9-25-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

RIGHT ANGLE SPORTS (RAS)

1 UNIT EACH
389 troy over 63 1/2
396 south fl. under 60
338 tulane under 59
387 oregon over 54 1/2
357 unlv under 53
357 kansas over 48

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

WUNDERDOG

5 UNIT* Arkansas Razorbacks +7
5 UNIT* California Golden Bears +6.5
5 UNIT* Colorado State Rams +7.5
5 UNIT* Duke Blue Devils -6
5 UNIT* Fresno State Bulldogs +2.5
5 UNIT* Georgia Bulldogs +1
5 UNIT* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -8.5
5 UNIT* Kansas Jayhawks -23
5 UNIT* Oregon Ducks -11.5
5 UNIT* South Florida Bulls -27

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

JSM SPORTS

5* Michigan State Spartans -31
5* Wisconsin Badgers -43

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

PHIL STEELE

BIG DOG PLAYS
Ball State Cardinals
Colorado State Rams
North Texas Mean Green
Toledo Rockets
University Alabama Birmingham Blazers (UAB)
West Virginia Mountaineers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

PREDICTION MACHINE

FREE PICK OF THE WEEK
Oregon -10.5 @ Arizona State (60.7%)

ATS LOCK OF THE WEEK
Stanford -4.5 at Notre Dame (62.0%)

ATS TOP PLAY OF THE DAY
Temple +15 @ Penn State (61.3%)

ATS TOP PLAY OF THE DAY
Boise State -17 vs. Oregon State (61.2%)

60% OR MORE LISTED IN ORDER
Troy/ Ark St. OVER 63.5
MTSU/ UL Lafayette UNDER 53.5
Boise St -17
Fresno +2.5
UCF/Kent St OVER 45
Oregon -10.5
Troy -11.5
New Mex St./ Kansas OVER 48
UAB/Tenn OVER 50.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

DAVID MALINSKY

4* WEST VIRGINIA +10 over L.S.U.

Last week we focused in on the awful ATS tally that Les Miles has put together as home favorite since taking over for Nick Saban in Baton Rouge, and while the Tigers picked up a rare chalk cover in that one, the way it happened goes completely contrary to the way that the markets are playing this week. That gets us back in the game here at the generous plateau that has been created.

OK, so L.S.U. got a 29-7 scoreboard win over Mississippi State. But take a closer look. A struggling offense managed only 15 first downs and 261 yards, with the margin coming from a +4 turnover differential. Yet despite being gifted with five INT’s and the great field position that came with several of them, the Tiger offense could only reach the end zone twice. This is after they had only managed 10 points into the fourth quarter at Vanderbilt two weeks ago, a tense 10-3 struggle that broke open late.

Which leads us to this week. Now we have an offense basically without a go-to strength, with Jordan Jefferson showing little development at QB, netting just 6.0 yards per pass attempt, with as many INT’s as TD’s, despite not having taken a snap while trailing in a game all season. And except for Stevan Ridley breaking a 65-yard TD run in the 4th quarter at Vanderbilt, the ground game has been nothing special. Now they not only take on the best defense they have faced so far, but one that has a chance to be in the Top 10 nationally this season, and it leaves the Tigers hard-pressed to ever get any control of the flow, much less develop a margin. Especially since the Miles designs have rarely maximized opportunities in these settings.

The West Virginia defense will be tough to penetrate overland (125 yards through two lined games), but the pass numbers will need time to correct after three major home runs were hit against them the last two weeks – Marshall scored on a 96-yard TD pass, and Maryland connected for scores of 80 and 60 yards. How out of character were those plays? In the other 50 pass attempts in those two games there were only 217 yards generated. And note that both of the Maryland TD tosses came after the Mountaineers had built a comfortable 28-0 lead in the 3rd quarter. Meanwhile the offense has the playmakers to seriously challenge the Tiger defenders – Geno Smith is going to be special at QB; Noel Devine is dangerous both as a runner and receiver in the open field; and Smith has excellent targets in Tavon Austin, Jock Saunders and Steadman Bailey.

Wet Virginia has gone 4-1 ATS as an underdog under Bill Stewart, with three of the successes outright wins, and while the only pointspread blemish was that 41-30 loss as +7 at Auburn LY, it did not tell us anything at all about a talent imbalance vs. an SEC opponent – the Mountaineers led 509-400 in total offense, but were on the wrong end of a -5 turnover deficit, including an INT return for a TD. They physically stood toe-to-toe in that one, and can do the same here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

CKO

11 *CONNECTICUT over Buffalo Late Score Forecast: *CONNECTICUT 41 - Buffalo 10
10 GEORGIA over *Mississippi St. Late Score Forecast: GEORGIA 26 - *Mississippi St. 17
10 *INDIANA over Akron Late Score Forecast: *INDIANA 41 - Akron 7
10 FLA. INTERNATIONAL over *Maryland Late Score Forecast: FLA. INTERNATIONAL 22 - *Maryland 21

NINE-RATED GAMES:
NOTRE DAME (+41?2) vs. Stanford—The underdog in Notre Dame games is 13-1-1 the last 15 contests; the Irish have the offense to keep Stanford within reach at Notre Dame Stadium...
WEST VIRGINIA (+61?2) at Lsu—Mountaineer QB Geno Smith improving rapidly; Bayou Bengals often overrated vs. spread on home field...
CINCINNATI (-31?2) at Carolina (NFL)—Bengals have been a terrible favorite, but with Jimmy Clausen starting for Panthers, just do the math: 1st-yr QBs = TOs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

the REDSHEET

Alabama 45 - ARKANSAS 20 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Alabama minus 6, and is now minus 71?2. All possible respect for the potent Hogs, & their brilliant leader, Mallett, who has completed 70-of-100 thus far, with 9 TD tosses. And he is in off a 30 TD/7 INT '09 campaign. Thus, a formidable opponent for the Tide, to be sure. But this 'Bama squad is another matter altogether. Not only do they do their share of scoring behind QB McElroy, who leads the land in passing efficiency, as well as Ingram, Richardson, etc, but they rank 2nd in the land in scoring "D", & put the clamps on Mallett LY. Can't jump off ship.
RATING: ALABAMA 89

BOISE STATE 48 - Oregon State 17 - (8:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 17, and is now minus 161?2. As in the above game, we take a backseat to no one in our regard for the Beavers, who are only 4 pts from a 9- 1 spread run, & are always a dangerous dog, especially with the explosive Rodgers brothers leading the way. However, the Broncos are indeed horses of a different color. Led by QB Moore (44 TD passes & only 4 INTs since the start of '09), Boise seems unstoppable for most of the time. Not only are the Broncos prolific on the "O" side of the ball, but they rank 5th in total "D". Until things change.
RATING: BOISE STATE 89

Air Force 38 - WYOMING 13 - (2:00) -- Line opened at AirForce minus 13, and is now minus 11. Early respect for Cowboy chances of keeping this one in sight. A year ago, we were killed, as we had the Falcons a huge play, only to see them win 10-0 as 101?2 chalks. Ouch! As usual, they have their overland game humming. Not only 399 RYpg (#1 in the nation), but try 343 vs the Sooners of Oklahoma, who are allowing just 105.5 RYpg vs their other 2 opponents, as well as 409 vs a BYU team which had previ- ously frustrated the AF run. 'Boys upticking, but in off 85-13 pt deficit vs Texas & Boise. No letup.
RATING: AIR FORCE 88

Baylor 41 - RICE 17 - (8:00) -- Line opened at Baylor minus 7, and is now minus 71?2. As we wrote earlier, the Bears, are no match for the biggies, one of which had its way with them a week ago, namely 4th-ranked TCU. Nearly a 300-yd deficit in that contest, as their only pts came on a 53-yd Griffin pass. But they've previously proved that they can get it done, when placed in the chalk role, as their 34-6 romp over Buffalo indicated. The Owls have been whipping boys of late, allowing 45.6 ppg in their last 9 outings, & are only 4 pts from a 1-13 SU run. And they rank 106th in rushing. Bears don't let these get away.
RATING: BAYLOR 88

