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Re: 9-24-10
SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING
CFB 10 DIME PLAY
10 DIME* S.M.U +18
MLB FREE PLAY
Texas Rangers
SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING
CFB 10 DIME PLAY
10 DIME* S.M.U +18
MLB FREE PLAY
Texas Rangers
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Re: 9-24-10
S Nover
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NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST GAME OF THE YEAR
100 DIME Colorado Rockies
COLLEGE BONUS
15 DIME SMU MustangsComment
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Re: 9-24-10
Rich Green
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3* TCU over 54
3* Devil Rays -2.00
Silver Key Free Play
LAA -1.45Comment
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Re: 9-24-10
HRC NCAA PREMIUM-Sunday, September 24th
Capper: Robcat (Handicappers Paradise)
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2* Action (non-rated)
5* Selection
8* Premium
10* Premium
15* Diamond
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Selections:
[304] SMU |5*|-19|B+0|ESPN|@ 8:00 pm EST
NCAAF/ NFL YTD 15-8Comment
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Re: 9-24-10
Jeff Benton
FRIDAY'S WINNERS
15 DIME college football selection on SMU plus the points in its instate baatle with TCU from Dallas. SMU is a hefty home underdog in this contest, catching between 17½ and 18 points depending on where you shop.
5 DIME baseball selection on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES over the Mets. Philadelphia is rainging from a -140 to -150 favorite depending on where you shop. Note that you must specify Joe Blanton as Philadelphia’s starting pitcher. If Blanton does not pitch, this play is VOID.
5 DIME baseball selection on the Marlins-Brewers game to go OVER the total of 9½ runs. As with all baseball over/under plays, stalting pitchers must be listed, so Andrew Miller (Florida) and Mark Rodgers (Milwaukee) must start or this play is void.
SMU
Nobody’s a bigger TCU fan that I am – I’m one of the few who would give the Horned Frogs a legit shot to beat ANY team in the country. Certainly, they’ve got all the ingradients, with an explosive offense (guided by a fourth-year starting QB), a ferocious, opportunistic defense and a coaching staff that’s one of the best in the country.
But asking the Horned Frogs to lay THIS kind of price in their first true road game? Against a neighboring rival that’s on an upswing? On national TV? That’s a very tall order, particularly with the way SMU can put points on the board (27, 28 and 35 in its first three games).
In fact, since suffering a 1-4 slump in the middle of last season, the Mustangs have won seven of their last nine games, scoring 26 points or more in every contest (with an average of 31.7 ppg). SMU’s only losses during this stretch were on the road at Marshall (34-31 as a 3½-point ‘dog last November) and Texas Tech (35-27 as a 12½-point ‘dog in the season opener three weeks ago). And since getting pounded 39-14 at TCU on Oct. 3 last year (covering as a 28-point road underdog), the Mustangs have won six of seven home games (only loss was a three-point overtime setback to Navy as a 6-point home pup the week after losing to TCU).
That a June Jones-coached squad is lighting up the scoreboard is no surprise. What is a shock is SMU’s play on defense recently. It has held four of its last five opponents to 21 points or less, including yielding just four touchdowns in its last two games against UAB (28-7 victory) and Washington State (35-21, with Wazu getting a garbage TD with 1:50 left in the game).
Make no mistake: This will be SMU’s biggest challenge of the entire season – the Horned Frogs are THAT good. But I trust that Jones has spent the last few weeks prepping for this contest, which not only is important in that it’s a rivalry game against an opponent that resides 30 miles away, but it’s even bigger from a recruiting perspective (obviously, there’s a boatload of high-school football talent in the Dallas/Fort Worth area, and Jones would like to impress them).
The Mustangs are on ATS runs of 4-0 as an underdog, 5-1 as a double-digit pup, 7-3 as a double-digit home pup and 4-1 after a non-cover (they failed to cash as a huge favorite against Washington State last week). And while they’ve still got a ways to go to be in TCU’s class as a national power, the Mustangs are definitely closing the gap. And keep in mind that because of SMU’s quick-strike offense, the backdoor will be wide open in the fourth quariter.
TCU (2-5 ATS last seven against SMU, all as a big favorite) gets the win, but somewhere in the range of 34-21. Take the points.
PHILLIES
I’m hardly the biggest Joe Blanton fan in the world, but really, who am I to step in front Philadelphia right now? The Phillies ran their winning streak to 10 in a row with Wednesday’s 1-0 win over the Braves, and going back to Aug. 26, Philadelphia is 22-4 overall, including 11-2 at home (with nine straight wins at Citizens Bank Park coming into this one.
Prior to this surge, the Phillies were sitting at 70-57 and trailing the Braves in the N.L. East standings. Now they’re 92-61 with a six-game cushion and a magic number of four. Meanwhile, New York comes into this one having dropped five straight games, and if you take away a four-game home sweep of the Pirates (who are going to set the record for the worst road mark in baseball history), the Mets have dropped six in a row and seven of eight. That includes two losses in three games against the Phillies in Queens two weeks ago.
In fact, Philadelphia has taken six of the last eight meetings overall and six of the last eight clashes at Citizens Bank going back to last September. True, I definitely would rather be backing New York knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (11-7, 2.92 ERA) instead of Blanton (7-6, 5.04 ERA). However, Blanton has been at least decent at home (4-2, 4.40 ERA in 14 starts), and the Phillies are 8-1 in his last nine starts, winning the last five in a row overall and going 6-1 at home. In fact, since being traded from Oakland last year, Philadelphia is 27-11 when Blanton starts at the Bank.
Meanwhile, Dickey’s road numbers (4-5, 3.62 ERA) aren’t nearly as imprelsive as his home numbers (7-2, 2.09). And one of his worst starts of the season came in Philly on Aug. 8, when he got touched up for six runs (four earned) on eight hits in just three innings, losing 6-5. (Blanton has faced the Mets twice in Philadelphia, going 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA while giving up just two runs in 14 1/3 innings).
Marlins-Brewers OVER THE TOTAL
If there’s a bigger pitching disaster than Florida southpaw Andrew Miller right now, I have no clue who it is. In his last three starts (two against the Phillies, one against the Cubs), Miller has posted the following pitching lines:
4 innings, 11 hits, 7 runs (all earned), 3 walks
5 innings, 9 hits, 7 runs (5 earned), 3 walks
1 1/3 innings, 3 hits, 5 runs (all earned), 4 walks
I’ll do the math for you: That’s 19 runs (17 earned) on 23 hits (including four home runs!) and 10 walks in 10 1/3 innings. And here’s what that equates to: a 14.81 ERA, a 3.19 WHIP, a .349 opponents batting average and a .541 opponents on-base percentage!
If that’s not ugly enough, consider what Miller did in his final three Triple-A starts before being recalled to the big club in September: 15 runs allowed in 15 1/3 innings! Andrew Miller should NOT be pitching in the major leagues, simple as that, and if Florida’s manager leaves this chump out on the mound long enough to hang himself, I have zero doubt that Milwaukee can push this game over the total all by itself (just as the Brewers did two days ago when they destroyed Reds pitcher Johnny Cueto and rolled to a 13-1 home win and just as they did last night when they rolled to an 8-3 win over Florida with a total of 7 1/2).
Not that we’ll need Braun, Fielder, Weeks and the Brewers offense to do ALL the damage. Florida is quite capable offensively (19 runs last four games), and it will be going up against right-hander Mark Rodgers, who will be making his first major-league start (the 24-year-old has pitched in relief twice, tossing two perfect innings).
These teams have hopped over the total in four of five meetings this year – including last night’s 8-3 contest – and nine of 11 going back to last year; the over is 10-3-1 in Florida’s last 14 roadies; and Milwaukee has topped the total in 39 of its last 54 against the N.L. East.Comment
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Re: 9-24-10
Friday 21-3 MLB 5* Power House system wins by 3 runs per game + NCCA Side. Thursday card Cashes 2 of 3
On Friday the free MLB Play is on the Toronto Blue Jays game 968 at 7:05 eastern. Toronto has won 20 of the last 24 here at home vs Baltimore,including all 6 this year. As a home favorite in this range the Jays have won 11 of 14 ty. Friday seems to be their night as they have won 16 of 23 on Friday nights. The Orioles are just 13-41 the past few years on Artificial turf. This year alone they have lost 10 of 12 on the fake stuff. When installed as a road dog in this range the Orioles are just 5-13. B. Cecil is on the mound for Baltimore and he is 3-0 with a 1.96 era vs Baltimore. Tillman is on the hill for the Orioles and he is 0-3 vs Toronto and has a 6.42 era in his 9 starts this year. With Baltimore averaging just 1.7 runs per game and hitting .215 on turf we play against them tonight. In the battle of the Birds we will back the Blue Jays over the Orioles. On Friday the lead play is from a 21-3 MLB Power hose system that wins by 3 runs per game. I also have a side play in NCAAF Action. Thursday card cashes 2 of 3. To jump on the 2 bigs tonight, . For the free play take Toronto. bol GCComment
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