Tweet
Re: 10-18-08
Kelso Clubs
10 units Troy -9.5
5 units Arkansas +7.5
4 units Mich St +3.5
3 units Va Tech +3.5
Kelso Clubs
10 units Troy -9.5
5 units Arkansas +7.5
4 units Mich St +3.5
3 units Va Tech +3.5
-
Re: 10-18-08
Bettorsworld
5* Michigan State +3.5 over Ohio State
This week #12 Ohio State visits #20 Michigan State in what amounts to the biggest game for Michigan State in quite some time. Michigan State hasn't beaten Ohio State since 1999 but if it's going to happen, this looks to be the time and place. Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio was Jim Tressels defensive coordinator and earned a championship ring at Ohio State. These guys are familiar with each other. Both teams have a loss but it was Ohio States performance against USC which stands out. Michigan State lost a close shootout with Cal to kick off the year. It's been all up hill since. Yards per point numbers for Michigan State an excellent 12 on offense and superb 21.6 defensively. Ohio State not too shabby either with a 13 on offense and a 19 on defense. Both teams good in turnover margin with Michigan State at +10 and Ohio State +7. But Ohio State having some troubles on the offensive side of the ball. They failed to score an offensive touchdown against the worst defense in the Big 10. They rank 94th in the nation in total offense and 10th in the Big 10. Their inability to move the ball could spell trouble against a Michigan State team that has no trouble finding the end zone. Michigan State Running Back Javon Ringer is one of the best in the nation. Likely the best Ohio State has faced this. Ohio State's conservative game plans, their unwillingness to throw the ball, the coaching familiarities, the higher ranking of Ohio State, the game being one of the biggest home games for Michigan State in years, it all adds up. We like to say that when a team like Michigan State sees the door open a crack, against a team that has historically dominated them like Ohio State, they have to kick the door in, because that opportunity may not present itself for years to come. So, in a sense, it's now or never. The talent is there, it's one of the best Michigan State teams in years. We likely won't need the field goal in this one but we'll take it. Michigan State +3.5 (the play is still good at +3, we played it +3.5 and would certainly prefer the hook)
2* Iowa State +7 over Nebraska
Both of these teams desperate for a win sitting at 0-2 in the conference. Nebraska has certainly had the upper hand in this series but a look at these two teams results thus far this year shows some similarities. Both started out with wins over lesser competition and then suffered defeats when they stepped it up. Nebraska was hammered by Missouri but then came back last week and took Texas Tech to overtime which shocked quite a few people. Meanwhile, Iowa State was looking good a couple of weeks ago, up big on Kansas at the half before falling apart in the 2nd half and losing by two, followed by their worst game of the year, last week at Baylor. But Iowa State has shown some promise. In their game at Iowa, they outgained a decent Iowa team, won the time of possession battle and the first down battle but came up short on the scoreboard. They lead the Big 12 in takeaways at +17 and sit at +7 in turnover margin, which ranks among the best in the country (Nebraska is -4). Their yards per point numbers are a tad better than Nebraska's but we'd have to give the edge to the Cornhuskers as far as strength of schedule. This will be the 2nd road game in a row for Nebraska and only the 2nd road game of the year for them as they started the season with 5 straight home games. We're also counting on a hangover affect from last weeks devastating overtime loss to Texas Tech, while Iowa State figures to improve drastically off of their worst performance of the year. We think this one has the potential to be a good competitive game so we'll grab the touchdown here with the home dog. Iowa State +7
2* Vanderbilt +15 over Georgia
