10-1-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

( lets make some money) good luck!!!!

note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY IT!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

Playbook

3* BEST BET BYU over UTAH ST by 14

BYU disappointed us last week in their home loss to Nevada but we’ll show the Mormons ‘Big Love’ for at least another week as HC Bronco Mendenhall looks to rebound from his first-ever three game losing streak. The six-year head coach is now married to freshman QB Jake Heaps with junior signal-caller Riley Nelson lost for the season with a shoulder injury. If this 6-point road-favorite role has you concerned, it shouldn’t: Mendenhall’s pre-nup points out the fact that he is 16-0 SU and 12-4 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back SU losses. There is also value aplenty in this contest. Since Utah State became a lined-team in 1999, the Cougars have never been favored by less than 17 points in this series. In fact, the last time BYU arrived in Logan two short years ago, they were installed as a healthy 29-point choice. We’d lose our liquor license if we didn’t recommend laying less than a touchdown with a bunch of Mormons who have won 22 of 24 SU in this series, including 20 of the last 21 and 10 straight. We’re not sure if Bronco’s boys will be playing in the Las Vegas Bowl for the fifth time in six years, but we are certain that our TUMBLIN’ DICE article on page two is just the tonic these Mormons need. We’ll drink to that – even if these Provo polygamists won’t. Lay the more than reasonable number under the Friday Night Lights.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

Marc Lawrence

3 UNIT Brigham Young -5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

$200* F5 INNINGS* SF Giants -160 ML

[spook]

Re: 10-1-10

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 103-104: BYU at Utah State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 86.684; Utah State 82.173
Dunkel Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: BYU by 6; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+6); Over

[spook]

Re: 10-1-10

BYU vs. Utah State Preview & Pick

BYU Cougars at Utah State Aggies (+4.5, 51.5)
Week 5: BYU vs. Utah State Preview & Odds
Date: Friday, Oct. 1, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Romney Stadium, Logan, UT
Broadcast: ESPN
Cougars vs. Aggies lines from Bodog.com
Cougars: -6
Aggies: +6
Total: N/A


Two struggling teams will go head to head on Friday when the BYU Cougars visit the Utah State Aggies. BYU is a six-point favorite despite hitting the road.

BYU (1-3) has to be relieved to be facing Utah State after getting dealt a pretty tough opening schedule with Washington, at Air Force, at Florida State and Nevada. The Cougars dropped the last three games both straight up and against the spread. Perhaps BYU needs some big change to reverse its fortunes, and it’ll get it in the form of a new starting quarterback.

Riley Nelson has been shut down with a shoulder injury, giving the job to freshman Jake Heaps.

He started in last week’s 27-13 loss to Nevada, completing 24 of his 45 passes for 229 yards and no touchdowns or interceptions. The Cougars did a solid job moving the ball, but they couldn’t capitalize; despite crossing Nevada’s 25-yard line on five occasions, they mustered just six points out of those opportunities.

The Cougars were carved up on the ground by Nevada, which rushed for 229 yards and two scores. Still, they limited Nevada’s high-powered attack to just three points in the second half, which is at least something to hang their hats on.

Utah State (1-3, 1-2 ATS), meanwhile, is trying to cope with an onslaught of injuries—eight starters have already been bitten by the injury bug, and it certainly showed in last week’s 41-7 loss to San Diego State.

It was a terribly disappointing result, especially since the Aggies hung with Oklahoma in their season-opening loss.

The Aggies struggled on both sides of the ball last week. The defense has been bad all year, and it proved why against San Diego State, allowing touchdowns on the Aztecs’ first three possessions. Utah State is desperate for a bigger pass rush after failing to sack San Diego State quarterback Ryan Lindley; he threw for 362 yards and three touchdowns.

Offensively, Utah State is having a very difficult time throwing the football. Diondre Borel completed just 14 of his 31 passes last weekend and he was sacked four times. Supposedly a dual threat, Borel couldn’t get it going on the ground, either.

He carried 18 times for just five yards.

Both teams are playing poorly, but Utah State is just too ravaged by injuries.

The Aggies have struggled to stop the pass, and Heaps might be exactly what the doctor ordered for BYU; he at least showed some flashes last week.

Gambling Trends:

BYU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
BYU (1 – 3) at UTAH ST (1 – 3)

Pick: BYU Cougars -6

[spook]

Re: 10-1-10

BYU at Utah State: What Bettors Need To Know

BYU Cougars at Utah State Aggies (+4.5, 51.5)

It’s Big Love in the state of Utah with the BYU Cougars taking on the Utah State Aggies Friday night. Don't let their combined 2-6 records turn you off, both teams have played tough schedules and face a critical must-win situation on national TV.

