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Take 'Under' 9.5 Toronto at Baltimore (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 15)
Take 'Over' 9.0 San Diego at Colorado (3 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 15)
Take 'Over' 9.0 Arizona at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 15)
Take 'Under' 7.0 L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco (10 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 15)
Wednesday MLB 100% Dog of the Month With Power Pitcher Angle + 23-2 MLB Blowout system. Both go at night Tuesday 6* Cashes easily
On Wednesday the Free MLB Play is on the New York Mets. Game 912 at 7:10 eastern. The Mets fit a solid system here tonight that has cashed 20 of 24 times. The only thing that makes this a free play is the elevated line. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites off a home favored win at -140 or higher if they won by 5 or more runs with 10 or more hits vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs if they scored 2 or less runs with 5 or more men left on base. The Pirates are 1-14 as a road dog from + 125 to +150 and have lost 23 of 30 games against teams that are under .500. Plus the Pirates are hitting just .213 the past week. Pat Malholm makes the start her tonight and he has an era over 11 the past 3 starts. Tonight he takes on Mets rookie righty Meija. Look for the Mets to get this one here tonight. On Wednesday I have a 100% MLB Dog system and a 23-2 MLB Diamond Cutter Blowout system. Tuesday 6* Total. Congrats to those who jumped on.. For the free play take the Mets. GC
I'm backing J.Shields at home. He hasn't been great at all. But he's faced New York 4 times this season. And has gone 26 innings and allowed just 16 hits and 8 ER's with 28 K's. On Aug. 1st he went 7.1 innings at home and allowed 4 hits and 0 ER's in a 3-0 win. Good price as the Yankees and P.Hughes getting a bit too much respect here.
I'm backing J.Shields at home. He hasn't been great at all. But he's faced New York 4 times this season. And has gone 26 innings and allowed just 16 hits and 8 ER's with 28 K's. On Aug. 1st he went 7.1 innings at home and allowed 4 hits and 0 ER's in a 3-0 win. Good price as the Yankees and P.Hughes getting a bit too much respect here.
5 STAR
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.
Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
(52-11 since 1997.) (82.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (10-2
Favoring: COLORADO on the run line.
Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
(56-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.4%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-4
4 STAR
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(68-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (15-1
Favoring: COLORADO on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
(69-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (13-0
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams (TORONTO) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(85-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (18-3
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(63-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (12-6
Favoring: ATLANTA on the run line.
Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (ATLANTA) - stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits
(47-22 since 1997.) (68.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-0
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(64-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (19-5
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (18-5
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(69-28 since 1997.) (71.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-6
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a winning record on the season, in September games
(81-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-5
Favoring: FLORIDA on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (FLORIDA) - with a winning record on the season, in September games
(81-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (9-5
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(125-63 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (32-21
Favoring: MINNESOTA on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (MINNESOTA) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(48-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-2
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(97-44 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (28-14
2 UNIT Toronto +1.06 over BALTIMORE
2 UNIT TAMPA BAY –1.02 over NY Yankees
2 UNIT Chicago +1.79 over ST. LOUIS
2 UNIT Washington +1.79 over ATLANTA
2 UNIT CINCINNATI –1½ +1.10 over Arizona
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