22 and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.39.
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50* Play Atlanta (-220) over Washington
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST

Atlanta pitcher, Tim Hudson has won 9 of the last 10 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has also won 4 of the last 5 games as a favorite of -200 or higher. Tim Hudson is 10-1 vs. Washington over his career with an ERA of 1.49 and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.41.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

INDIAN COWBOY

4 UNIT Over 10 between the Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Hammer the Book

ROTATION 911/912::NEW YORK METS @ HOUSTON ASTROS (ASTROS ML -102 @ SPORTSBET & 5dimes)

ROTATION 911/912::LOS ANGELES ANGELS @ BOSTON RED SOX (RED SOX ML -172 @ Bet Jamaica)

ROTATION 917/918::TEXAS RANGERS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (OVER 9-RUNS @ ALL BOOKS)

ROTATION 907/908:SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (GIANTS ML +100 @ Canbet & YOUWAGER)

ROTATION 919/920::TORONTO BLUE JAYS @ OAKLAND ATHLETICS (ATHLETICS ML -118 @ Bet Jamaica, BET PHOENIX & PINNANCLE)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Randall the Handle

Seattle +1.38 over BALTIMORE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

B&S PICKS

5 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Oakland A's ML
5 DIME BOOKIE BASHER PLAY SL Cardinals -1.5 RL
5 DIME BOLD SPORTS UPSET PLAY Seattle Mariners +130 ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY SL Cardinals ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

San Diego v. Chicago 2:20pm
8* PICK: Cu8s ML +132 Game

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Chad Greene

FREE PLAY
Cincinnati Reds -122 ML

PREMIUM PLAY
Nationals/Braves UNDER 7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Mitch Andrews

St Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-125)

San Francisco Giants -103

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Jeff Benton

25 DIME OAKLAND A’S

5 DIME PITTSBURGH PIRATES

A’s

If you were with me two weekends ago, this play shouldn’t surprise you in the least. Two Saturday’s ago, I played Oakland and Gio Gonzalez (today’s starter) over the first-place Rangers, and the A’s rolled to a 6-2 victory. The next day, I took the A’s over the Rangers again and scored a 3-2 win. The common thread woven between those two selections: Both games were played in broad daylight.

Why is that important? Because Oakland owns baseball’s best record day-game record in all of baseball – we’re talking 28-12, or 70 percent winners. The next-best daytime record belongs to the Yankees at 27-16 (63 percent).

A big reason for Oakland’s success in day games has been none other than the aforementioned Gonzalez. He’s 6-1 with a 2.10 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in eight daytime starts, with the A’s also prevailing in his one no decision (so they’re 7-1 in his day games). In those eight contests, Gonzalez has allowed just 37 hits (including only two home runs) and 15 walks with 38 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings.

One of Gonzalez’s day wins came against the Blue Jays on May 1, when he yielded two runs on three hits and two walks with eight Ks in 5 2/3 innings, picking up a 4-3 victory. And that win came on the road, where Gonzalez has been far less effective (4-5, 3.99 ERA) than he’s been at home (6-3, 2.94 ERA, including just four home runs allowed in 70 1/3 innings). The fact Gonzalez is a lefty is also huge, as the Jays have been horrific against southpaws this season (.217 team average).

In addition to dominating day games, the A’s are 35-25 at home following Tuesday’s rout of Toronto. And today, they face Toronto lefty Marc Rzepczynski, who is making just his fourth big-league start of this season. His last one was fantastic (seven shutout innings of two-hit ball at the Angels on Friday, winning 3-0). However, his first two were anything but (combined nine runs allowed in 10 1/3 innings). That includes a 5-2 loss at Kansas City on July 21, his worst outing of the three. When was that contest played? During the day. In fact, in his brief major-league career, Rzepczynski is 1-3 with a 3.90 ERA in six daytime appearances (five starts).

Throw in the fact the A’s have a “homer” umpire calling balls and strikes – home teams are 15-8 when Alfonso Marquez is behind the dish, including 4-0 in the last four – and I’m all over Oakland at this dirt-cheap price.


