8-19-10

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Re: 8-19-10

Cincinnati Kid | NFL Side Thu, 08/19/10 - 8:00 PM

double-dime bet 403 NEP 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 404 ATL
Analysis: Patriots and Falcons both entering Week 2 off SU ATS wins in their home openers squaring off on prime-time TV tonight! Patriots qualify as a Playoff virgin - making the playoffs this past year - while viewing as a spectator at the end of the 2008 season...PVirgin's are 28-8 during the 2000 decade away vs. .500 or better foes. These clubs improve to 14-4 facing that .500 club off a SUATS win and 12-1 installed as favs 3 or less or taking points as dogs...

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Re: 8-19-10

NorthCoast 3* Atla - 2.5 -120

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Re: 8-19-10

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Pittsburgh vs Florida @ 7:05 ET: Maholm vs Sanabia – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Over the last four weeks, the Marlins are hitting .323 against left-handed pitching and they’ve gone 6-1 in those 7 games against southpaws. While we do expect Florida to pound a struggling Paul Maholm in this match-up, we also know that Marlins starting pitcher Alex Sanabia is also quite likely to get pounded. That said, even though Florida has enjoyed plenty of success against southpaws recently, the play here is the over rather than the Marlins! Sanabia is a rookie who is being called up from the minors to make this start because of the injury to Sean West. While Sanabia has enjoyed success at the minor league level, he’s certainly found out how much more difficult it is to enjoy success against Major League hitters. Sanabia has particularly found this to be the case on the road in the majors as he’s compiled a 7.71 ERA while being pounded at a .389 clip in his four road outings this season. Overall, Sanabia has allowed 35 hits in his 23.1 innings of work at the big league level and he’s facing a Pirates team that has averaged 9 hits per game in their last 7 home games. Yes, Pittsburgh is certainly not known as a powerful hitting team but they are hitting 20 points higher at home compared to on the road this season. We look for them to take advantage of an inexperienced starting pitcher tonight.

While the Pirates bats spring back to life tonight, the issue for Pittsburgh will be their own pitching situation. The Pirates bullpen has a 4.62 ERA on the season and that ranks them in the bottom 5 of the majors! That bullpen is likely to be called up on very early in this one because Maholm is struggling miserably. Don’t be fooled by his most recent start where he allowed just three earned runs in 6.2 innings of work. Maholm did allow 9 hits in that outing and he’s now given up 27 runs (25 earned) on 45 hits in his last 26.2 innings of work. As you can see, that’s an average of about a run per inning and this spans his last five starts! He’s also walked 10 batters during this stretch so Maholm has a WHIP of over two baserunners per inning during this rough stretch for the southpaw. The left-hander has a 5.64 ERA at home this season and a 4.66 ERA in his career against Florida. The Marlins are 99-72 to the over the last three seasons when they are playing a team with a losing record. They’ve also been pounding lefties as noted above. As for the Pirates, they were 5-1 to the over in their six home games prior t this series. This series has been marked by three straight unders but we see that changing today with a struggling Maholm squaring off with an inexperienced (and very hittable) Sanabia. Maholm’s most recent start snuck under the total but the Pirates had recorded just one under in his seven prior starts! The over trend resumes tonight. Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh as a *10* Top Play selection.

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Re: 8-19-10

BeatYourBookie

Thursday NFL Football

10* Play Indianapolis (+3.5) over Buffalo (Top Play) (7:30 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Indianapolis is 12-2 ATS in pre-season games coming off a loss by 10 points or more Indianapolis is 9-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in the pre-season Buffalo is 3-10 ATS in pre-season home games when the total posted is 35 points or less

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Re: 8-19-10

The Mastermind POD

Baltimore +1.5

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Re: 8-19-10

jeff benton thursday

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1-1 yesterday PLUS 20 dimes. or Plus $200..overall, 91-114-3 MINUS 460

not a typo guys, jeff benton turned a profit last night..

Thursday's Plays ...

15 DIME selaction on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Giants in the finale of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The overenight lines had Philadelphia as a +115 to +120 underdog on the run line. Run-line plays require that both starting pitchers are listed, so Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels and San Francisco’s Jonathan Sanchez must start or this plays is VOID!





5 DIME selection on the BUFFALO BILLS minus the points over the Colts in NFL prrseason action from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. As I release this play, the Bills are laying 3½ points. If that’s the best number you can get when making your wager, be sure to buy the half-point to bring Buffalo down to minus-3.








Phillies (-1½ runs)





Has there been a pitcher with worse luck this year than Cole Hamels? The veteran lefty has been outstanding for much of the season, posting a 3.33 ERA in 24 starts, and yet he’s got just a 7-9 record to show for it. In his last two starts – both against the Mets – he allowed one run in each game, scattering a total of 11 hits and two walks while striking out 19 in 15 innings … and yet lost both contests by identical 1-0 scores!