We're not going to argue about the overall talent levels of these two teams. Georgia gets the nod. We'll also concede that the way things looked last week, the way Georgia dominated the Vols and held them to 16 yards rushing and the way Vanderbilt looked at Miss State, it would seem as though Vandy has no chance. All of which, by the way, creates a little extra line value for us here. But there are plenty of positives to draw on here. For one, this Georgia team is pretty much the same team from a year ago. We'll, a year ago, Vandy led Georgia 17-7 before losing 20-17 on a late field goal. They had 179 rushing yards and another 131 through the year. If you're worried about the QB situation at Vandy, don't. Mackenzie Adams replaced Chris Nickson last year early in the Georgia game and threw for 125 of those 131 yards going 7 for 10 in the process. He also came off the bench in the Auburn win this year. He gives Vandy the downfield threat they need to challenge the Georgia secondary and keep them honest. Don't be surprised to see Nickson in there as well. Vandy also beat Georgia the year before last, at Georgia, 24-22. So can Vandy, with their talent, compete with Georgia? The answer is in the last two years results. Of course they can. Keep in mind the last two years were losing ones for Vandy, just like the last 25 years. So if ever they are going to compete, why not now when they are having their best season ever??? Vanderbilt is playing the type of football that keeps games close. They shorten the game. They lead the SEC in sacks. They are the least penalized team in the SEC. They are one of the better teams in the country on the turnover margin chart. Their yards per point numbers are better than Georgia's mostly due to their making the most of their opportunities inside the red zone where they rank, you guessed it, number one in the SEC. Again, it's all the basic fundamentals here that have made Vandy 5-1 and able to compete. Do all the little things right, consistently, and you have all the makings of a sound, competitive football team.........oh, and how about some added motivation. Last year when Georgia won, they celebrated by dancing on the Vandy logo at midfield. Now, revenge is great in college football. But throw in something like that to add a little juice........hey, if I was coaching Vandy, I'd make the team watch that Georgia dance routine before and after every practice this week, and then one more time on the bus ride over to the stadium Saturday morning. This game has the potential to be better than many think. Vandy +15
2* Navy +3 over Pitt
Nothing ground breaking in our approach in this one. Simply two teams we feel are even with the home team, Navy, getting a field goal in a game that could go either way and probably has a great chance to be decided by 3. These two hooked up last year in a wild 48-45 shootout which Navy won. Pitt is 4-1 with their two most impressive wins being 21-20 over Iowa and 26-21 over South Florida on the road. But there's some question marks as well. Such as losing to Bowling Green and close games against Buffalo and Syracuse. Navy also has some question marks this year but, like Pitt, have a couple of equally impressive wins. Knocking off Wake Forest and Air Force, both on the road, in their last two games tells us Navy is playing some good ball. The Turnover margin favors Navy at +6 on the year to Pitts -3. We'll take the points here in a game that figures to come down to the wire. Pitt being ranked #23 in the Nation helps our cause. Anytime an unranked team plays a ranked team, particularly at home, there's added incentive. Hey, that could be Navy at #23 next week. Navy +3
2* North Carolina -4.5 over Virginia
Shop around. We see -4 out there. The question here is, which Virginia team shows up? The team that looked like the worst in the land the first 4 games of the year, or the team that beat Maryland 31-0 and East Carolina 35-20? Look at the difference in these two teams results against a common opponent, Uconn. NC beat Uconn 38-12 while Virginia lost 45-10!! Rather than guess which Virginia team will show up, we'll take into account the entire year for both squads. When doing so, we find a much more consistent and talented football team in North Carolina than we do with Virginia. At 5-1, The Tar Heels are the number one team in the nation in turnover margin at +11 while Virginia ranks 100 out of 119 teams in that category. Great ypp numbers for NC with a 10 on offense and an 18.5 on defense for a +8.5 overall compared with Virginia's dismal 18 on offense and 14 on defense for a -4 overall. The line on this game is reasonable enough at under a touchdown while the gap in talent appears wide enough to have us laying points, which is a rare occasion. North Carolina -4.5.
