Tweet
Re: 9-17-10
Northcoast
Marq Cal
Opinion S Miss
Northcoast
Marq Cal
Opinion S Miss
-
-
Re: 9-17-10
jeff benton friday
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes minus $220..overall 117-139-7 minus 495
Jeff Benton Friday's Action
30 DIME college football selection on CALIFORNIA minus the points vs. Nevada in a non-confeaence clash from Reno. As I go live with this play, Cal is fluctuating between a 2½ and 3-point favorite. Obviously, there’s a huge difference between those two numbers, so make sure you shop around and get the best of the number in this conetest.
10 DIME baseball selrction on the ASTROS at home against the Reds. This is a pick-em game most locales. Make sure when making your wager that your list only Wandy Rodriguez as Houston’s starting pitcher. If Rodriguez does NOT start, this play is null and void!
CALIFORNIA (-2 1/2)
Plain and simple, Nevada is the biggest bully in all of college football. When the Wolf Pack are matched against the Little Sisters of the Poor – you know, schools like UNLV, Colorado State, New Mexico State, Louisiana Tech, San Jose State, etc. – they look like the 2008 Florida Gators. But when forced to buakle their chin straps and run with the big boys of college football, the Wolf Pack put their collective tail between their collective legs and cower in the corner.
To the first point: Nevada has won its first two games this year by scores of 49-24 and 51-6. The opponents? Eastern Washington and Colorado State, respectively. Last year, Nevada beat UNLV, Louisiana Tech, Utah State, Idaho, Hawaii, San Jose State, Fresno State and New Mexico State by a combined score of 413-181. That’s eight wins by an average margin of 51.6-22.7.
What did the Wolf Pack do in their five losses last season? 35-0 at Notre Dame, 35-20 at Colorado State (which is embarrassing, as they were favored), 31-21 to Missouri, 44-33 at Boise State, 45-10 to SMU (bowl game). Going back to the start of the 207 season, Nevada has lost eight straight games to teams from upper-echelon conferences (plus independent Notre Dame). Not only did they lose those eight games, they went 1-7 ATS.
With the exception of the one spread-cover – 36-31 loss at Northwestern as a 10-point ‘dog in 2007 – every other defeat has been a blowout. I meentioned the Notre Dame and Missouri losses last year, but there was also the following: 35-19 home loss to Texas Tech; 69-17 road loss at Missouri; 42-35 bowl-game loss to Maryland; 52-10 road loss at Nebraska.
Bottom line: Even though the jury is still out on how good Cal is – though the Bears certainly opened some eyes with that 52-7 dismantling of Colorado on Saturday – there’s no doubt in my mind they’ve got better athletes on both sides of the football than Nevada does (especially defensively). The fact Nevada is a home ‘dog here tells us that much.
And even though Cal has a tough road game on deck next week (Pac-10 opener at Arizona), I don’t see ANY way the Bears get caught in a letdown trap here – not on the road, not in a prime-time televised contest, and not when coach Jeff Tedford and his staff know how dangerrus Nevada’s offense can be.
No, Cal will be 100 percent focused for this contest, with their superior strength, speed and athleticism, the Bears will beat down Nevada the same way every other BSC school beats up on the Wolf Pack – we’re talking an easy double-digit win for the visitors.
ASTROS (Listing Rodriguez)
I can’t pass up Wandy Rodriguez at a pick-em price at home, even if he’s facing the first-place Reds and even if he’s been the recipient of some horrible luck. Rodriguez has delivered 10 consecutive quality starts going 4-1 with a paltry 1.30 ERA during this stretch while giving Houston at least seven innings eight times, including in each of the last four starts.
This 10-game run began with a dominating 4-0 home victory over the Reds, as he allowed just one hit and two walks with seven strikeouts in seven shutout innings. In fact, if you take away a wind-altered, five-run, six-inning effort at Wrigley Field on July 19 – and he was spotted an 8-1 lead in that game – Rodriguez has a 1.70 ERA in 12 starts since June 24, and all 12 were quality starts.
Additionally, if you eliminate an eight-run, 3 1/3-inning disaster in Cincinnati back on May 28, Rodriguez’s last nine starts against the Reds dating to August 2008 have yielded the following stats: 10 earned runs, 55 hits, 15 walks, 71 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings (1.63 ERA).
Finally, the Astros have been solid in the second half of the season, going 34-23 – including 17-7 in the last 24 overall and 10-2 in their last 12 against N.L. Central foes – to pull within six games of .500. Houston also has won 18 of 25 at Minute Maid Park, and you know they would relish the opportunity to beat their rivals and make them sweat at little bit (the Reds, who have lost five straight on the road, have a magic number of 10 coming into this game). On top of that, the Astros will be motivated because they’ve lost 19 of the last 25 meetings to Cincinnati.Comment
-
Re: 9-17-10
Friday, September 17th – Football – NCAA
By eNProv, on September 17, 2010
Posted in: NCAAF Premium Picks
103 Kansas +5 (-105) +195 Ov 53 (-105)
104 Southern Mississippi -5 (-105) -215 Un 53 (-105)
5* Southern Mississippi
Friday, September 17th – Baseball – MLB
By eNProv, on September 17, 2010
Posted in: MLB Premium Picks
905 Atlanta Braves (T Hanson -R) -1.5 (+130) -126 Ov 7 (-110)
906 New York Mets (J Niese -L) +1.5 (-140) +116 Un 7 (+100)
3* New York Mets
FREE MLB – Friday, September 17th
By eNProv, on September 17, 2010
Posted in: Free Picks
917 New York Yankees (A Burnett -R) -1.5 (+100) -150 Ov 9.5 (-115)
918 Baltimore Orioles (K Millwood -R) +1.5 (-110) +140 Un 9.5 (+105)
FREE PICK – Baltimore OriolesComment
-
Re: 9-17-10
Bob Balfe
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
The Phillies have been red hot and have started to find their bats or at least are hitting better than they were a few weeks ago. Washington is not a very good team on the road and Roy Oswalt is in the zone, winning his last 3 starts. I expect him to continue his dominance again. Take Philadelphia -1.5.Comment
-
Re: 9-17-10
THE DUKE SPORTS
California Over 65' for 2 Units
Both of these offenses are explosive and the jury is not out on the defenses. Yes, California's defense has scored more TDs than they allowed but UC Davis and Colorado do not nearly exhibit the offensive strength that Nevada does. The Wolf Pack offense is a veteran unit that is at full strength early, unlike last season. Nevada's versatile QB Kaepernick runs Ault's Pistol offense to perfection and California's defense will thoroughly be tested after ravaging two lightweight offensive teams. On the other hand, the Golden Bears' offense is also a veteran unit running a pro style offense with a handful of play-makers. And QB Riley makes very good decisions and has an accurate arm (7 TDs / 0 INTs). Nevada's defense under 1st year DC Buh will be in for a long night. California is 19-7 O/U after allowing less than 20 points in previous game. Nevada is 5-1 O/U after allowing less than 20 points in previous game. We'll look for the scoreboard to light up tonight.Comment
-
Re: 9-17-10
BIGFELLA SPORTS
$3 Southern Miss -5
Kansas off a home win as 14 pt dog vs a ranked team! Now hit the road after seeing how good they are?
$3 Nevada +3 330/300
Cal has blown to many covers in these type games after looking great the week before in past years!Comment
Comment