What’s more, Hamels is only 4-3 in 11 home starts despite a stellar 2.75 ERA – and that’s in one of the toughest pitchers’ parks in all of baseball.





Well, I’ve been around the block long enough to know that the breaks evenetually even out, and Hamels – who has just one victory in his last nine starts despite a 2.26 ERA – is way overdue for some positive results. I say it comes tonight for a few reasons. First off, Hamels has gotten pretty lucky in his career against the Giants. He’s 4-1 despite a mediocre 4.22 ERA in seven starts, and the Phillies are 6-1 in those seven games (3-0 at home).





Also, prior to those two 1-0 losses to the Mets, the Phillies had won five straight games with Hamels on the bump, including wins of 6-4, 9-5, 2-0 and 4-1. In fact, 10 of Philadelphia’s 13 wins with Hamels starting this year – including eight of the last nine – have covered the run line. Hamels also finally has nearly the entire Phillies’ regular lineup behind him, as Chase Utley, Placido Palanco, Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino are all healthy (only Ryan Howard remains on the DL).





Philadelphia is absolutely rolling right now, too. It has won 20 of its last 25 games, including the last four in a row (the first two in this series by a comrined tally of 17-5). And if you go back to July 8, the Phillies are on a 17-2 roll at Citizens Bank Park. At the same time, San Francisco has been slipping of late, dropping three in a row and nine of 14 (going 1-6 in its last seven on the highway).





As for Giants starter Jonathan Sanchez, he’s produced just three quality performances in his last 11 starts, pitching less than six innings in seven of those games (and he’s gone longer than six innings just once since June 14). Now he’s facing a Phillies offense that has tallied at least five runs in 10 of its last 15 games, helping Philly to an 12-3 record over this span.








Bills





Forgot about this being a play “on” Buffalo. It’s entirely a play against the Colts – an absolute must-play, in fact. The reason: Indy doesn’t give a rat’s ass about winning games in August. Seriously, the Colts will post more regular-season victories by Halloween this year than they’ve had over the last five-plus preseasons. Think I’m joking? Check this out:





After falling 37-17 to the 49ers on Sunday – at home, no less! – Indy is an abysmal 4-19 in exhibition play since 2005. And it’s not like the pointspread record has been much better – how about 6-17 ATS! The only time the Colts really show up in August is the traditional Week 3 dress-rehearsal when the starters see the majority of the action. Well, this is Week 2, which means you better not get up to pee in the first quarter or you’ll miss Peyton Manning and all his talented friends.





Once Manning departs, he’ll hand the controls of the Colts offense to second-year pro Matt Painter and rookie Todd Bradstater. Here’s all you need to know about these two guys: Manning led Indy to a 10-0 advantage against San Francisco on Sunday before retiring to the sidelines. From there, the Colts got outscored 37-7!





Granted, the Bills had their own atrocious preseason opener, losing 42-17 at Washington. Not only did they lose the game, but the top two running backs – Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch – were injured and will miss the rest of the preseason. Despite that – and despite three crappy quarterbacks trying to learn a new system under first-year coach Chan Gailey – the Bills are STILL laying more than a field goal here. That pretty much says it all, doesn’t it?

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Re: 8-19-10

win or lose pod-oak

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Re: 8-19-10

jim feist
5* LAD

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Re: 8-19-10

JOHN MORRISON SPORTS PICK BUFFET

The Ultimate Bet Of The Day: LA Dodgers...22:3

Best Bets
Oakland Athletics
LA Dodgers

Good Bets
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox

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Re: 8-19-10

DAVID BANKS
Thursday August 19, 2010

NFL
7:30 Bills -3.5
8:00 Patriots +3

MLB
2:20 Padres -145
7:05 Red Sox -143
7:05 Phillies -170
9:40 Reds -118

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Re: 8-19-10

Crown City Sports Consultant
Thursday August 19, 2010

[Free Play]
Dodgers -145

[Premium Plays]
2- Athletics -130
2- Twins/WSox over 8


4-1 on Wed

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Re: 8-19-10

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

NY v. Houston 8:05pm
PICK: UNDER 8 Game ev Best bet of the day

Texas v. Baltimore 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev

Tampa Bay v. Oakland 10:05pm
PICK: Rays ML +126 Game Game of the week

LA v. Boston 7:10pm
PICK: Angels ML +140 Game

Cincinnati v. Arizona 9:40pm
PICK: Reds RL (-1.5) Game +110

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Re: 8-19-10

NICK PARSONS
ADDED MLB

6* Phillies -167

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Re: 8-19-10

THE CONSENSUS PICKS

Pick of the Day: White Sox/Twins Under 8 (even) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Buehrle vs. Pavano

Free Pick: Passing on the Free Pick today.