2* Kentucky -7.5 over Arkansas
Speaking of laying points.......not something we like to do, but sometimes it can't be avoided. This one for very similar reasons as the above game. This game opened Kentucky -11 and we think the oddsmakers had it right. We pointed out some glaring yards per point numbers in the NC/Virginia game and we have an even wider gap in this one. Arkansas with over 19 on offense and 10 on defense rates as just about the worst in all of college football while Kentucky with a 12 on offense and 26 on defense ranks as one of the best (using that stat). It's a significant stat because it tells you how hard a team has to work to put points on the board while also showing us how effective they are defensively at keeping opponents out of the end zone. Some will bring up schedule strength here but really, it's not an issue. They both played Alabama. Kentucky was on the road and lost by 3. Arkansas was home and lost by 35. We wouldn't get too caught up in the Auburn win last week either. It was two teams with new offenses both at the same point in their progress. Some are pointing to Kentucky's lack of offense in their arguments for this one being a close game. We'll go in another direction though. We'll point to Kentucky's defense, which currently ranks as the best scoring defense in the SEC and 3rd nationally, going up against an Arkansas team still learning the new schemes. Put another way, we may not be asking Kentucky to score all that much here. We may just be asking for a touchdown and a couple of field goals. We'll take the better team with the better defense and we'll lay a number that gets more and more favorable as each day goes by. Wait on this one, it may be less than touchdown by Saturday! Oh, and if you're wondering about turnover margins here, Kentucky is +7 and 11th in the nation.......Arkansas is -8 and ranked 114 out of 119 teams. Wow.Kentucky -7.5Comment
-
Re: 10-18-08
Analyst: Bobby Esposito
50,000 Dime Outright Moneyline
FIRST EVER 50,000 DIME
TRIPLE YOUR WAGER
OUTRIGHT MONEYLINE
GAME OF THE YEAR
Arizona OUTRIGHT over California
also
Alabama -11 over Ole Miss
Penn State -24 over Michigan
Kentucky -7 over Arkansas
LSU -2.5 over South CarolinaComment
-
Re: 10-18-08
Bob Balfe
College Football
Georgia Tech -2.5 over Clemson
Tommy Bowden is out as the head coach at Clemson. New coach Dabo Swinney will take over and he has already let go of the offensive coordinator. There will also be a QB change. Willy Korn takes over for Cullen Harper. Change is good, but not in the middle of the football season going against a 5-1 GTech team that has added in the option run game. Clemson has struggled on offense and I don't see them scoring enough today. Look for GTech to get a big road win.
Northwestern -4 over Purdue
Northwestern lost for the first time last week in a game they could have won. This Wildcats offense is no joke and their defense is pretty good themselves. Purdue has don't nothing offensively for the last 9 quarters. Until they can prove they can get it going again I cannot take them against a high powered offense like the Wildcats have. Purdue looks lost in Tiller's last season as head coach. Northwestern has also been beat pretty bad the last few years. The veteran are seeking revenge. Take Northwestern.
Oklahoma -19 over Kansas
Kansas has played a very easy schedule and had to come up with a miracle in Iowa State to come back and win that game as they were down big at the half. I can guarantee that this Oklahoma team is ready to play football. Bob Stoops is 9-0 the week after the Texas Game. This week Oklahoma will be looking to prove they belong at the top. Kansas has been one of those teams for the past two seasons that are not as good as their record. Take the Sooners.
Georgia -14.5 over Vanderbilt
Vandy had their run and their 15 minutes of fame, but they are not ready to compete with the likes of Georgia. I do not see how Vandy will be able to run on this stiff defense and throwing the ball will be tough with the QB injuries Vanderbilt has. Georgia will feed off this home crowd and go wire to wire. Take the Bulldogs.
Colorado State +22 over Utah
CSU used to be the laughing stock of college football, but this team has arrived and has the ability of playing very good defense. I am very impressed with how the Rams plays against TCU's and Houston's high power offense. This Utah team is good, but CSU will keep this game closer than the oddmakers think. Take Colorado State.
Michigan +24.5 over Penn State
Penn State has looked like a National Champion while Michigan looks like a team with a new coach and still crushed from last seasons opening day loss to Appalachian State. Penn State has covered most of their games and Michigan has not. The Wolverines still have a ton of talent and really now have nothing to lose. Penn State will win this game, but this spread is too high especially against a PSU team that will be looking forward to Ohio State next weekend. Look for a tight game. Take Michigan.