IOWA 51 - Ball State 10 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Iowa minus 261?2, and is now minus 28. Early on, we had this one circled as a Card play, as the Hawkeyes are in a huge sandwich, namely off Arizona, with PennSt up next. But you can bet that HC Ferentz won't allow any letdown, nor any look-ahead. Loss to Arizona dropped the Hawks in the polls, but the fact is that they rank as the highest team in the land, with a loss on its slate. BallSt hasn't done much of anything, since its super '08 season. Perfect bounceback.
RATING: IOWA 88

San Francisco 27 - KANSAS CITY 13 - (1:00) -- Line opened as Pick-em, and is now SanFrancisco minus 2. If anyone doubted the resurgence of the Niners, with their opening week stinker at Seattle, they were emphati- cally erased with their Monday Night showing vs the Super Bowl champion Saints. A loss on the final play is a killer, & a Monday team taking to the road the following week, is normally a "go-against". But feeling is that QB Smith came into his own in that game (23-of-32 for 275 yds, in leading the Niners to a 417-287 yd edge, as well as a 24-17 FD advantage. Chiefs doing it with smoke & mirrors.
RATING: SAN FRANCISCO 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Stanford, South Carolina, Army, Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

POINTWISE

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

RATING: 1 BOISE STATE over Oregon State
RATING: 1 STANFORD over Notre Dame
RATING: 2 SOUTH CAROLINA over Auburn
RATING: 3 TCU over Smu
RATING: 4 UTEP over Memphis
RATING: 4 OREGON over Arizona State
RATING: 5 KENTUCKY over Florida
RATING: 5 BAYLOR over Rice
RATING: 1 RATING: 2 RATING: 3 RATING: 4 RATING: 4 RATING: 5 RATING: 5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

Vegas Sports Informer

Lowest to highest rankings

Georgia +1

Under 55 ½ Alabama at Arkansas

Kansas St -7 over UCF

Nevada -3 ½

San Diego St -8 ½

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

Strike Point Sports

North Carolina State (+8) over Georgia Tech (12 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
5 Kansas State (-7) over UCF (12:30 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
5 Duke (-6.5) over Army (3 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
Wake Forest (+19) over Florida State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
Stanford (-4.5) over Notre Dame (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
7 Southern Miss (-3.5) over Louisiana Tech (7 p.m., Saturday, September 25)
Minnesota (-4) over Northern Illinois (8:30p p.m., Saturday, September 25)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

TEDDY COVERS

WEEKNIGHT WIPE-OUT TV WINNER
TCU Horned Frogs

BIG TICKET GAME OF THE WEEK
20* UNC Tar Heels

ANNIHILATOR-MASSIVE BLOWOUT
Penn State Nittany Lions

BIG GAME TV CASH
Arkansas Razorbacks OVER

TEDDY'S TV CASH
Stanford Cardinal

TEDDY'S TV SHOCKER 14-0 ANGLE
BYU Cougars

TEDDY'S TV WINNER
S Carolina Gamecocks

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

Norm Hitzges

NCAA
Double Plays

Texas -15 vs UCLA

Baylor -7.5 vs Rice

Boise -18 vs Oregon St

South Florida -27.5 vs Western Kentucky



Single

Michigan -25.5 vs Bowling Green

Oklahoma -14 vs Cincy

Arkansas +7 vs Alabama

No. Carolina -1 vs Rutgers

UConn -20 vs Buffalo

Florida Atlantic -10 vs UNT

Penn St -13.5 vs Temple

Auburn -3 vs So. Carolina

Indiana -22 vs Akron

Georgia +1 vs Mississippi St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-25-10

tim trushel
color state/20*
w.forest/regular
byu/regular