Pirates

Let’s play a little mystery game:

Pitcher A has given up 16 runs in his last four starts covering 24 1/3 innings for a 5.92 ERA. His team lost three of those four games, going 0-3 on the road.

Pitcher B is coming off consecutive dominating starts, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings, and over his last nine contests he’s given up just 11 earned runs in 45 1/3 innings, which equates to a 2.18 ERA.

Pitcher A’s team is just 3-7 when he toils on the road. Pitcher B’s team is 5-6 when he pitches at home.

Pitcher A lost his only career start to Pitcher B’s team (albeit four years ago). Pitcher B shutout Pitcher A’s team last year, allowing two hits and one walk in seven innings of an 8-0 home victory.

Now what if I told you that Pitcher A is a minus-180 favorite today? You’d think that’s insane, right? Well, it’s true, and the reason is that Pitcher A is Florida’s Cy Young candidate Josh Johnson, while Pitcher B is Pittsburgh’s unheralded Ross Ohlendorf.

The truth is that Johnson has hit a late-season wall (you knew it was coming eventually), while Ohlendorf is finally coming into his own. With the way these two guys are going and if you’re going to give this kind of take-back – especially when the Pirates have won six of nine overall against Florida, including five of six in Pittsburgh – I’m more than willing to take my shot. One final point: Pittsburgh’s home record (27-31) is nearly identical to Florida’s road record (29-30).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

trushel 20* al goy-balt

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in New York-AL vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET: Moseley vs Bonderman – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


As a road dog of +175 to +200 the last three years, the Tigers are 5-1 (83%) to the over. Detroit was held to just two runs yesterday but they are still a respectable 6-4 to the over in their last ten games. The Yankees did get six runs on nine hits yesterday and the Tigers have now given up an average of nearly 10 hits per game over their last dozen games. Don’t look for those numbers to improve with Jeremy Bonderman taking the mound for the Tigers this evening. The Detroit right-hander is 3-8 in his career against the Yankees and has compiled a 5.29 ERA in those outings. Note that Bonderman has struggled against left-handed hitters throughout his career and the Yankees are loaded with switch-hitters plus have a few big left-handed bats and that makes this a match-up nightmare for Bonderman even if Alex Rodriguez sits outs again tonight. Bonderman is 2-4 on the road this season and he’s compiled a 6.45 ERA in his nine starts away from home. He’s allowed at least four earned runs in seven of his last nine starts. The only good news for Tigers fans today is that they should enjoy much more success at the plate against Dustin Moseley than they did against C.C. Sabathia last night.

Moseley of the Yankees is certainly fading fast after his first start with the Yankees was a success. In his last three starts Moseley has allowed 11 earned runs on 23 hits in 18 innings of work. Four of the hits have been homers and note that Moseley has a 4.85 ERA against the Tigers in his career. He’s mostly been used as a reliever in his career. When used as a starter in 2008 with the Angels, Moseley compiled a 6.79 ERA and was hammered at a .332 clip. Then, last season Moseley only pitched in three games and he was rocked at a .323 clip. In his career he’s been hit at a .304 clip and we’re going to take advantage of another opportunity where, in our opinion, a pitcher that is better slated to be a reliever is once again being used as a starter. Look for him to get rocked as his post All-Star break struggles (5.94 ERA in his career) continue here. The Yankees are 21-10 to the over when the posted total is 9 or 9.5 runs in a home game this season. This will be Moseley’s fifth start this season. The last one, even though he struggled, ended up being the first under that has resulted in any of his starts this season. Once again we look for him to struggle here but, this time, the “over trend” resumes. As for Bonderman of the Tigers, note that Detroit is 7-1 to the over in his last 8 starts! Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as a *10* Top Play selection

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-18-10

GOODFELLA

MLB ML - Wednesday, Aug 18 2010 8:05PM
ML 912 HOU (-104) Sportbet vs 911 NYM double-dime bet

Analysis: Listed Pitchers Must Start (Mye rs & Dickey)