9-30-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

BOB BALFE

San Diego Padres -174

San Diego needs to take advantage of their final few games if they hope to grab the last wildcard spot. With the better pitcher on the mound and the Braves off tonight, expect the Padres to play loose and not to be scoreboard watching. Look for San Diego to get a big win before they get into a huge series with the Giants. Take San Diego.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

JASON SHARPE

GAME OF THE YEAR
8 UNIT Texas A&M UNDER 66

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

Jeff Benton

THURSDAY'S ACTION

20 DIME college football selection on Texas A&M-Oklahoma State OVER THE TOTAL. The total in this Big 12 battle is ranging from 66½ to 67 depeading on where you shop. Expect the OVER to take the bulk of the action as the day progriesses, so the earlier you get down on this game the better.





5 DIME baseball selection on the CHICAGO CUBS over the Padres in the finale of a four-game series from San Diego. Chicago is a solid +145 underdog here. No need to list starting pitlhers, as this is an “action play.”











Texas A&M-Oklahoma State OVER THE TOTAL (20 Dime)








“Under” players have made a fortune on these Thursday night marquee TV games this season, with the last four featuring final scores of 31-3, 30-19, 17-14 and 13-10. But all four of those games involved teams whose defenses are ahead of their offenses.








That’s certainly not the case here. Oklahoma State is putting up 57 points and 596 yards per game, while Texas A&M is racking up 41 points and 501.3 yards per game. And both squads are literally running all over their opponents to the tune of 204 rushing yards per contest. Admitaedly, neither the Cowboys nor Aggies have faced quality competition so far – the victim list includes Troy, Tulsa, Washington State, Stephen F. Austin, Louisiana Tech and Florida International.








However, that doesn’t detract from the fact that Oklahoma State and Texas A&M are loaded with skill players on offense. At the same time, both squads are lacking top-tier athletes on the defensive side of the ball – in fact, Oklahoma State gave up 38 points to Troy and 28 points to Tulsa. Meanwhile, A&M’s points-allowed have gone up each week (from 7 to 16 to 20), and now that the defense is finally going to get tested by a compietent, explosive offense, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Aggies surrendered more points tonight than they did in their first three games combined.








After all, Texas A&M’s first three games this year were in College Station. Now they finally have to hit the road, which is notable because last year the Aggies got torched for an average of 47 ppg on foreign turf.








These teams have gone over the total in five of the last six years – and we’re talking about posted totals ranging from a low of 53 to a high of 64. In the last two years alone, Oklahoma State has posted wins of 56-28 and 36-31, with both getting up and over the number (the teams combined for 1,633 yards in those two matchups).








Additionally, check out these “over” trends: For A&M, the “over” is on runs of 26-10-1 on the road, 20-6-1 as a road underdog, 4-1 in September, 6-1 in these marquee Thursday games and 14-4-1 in Big 12 contests. For the Cowboys, the “over” is on streaks of 38-15 at home, 4-0 in September, 4-0 as a favorite (all at home) and 5-0 when coming out of a bye.








Finally, not only have these teams topped the total in five of their last six meetings overall, but the last four in a row in Stillwater have hurdled the price, including scores of 34-33 and 56-28 in the last two.








CUBS (5 Dime)








No team in baseball has been hotter over the past five weeks than the Cubs, who are 21-12 in their last 33 games since manager Lou Pineilla walked off the job, winning 10 of the last 15 overall and 16 of 22 on the highway (they had an eight-game road winning streak snapped in last night’s 3-0 loss).








At the same time, no team has cooled off more over the past five weeks than the Padres, who have dropped 21 of 33 overall and 13 of 20 at home. Take away five wins in six games (including a three-game home sweep) against the pathetic Dodgers (who quit on the season long ago), and San Diego is 7-20 in its last 27 games, including 4-13 at home.








I do give the Padres the edge on the mound today, with Jon Garland (14-12, 3.58 ERA) facing struggling Cubs lefty Tom Gorzelanny (7-9, 4.28 ERA, including 0-2, 10.64 ERA in his last three starts). However, San Diego is just 2-4 in Garland’s last six starts, including 1-3 at home, and the right-hander has 5.00 ERA during this six-game stretch. Also, Gorzelanny has been better on the road this year (3-3, 3.92 ERA) than at Wrigley Field (4-6, 4.56) and he’s been much better in day games (5-3, 3.63 ERA) than night games (2-6, 5.02 ERA).








Two more points to make: 1) The road team has won six of seven meetings between these teams and seven of eight going back to last August (the home team had won the previous nine in a row); and 2) It’s imporlant to mention the guy working the plate tonight – veteran ump Sam Holbrook. Why do I bring up Holbrook? Because the Padres have lost 11 of their last 12 games in which Holbrook was calling balls and strikes – 1-11 is more than just a fluke!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

B&S PICKS

4 DIME BOOKIE BASHER Texas A&M +3
3 DIME PREMIUM PLAY Texas A&M UNDER 66.5
3 DIME PREMIUM PLAY Tampa Bay Rays ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

LINE CHANGERS

Oklahoma State -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

kewaneshue
3% Texas a&m
3% Texas a&m Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

MITguys

Oklahoma State -3 (64.23%)

Toledo -3 (61.09%)

Vanderbilt +7.5 (59.87%)

Notre Dame

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

Karl Garrett
30 DIME
BIG 12 LIVING LOCK

Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

THE CONSENSUS PICK

Pick of the Day: Oklahoma State -3 (-105) [NCAA-FB]

Free Pick: Red Sox (-133) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Lester vs. Danks

[getloose]

Re: 9-30-10

Has anybody come across Al Demarco off of scores.com?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

WINDY CITY SPORTS
7* Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

LENNY DEL GENIO
AL FAVORITE OF THE MONTH

20* Boston Red Sox -125

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

Seabass

100* Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

Street Rosenthal


*200 Oklahoma State -2.5

*200 Boston Red Sox -132
*200 Tampa Bay Rays -120
*200 San Diego Padres -164

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-10

Hammer The Book 9-30-10

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PLAYS

ROTATION 955/956::HOUSTON ASTROS @ CINCINNATI REDS (ASTROS ML +113 @ CANBET)
ROTATION 961/962::COLORADO ROCKIES @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (CARDINALS ML -158 @ BET PHOENIX & BETMANIA)
ROTATION 971/972::TORONTO BLUE JAYS @ MINNESOTA TWINS (TWINS ML -144 @ BetMania & BET PHOENIX)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS

ROTATION 101/102::TEXAS A&M AGGIES @ OKLAHOMA STATE (OKIE STATE -2 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS)