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100* Play Tampa Bay (-190) over Seattle
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Seattle has lost 31 of the last 38 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 29 of the last 38 road games when playing in the month of September. Jason Vargas has lost 8 of the last 9 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he has also lost 4 consecutive games when pitching on a Friday.
50* Play Toronto (-175) over Baltimore
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST
Toronto has won 20 of the last 24 games vs. Baltimore at home and they have also won 16 of the last 23 games when playing on a Friday. Brett Cecil has won 12 of the last 14 games when pitching with 5 or 6 days of rest and he is 2-0 vs. Baltimore over his career with an ERA of 1.96.
Game : Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (MLB) 07:05pm EST
Prediction : Atlanta Braves -1.5 / Tim Hudson must start.
Analysis : The Atlanta Braves are getting into must-win territory, and there is no better starter to handle this pressure than Tim Hudson. He is having a Cy Young-worthy year for Atlanta, going 16-8 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.124 WHIP in 32 starts. Washington goes with Jordan Zimmerman tonight, who has lacked control issues and has had a hard time getting anyone out this year. Zimmerman is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in 5 starts this seasonspan.
Hondo swirled down the drain with the fading Yanks last night but limited the damage by breezing to victory with Miami's Hurricanes to put the deficit at 2,495 baughs.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch has 10 units that say the Horned Frogs of TCU can do against SMU. Also, 10 more on Hudson to shore up the Braves' situation
For my comp selection, TCU has been known for its defense the last several years, but now the Horned Frogs are pretty good offensively as well with QB Andrew Dalton playing near perfect football so far this season. I’m going to lay the points and play TCU tonight in this game from Dallas as they take on SMU in this in-state rivalry game.
Dalton has a QB rating of 161.4 and he’s completed almost 75 percent of his throws for 624 yards and four TDs. He’s also rushed for 113 yards and scored three TDs on the ground. He’s led TCU to 32 victories in his career and they have won 17 of 18, losing only to Boise St in the Fiesta Bowl last year.
TCU is averaging 45.7 points a game behind the play of Dalton and RB Ed Wesley, who has rushed for 384 yards and averages 8.2 per carry.
All that offense and they continue to be strong defensively, giving up just 222.7 yards a game – good for fourth in the nation.
SMU beat its first BCS conference school in 10 years when they beat Washington State on Saturday, 35-21. But this is a completely different beast they are taking on today. TCU is the real deal and will deliver a dose of reality and a beating to the Mustangs.
Last year, TCU beat SMU and retained the Iron Skillet for the third straight year with a 39-14 victory. Dalton had two fourth-quarter TD passes that put the game out of reach, but SMU covered as 28-point road ‘dogs. Last time they went to SMU was 2008 when TCU delivered a 48-7 beating and easily cashed as 24 ½-point chalk.
The Horned Frogs have scored at least 30 points in nine of their last 10 games, with the only low-scoring game they’ve had coming in that Fiesta Bowl loss, 17-10. TCU is on ATS streaks of 8-3 overall, 7-3 in September, 6-2 on Fridays and 5-1 on the highway. Meanwhile, SMU is just 1-4 ATS at home.
I’m going to lay the points and play TCU in this one!
5? TCU
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