10-20-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

Stan Sharp | NFL Side
double-dime bet432 NEP -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 431 DEN
Analysis: Stan is betting New England tonight. Stan notes that New England at home off of an embarrassing loss last week on National TV as well will have them ready to play tonight. New England should be able to score on the Denver defense. TAKE NEW ENGLAND as STAN'S AFC MONDAY NIGHT BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

Kelso

1O units New England
3 units Denver/New England Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

BUDINS 25 DIME RELEASE

CALI-CARTEL

1st NFL release (4-1 with college

NEW ENGLAND -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

c Jordan (B Langs site)

500 Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, October 20, 2008

5000* NHL POWER PLAY MONEY LINE WINNER
54 NY Rangers -150 7:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

ATSLOCKS.COM

DEN @ NE: Under 49 (5 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

LVTR

PATRIOTS -3

WRITE-UP

We are now 5-1 for Monday Night games and on course to break last year’s MNF record where we won them all but 3. For tonight, there seems to be an amazing amount of interest in this game. Basically it’s a coin toss when we bring it to paper. Good thing it’s played on the field and not on our computers as we may have found the angle on this one. As you know, if you have followed us for any length of time, we switch it up constantly. You need to. There is no one system that beats Vegas. If there was, we wouldn’t be doing this, and you wouldn’t be here as well and we’d all be in some remote island somewhere with a big drink in one hand and a cell phone in the other trying to figure out how to fly a new Bentley to our new tropical island. As we have said before, you can cap players, performances, trends, and many other options. The one we love best is when Vegas does the work for us and basically gives you the flags. Does it mean the right team wins? Hell no! But, if I’m picking a ship to stay on, I’ll take the one with the lights on and not the public boat that sinks week in and week out. Here’s the deal. The Patriots are struggling and we know that, you know that, ESPN knows it and so forth. Well, if we know it, you can guaran-damn-tee it Vegas knew long ago. Let’s get past all this service talk and fluff and get to the meat of it. You have a team who is no position to be the favorite tonight against a Denver team who is now 4-2. Patriots are playing with a young 2nd string qb, injuries out thee wazoo and players not stepping up. Public is all over Denver, yet this line just won’t budge and the Patriots remain the -3 favorite. What gives? Well, as we said, Vegas is doing the work for us here. Our public team is getting + points which is the old saying that Vegas is begging you to buy Denver. With a 3 line, they will gain more in juice if you buy hooks off or on to the key number 3. Looking closer, we see Denver has only covered one ATS line the whole season and that was in game 1. Patriots are doing what we call the checker board ATS wise which means win one, lose one, win one, lose one, win one, lose one….Let’s take a guess what happens the 7th time. Now you see it! Vegas has established a pattern with what normally is a public team but with all the doom and gloom, it’s actually become a public play to fade the Pats. Where does that get you? Exactly 3-3 ATS, minus the juice and Vegas made their take. So basically as we say, when in a coin toss game, we zone in on the small variables, but judging by Vegas ATS patterns with both teams, we may have found a huge variable. Let’s add in the Patriots defense was flat out embarrassed last week. Hey, no matter the quality of players, they are still a professional team and you don’t want to stick your hand out to a wounded dog backed in a corner. We fully expect an a1 effort tonight under the national lights. Funny thing about MNF, is no matter how bad your season, all eyes are on you so MNF can act as a redemption game. Denver pass defense is weak to say the least which should open up opportunities for the Pats, and you have to believe Moss is due to have a break out game and what better night to do it than on Monday Night. This is not a strong play, but we feel we have the right angle and we’ll back the small home fave with the Patriots.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

ATS Lock 10/20
3 units Denver +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

Bob Akmens

5 Units New England Patriots -3.0

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

vegas-runner | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
432 NEP / 431 DEN Over 48.5 BetUS
Analysis:
*** MNF 3* "PRIME-TIME" GAME of the WEEK ***





Free Bonus NHL for Tonight :



1.) BRUINS -125 ML (1*)



2.) UNDER 5.5 (-105) PIT/BOS (1*)





Mon, 10/20/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Single-Dime Bet
432 NEP (-130) BetUS vs 431 DEN
Analysis:
* 1* TEASER BET * (Possible UPGRADE...Please Check Back Later)


NE PATRIOTS +4 & OVER 41.5 (1*) Teaser...

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-20-08

Stu's 100 Dime Winner #1(SF1)

Denver (48') at New England (-3) - 8:35 p.m. EST






NEW ENGLAND (-3) 100 Dimes






After a disastrous performance last Sunday night at San Diego, New England will bounce back and win and cover this game in easy fashion by at least two touchdowns. Everybody is counting Bill Belichick’s team down and out but nothing could be further from the truth. This coach knows how to get his team to respond and they will. Last month they were embarrassed at home by Miami, but the next time they hit the field, they got the job done at San Francisco. Now after the debacle against the Bolts, New England will take it out on this defensively-challenged Denver team that gives up almost 26 points and 395 yards per game. Denver comes into this game on ATS slides of 7-22-1 overall, 1-5 on the road, 3-11 against teams with winning records and 1-4-1 in conference games. Belichick has given QB Matt Cassel a vote of confidence and I look for Cassel to have a solid game against a Pony defense that yields more than 255 yards per game through the air. This beleaguered secondary has just two interceptions on the season and the only one from a Denver defensive back came back in Week 2. Oh, and then there’s the Denver run defense that ranks a pitiful 26th in the league in stopping the run. New England hasn’t exactly been cranking out big yards on the ground this season, but they will get things going against this porous Denver stop unit, especially after Cassel connects with Randy Moss on a long gainer to open things up. The Denver offense is still banged up and has struggled in recent weeks as they haven’t played all that well since a Week 3 home win over New Orleans. They’ve dropped two of their last three games including one to lowly KC. That was another example of a Denver team just not playing that well on the road. While Denver (4-2 SU) is still very much in the thick of things in their watered down division, this is desperation time for New England (3-2) that can’t afford to fall further back of Buffalo in the division. New England is 15-4-1 ATS in its last 20 games after a defeat as Belichick knows how to get his team ready after a loss. They’re also 18-5-1 ATS in the month of October, but other ATS numbers aren’t so good due to what is usually an inflated number in games involving New England. That is not the case tonight as this is a too low number and we’re getting great value. New England will bring its “A’’ game tonight against a Denver team that is 6-20 SU in its last 26 Monday night road games as the home team rolls big time in this easy win and cover.

[mbgans]

Re: 10-20-08

mbgans
pats -3