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The Indians pulled out a 3-2 win in the series opener last night over the Angels, as Los Angeles looks to bounce back tonight. Trevor Bell gets the ball for the Halos, coming off a win in his last start at Seattle. Bell is fresh off consecutive quality starts over the Mariners and Orioles, two teams in the class of the Indians. Cleveland is just 7-16 this season on the road off an away victory, as Justin Masterson takes the mound. The sinkerballer has struggled mightily on the road, going 2-7 with an ERA of 6.75. I'll take the Angels here to knock off the Indians.
HENTAI SPORTS
Game : Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies (MLB) 02:20pm EST
Prediction : Cincinnati Reds ML / Johnny Cueto must start.
Analysis : The Reds will start Johnny Cueto, who is 12-4 on the season with a 3.41 ERA. Cueto has been pretty good on the road this season, going 6-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 13 starts. The Reds offense will have to get something going against Jhoulys Chacin of the Rockies, who has been pitching well of late. Even though this will be the first time the Reds have faced Chacin, I think they are going to find a way to put plenty of runs on the board in this one, especially with the game being played at Colorado.
Tuesday's Action
15 DIME baseball selection on the COLORADO ROCKIES over the Reds in the seaond game of a four-game series at Coors Field. The Rockies are laying -130 across the board in this contest. Note that you must list Jhoulys Chacin as Colorado’s stareting pitcher. If Chacin does not start, this release is VOID!
10 DIME baseball selertion the Dodgers-Padres game UNDER the posted total of 5½. Both L.A.’s Clayton Kershaw and San Diego’s Mat Latos must start this game. If either does not pitch, this release is VOID!
Rockies
You just can’t argue with Colorado’s success at Coors Field. After yesterday’s 10-5 come-from-behind win over the Reds – and they trailed 4-0 – the Rockies are now 44-22 on their own diamond (coapared with 29-42 on the highway), and their .302 batting average at Coors is far and away the best home batting average in all of baseball. And it’s a “complete” batting average, too, with Colorado hitting .304 against right-handers and .298 against lefties.
Regardless of venue, though, the Rockies are rolling, having won four in a row and 11 of their last 15, and that includes eight victories against teams in playoff contention (Giants, Padres, Braves, Reds). The surge has put Colorado back in the mix for both the N.L. West crown (they’re 4½ games back of San Diego) and the wild-card race (five games back of Philadelphia).
By comparison, 18 of Cincinnati’s last 20 victories have come against opponents (Pirates, Cubs, DBacks, Dodgers and Brewers) that are playing out the string. At the same time, the Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games against plaeyoff contenders (St. Louis, San Francisco, Colorado).
It also should be noted that Cincinnati just can’t handle the Rockies, who have won 18 of the last 23 head-to-head meetings overall and 20 of the last 26 meetings in the Mile High City (including the last seven in a row). The last time the Reds posted a victory in Coors Field? Back on Aug. 22, 2008.
Colorado right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is largely unknown, but he’s been pitching his ass off lately, allowing just four runs (two earned) in his last three starts over 20 innings (0.90 ERA). And going back to the end of June, Chacin’s last five big-league starts have resulted in a 1.63 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings.
Dodgers-Padres UNDER
Does it seem ridiculous to play a baseball game under the total of 5½? It won’t when you get a load of these numbers.
First, these teams have faced off 16 times in the last calendar year, and the under has cashed in 12 of those 16 games, including eight of nine at Petco Park. Even crazier, nine of those 12 “unders” have featured five combined runs or fewer – and all 12 have featured seven combined runs or fewer.
Now to this pitching matchup of Clayton Kershaw against Mat Latos. Here’s the 411 on Kershaw: He’s got a 2.20 ERA in his last five starts (all quality outings) with 38 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings; he’s given up two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last nine outings (pitching at least six innings in all nine games); and he’s given up a single earned run in his last three starts against the Padres going back to Sept. 4 of last year, posting a 1.33 ERA. The final scores in those three games: 4-1, 4-1 and 2-0. All three games stayed under the total, and in fact Kershaw’s last six starts against San Diego since the begirning of last year have stayed low, with the last five by scores of 4-1, 4-1, 2-0, 3-1 and 1-0.
As for Latos, the guy has simply been the best pitcher in baseball since May 1, going 12-3 with a 1.66 ERA in 21 starts with a 147-37 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 135 1/3 innings. In those 21 starts, he’s given up two runs or fewer a whopping 20 times. That includes two starts against the Dodgers in which Latos allowed just four runs (three earned) on six hits in 11 innings. Final score of those two games: 3-2 and 2-1. And going back to Latos’ final start in July, the under is 5-1-1 in his last seven outings, with four of those games ended with five total runs or less.
The fact Latos got scratched from yesterday’s start (stomach virus) means he’s had an extra day of rest, which is huge for a rookie this late in the season.
Finally, neither of these teams are hitting a lick right now: The Dodgers have a .248 average over their last 10 games (the under is 4-1 in the last five), while San Diego is hitting .226 in its last 10 (with the under hitting in eight of those contests).
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