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Re: 9-11-10
Northcoast
4* TOTAL GOM Total 64½ ov-110 (Troy vs Oklahoma St )
Northcoast
4* TOTAL GOM Total 64½ ov-110 (Troy vs Oklahoma St )
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Re: 9-11-10
DEREK MANCINI
Today's Winners...
25 Dime - Oklahoma (Go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point on the Sooners if you get it at 7 or even 7 1/2)
It's funny how bettors everywhere are looking at this game as the "lock of the week," touting the Seminoles excellent play in the opener versus the Sooners god awful effort against Utah State. BIG MISTAKE.
I can tell you two things that are going to happen in this contest that will lead to the public getting burned by the Seminoles. First, Florida State will not be the juggernaut we saw against sorry-*** Samford this afternoon in Norman. Who cares if they beat Samford by 50 or 100 points... It's still Samford! The Sooners are an infinately better team, coming off such a disappointing effort against Utah State, I expect their defense to bounce back big time today. It's clear the Sooners got caught looking ahead to this contest, and their backers paid the price... Florida State gets their full 100% attention this afternoon.
We all know how good Demarco Murray is, so there's really no need to tout his talent. But the one player I expect to really shine today is Landry Jones. I don't care if Bob and Mark Stoops are brothers, the FSU defense does not have the talent to stop a motivated Sooners offense. Give Mark Stoops a couple years and maybe that'll change, but not this year, and definately not today. Noles defense is vulnerable, and they'll be gearing up to stop Murray, giving Jones plenty of oppurtunities against this FSU secondary.
Looking at the line, this game was a no play for me at the opening number (Sooners opened as 10-point favorite), but with the public driving down the price to its current number (at 7 in most places), we can now afford to buy down to lay less than a touchdown. For as good as the Seminoles are, laying less than a TD with the Sooners, at home off a disappointing effort, is too good to pass up. Florida St has the offense, but their defense will be their downfall, as Jones leads his team to the win and cover this afternoon in Norman.
5 Dime - Padres (Stauffer/Bumgarner)
Fishy line here. Oddsmakers are clearly begging for Giants money, but it makes no sense. The public was going to bet San Francisco in this match up anyway, especially with Bumgarner versus Stauffer... So why are they trying to entice you with such an affordable price on the Giants?
Think about it. Giants have won 9 of 12, while the Padres are 3-12 over their L15 games. Bumgarner is coming off back-to-back excellent efforts, and has yielded two runs or fewer in 4 of his L5 starts. While on the flip side, Stauffer is a glorified reliever, who's happened to fill in nicely in a couple emergency situations this season. Then there's the struggling Padres offense to consider. And yet, all that being said, the Padres are slight favorites here? Red flags going up all over the place, and because of that there's no doubt the play here has to be the Padres.
So why San Diego? Well for one, Stauffer has been rock-solid when given the oppurtunity this season. He's more than capable of limiting a Giants offense that has been almost as futile as San Diego's over their last 10 games, batting a terrible .213 as a team over that span. Not only that, but after winning the first two games of this series (and now sitting tied atop the division), the Padres have to be extremely motivated here to protect their home field. Three straight losses could turn a losing streak into a tailspin.
Also, in case you didn't know, the Padres are 15-7 against lefties at Petco, averaging 4.9 runs per game in that spot... So this match up may be a little tougher for Bumgarner than most bettors think. Padres (Stauffer) over Giants (Bumgarner) Saturday.Comment
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Re: 9-11-10
yndicate sharps : (elitecapperspicks / twitter)
(11-6 last 2 days)
ncaaf sat:(6 **members**plays)
3:30pm *5* california -10 (-103)
3:30pm *5* michigan/notre dame over 52.5 (-106)
3:40pm *5* miami florida +8 (-105)
7:00pm *5* tulsa -17 (-109)
7:00pm *5* penn state +12.5 (-102)
7:00pm *5* syracuse/washington over 49 (-105)
mlb sat:(3 **members** picks)
7:10pm *5* cin reds -rl -1.5 (-118)
8:05pm *5* ny yankees -ml (-101)
9:05pm *5* seattle mariners -ml (-109)Comment
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