Major League Baseball
Redsox +120 over Rays Beckett/ShieldsComment
-
Re: 10-18-08
Rocky Atkinson | CFB Side
double-dime bet351 Ohio St. -3.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 352 Michigan St.
Analysis:
Ohio State @ Michigan State 3:30 PM EST
Play On: (#351) 2* Ohio State -3
Ohio State is 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS last 3 years as a road favorite. Ohio State is 9-1 ATS since 1992 as a road favorite of 3 points or less. Ohio State is allowing only 14.3 points per game overall this year. Ohio State is 5-1 SU and ATS at Michigan State since 1992. Buckeyes are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October. Buckeyes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Buckeyes are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on grass. Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 conference games. Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Spartans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Spartans are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games. Spartans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in October. Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We'll play Ohio State for 2 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rocky Atkinson | CFB Side
double-dime bet353 Missouri 6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 354 Texas
Analysis:
Missouri @ Texas 8:00 PM EST
Play On: (#353) 3* Missouri +6
Missouri is scoring 48.3 points per game overall this year and 52 points per game on the road this season. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss. Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a SU loss. We'll play Missouri for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Sat, 10/18/08 - 3:30 PMRocky Atkinson | CFB Side
triple-dime bet380 Buffalo -11.5 (-110) SportBet vs 379 Army
Analysis:
Army @ Buffalo 3:30 PM EST
Play On: (#380) 4* Buffalo -11 1/2
Army is scoring only 16.3 points per game overall this year. Buffalo is scoring 33.3 points per game at home this season. Black Knights are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Black Knights are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC. Black Knights are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Black Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. We'll play Buffalo for 4 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Sat, 10/18/08 - 1:00 PMRocky Atkinson | CFB Side
double-dime bet395 Fla. Atlantic 1.0 (-110) Bodog vs 396 W. Kentucky
Analysis:
Florida Atlantic @ Western Kentucky 7:00 PM EST
Play On: (#395) 3* Florida Atlantic +1
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Owls are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. We'll playComment
-
Re: 10-18-08
Tom Stryker's Rare 6* College Late Phone Selection
#384 TULSA (-) over Texas El Paso at 8 PM EST
You'll have to forgive Tulsa for not whipping the pants off SMU last week. The Golden Hurricane didn't want to give too much away especially with a revenge war against Texas El Paso on deck.
Surprisingly, with a perfect 6-0 SU record, TU isn't getting any love from the polls. This team is NO WHERE in the Top 25! That fact will have TU motivated today. Crushing a Texas El Paso squad that enters off three consecutive straight up wins and a shiny 3-0 SU mark in the conference will certainly earn the respect of the voters! No one likes to be snubbed from the rankings especially when they deserve to be there. Rest assured, if the Golden Hurricane get a chance to pour it on, they will!
Technically speaking, there are a trio of factors that back this TU investment. First, at home off a straight up win and matched up against an opponent that enters off a straight up victory, Tulsa is a perfect 9-0 SU and ATS provided they are priced as a favorite or an underdog of +9 or less. Second, as a guest going into revenge and matched up against an opponent that enters off an ATS loss, UTEP has hit rock bottom notching an ugly 0-9 ATS record. Finally, undefeated hosts at game seven or later are a respectable 23-11 ATS provided both teams enter off straight up victories and our play on side arrives off an ATS loss.
Since 1985, the Miners have posted a woeful 1-19 SU and 7-13 ATS record on the road matched up against an opponent that carries a won/loss percentage of .800 or better. The Golden Hurricane have played three games in the newly renovated H.A. Chapman Stadium and they won those by the combined score of 181-76 or an average of 35.0 points per game. With another decisive home win, TU keeps its BCS hopes alive and they'll pick up the Top 25 ranking it deserves. Take Tulsa. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.Comment
Comment