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The Houston Astros are an excellent “buy” right now, a team that has gone 18-10 over their last 28 games, including a 5-0 run entering tonight, and is playing loosely and aggressively while the markets ignore them. They are now within a game of third place in the N.L. Central, which adds a target to shoot for, and we call for that momentum to continue tonight in a setting in which starter Nelson Figueroa will certainly bring a chip on his shoulder.
The Brooklyn-born Figueroa has performed well since being given a chance to start, a 1.64 over two games despite not getting a decision, with 11 K’s vs. only eight hits allowed. Now he gets a chance to win in a setting that means a great deal to him, after the Mets released him following a two-year stint in 2008-09. His prospects for redemption are positive against a slumping lineup that gets even worse without Jose Reyes tonight, and all key arms are rested and ready in the bullpen behind him.
While the Astros are surging home, the Mets have limped to a 15-24 since the All Star break and are not heading anywhere. They only get this price point based on reputation, not their current realities, and even the 1.64 over the last three starts from Mike Pelfrey brings an * next to it. He put that run together by throwing 119, 113 and 122 pitches, by far the highest three-game count of his career, and we color him as particularly vulnerable here because of that toll. And given that there is not all that much pop coming from his right arm anyway (only 19 K’s in 43.1 IP since July 1st), the Astros can get plenty of quality swings.
This a play against NATIONALS starter SCOTT OLSEN who has LOST 4 STRAIGHT starts and has allowed 19 earned runs over a span of 18 1/3 innings in the 4 losses!!!
OLSEN is 1-4 vs. the Cardinals over 5 career starts with a huge 6.10 ERA
The NATIONALS are are 0-6 in Olsen's L6 starts during game 2 of a series & 0-5 in his L5 starts with 4 days of rest
CARDINALS starter JAMIE GARCIA is 11-6 on the season with a 2.42 ERA INCLUDING allowing NO runs in 15 innings in his L2 starts (pitched a complete game shutout WIN in his last start allowing ONLY 3 hits
The CARDINALS are 4-0 in Garcia's L4 Friday starts
Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
951 STL ML -156 $36
954 CIN ML -176 $33
954 CIN -1.5 +125 $16
956 NYM ML -150 $13
958 ATL ML -200 $29
958 ATL -1.5 +112 $13
960 MIL ML -157 $35
960 MIL -1.5 +135 $12
962 CO ML -146 $39
962 CO -1.5 +150 $10
966 SF ML -179 $13
972 TB ML -128 $22
974 TX ML -131 $31
974 TX -1.5 +165 $10
975 NYY ML -132 $18
978 LAA ML -141 $28
979 MN ML -122 $30
0.5 UNIT #954 Cincinnati (-1.5, +115) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
0.5 UNIT#951 St. Louis (-1.5, -105) over Washington (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
0.5 UNIT #974 Texas (-135) over Oakland (8 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
0.5 UNIT #962 Colorado (-150) over L.A. Dodgers (9 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
0.5 UNIT #979 Minnesota (-125) over Seattle (10 p.m., Friday, Aug. 27)
5 UNIT ROTATION 961/962::LOS ANGELES DODGERS @ COLORADO ROCKIES (ROCKIES ML -145 @ Bet Jamaica & PINNANCLE)
4 UNIT ROTATION 973/974::OAKLAND ATHLETICS @ TEXAS RANGERS (RANGERS ML -130 @ Bet Jamaica)
4 UNIT ROTATION 977/978::BALTIMORE ORIOLES @ LOS ANGELES ANGELS (ANGELS ML -137 @ Bet Jamaica)
4 UNIT ROTATION 979/980::MINNESOTA TWINS @ SEATTLE MARINERS (TWINS ML -123 @ Bet Jamaica & PINNANCLE)
4 UNIT ROTATION 959/960::PITTSBURGH PIRATES @ MILWAUKEE BREWERS (BREWERS ML -145 @ Bet Jamaica & PINNANCLE)
3 UNIT ROTATION 255/256::ATLANTA FALCONS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS (UNDER 38 @ 5dimes, BET PHOENIX, Sportsbet & BetUS)
3 UNIT ROTATION 971/972::BOSTON RED SOX @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (TB RAYS ML -120 @ Bet Jamaica)
3 UNIT ROTATION 257/258::WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ NEW YORK JETS (JETS -4 1/2 @ BET PHOENIX)
3 UNIT ROTATION 259/260::PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (CHIEFS +3 @ BetUS)
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