And let's not forget that the winner of this instate rivalry gets “The Old Wagon Wheel”

Why BYU Will Cover

The Cougars are on a three-game losing streak, however, those teams (Air Force, Florida State, and Nevada) have a combined record of 10-2. After going through such a tough gauntlet, Utah State provides a bit of drop off in talent. The added motivation of this being a game on ESPN and a “must win” will ensure that BYU will bring its A-game.

Quarterback Jake Heaps will also be a key factor and could have a breakthrough game Friday night. The true freshman was a five-star QB in high school and he is already showing upperclassmen maturity by putting last week's loss on his shoulders.

"The only finger you can point is at me,” Heaps told the media. “I had opportunities and plays I could make and throws I just didn’t make. Offensively we battled and made some great plays. We drove the field and had our way with the defense but just couldn’t finish."

On the defensive side, BYU proved in the Nevada game that it can handle someone like Utah State QB Diondre Borel. The Cougars stop unit managed to keep fleet-footed QB Colin Kaepernick to under 100 yards in rushing and held the country’s fourth-ranked offense to their lowest point total of the season.

History is also on the Cougars’ side with BYU riding a 10-game winning streak in this series.

Why Utah State Will Cover

The Aggies are coming off of two poor performances in which they seemed to lack motivation and focus. Last week against San Diego State, they gave up 21 points in the first quarter which set the tone for the rest of the game.

So with all this negativity why will Utah State cover? Well, it seems like this is a team that will play its best when under the spotlight. Utah State proved it against Oklahoma in its season opener. As 34-point road underdogs, the Aggies nearly beat the Sooners straight up, losing 31-24. Diondre Borel was a key factor in that game throwing for 341 yards and two TDs.

This is the second time in two years that ESPN will be visiting Logan, Utah (the first being last year's game against Boise) and backers can expect to see more of the team that played in Norman rather than the one they have watched in the last two weeks.

Despite losing 10 straight games against BYU, Utah State kept the game close last year and was trailing just 21-17 in the fourth quarter. It’s the last year for Borel and several other starters and they will be aiming to impress against their instate rivals.

Notes And Trends

The line opened up at -6.5 in favor of BYU but it has now moved to -4.5 at most books, despite the fact that popular opinion is on the Cougars. Utah State is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight games in this series. However, this is the lowest line on record in this series. In the last three years, BYU has been favored by an average of 25 points.

The total sits at 51.5 and has seen only slight movement. All four BYU games have gone under the total this year. The under has also hit for three straight years in this series

The forecast calls for partly cloudy skies by kickoff with lows in the 40s.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

HRC NCAA PREMIUM-Sunday, October 1st
Capper: Robcat (Handicappers Paradise)

========================
2* Action (non-rated)
5* Selection
8* Premium
10* Premium
15* Diamond
*******************************
Selections:
[103] BYU |8*|-3.5|B+0|ESPN8:00 pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

TOTALS 4 U

TOP PLAY
BYU UNDER 51-

REGULAR PLAYS
NY Mets OVER 8
Cincinnati OVER 8-
Oakland UNDER 6-
SD Padres UNDER 6-

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

PLATINUM PLAYS

PREMIUM PLAY (TOP)
BYU OVER 51-

400K PLAY
Utah State

REGULAR PLAYS
Boston Red Sox
TB Rays
Oakland A's
SD Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

Baseball crusher

FLA (-130) over PIT

[golden contender]

Re: 10-1-10- MLB Power Play- GC

Friday 5* MLB Never lost 100% Totals System averages 12.7 runs per game + NCCAF Statistical Simulator Side Winner

On Friday the MLB System play is on the New York Mets. Game 902 at 7:10 eastern. The Mets qualify in a solid system here tonight. What we want to do is play on home teams if both teams come in off home losses by 5 or more runs. This system cashes 80% and I can tighten it to 88%. The Mets are home off 3 home losses for just the second time this season. They catch Washington in one their worst roles. The Nationals are 2-14 as a road dog from +100 to +125. P. Misch has been decnt at home in his starts with the Mets. I expect he will keep them in this game. The Nationals send a struggling J. Zimmerman to the hill tonight. Zimmerman has a 5.76 era in limited work this year. Washington is just 5-12 off a day off this year. Look for the Mets to get the home win here tonight. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

LT Profits

Diamondbacks/Dodgers UNDER 8.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

BYU Cougars -4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-1-10

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

100* Play San Francisco (-160) over San Diego
Game starts at 10:15 PM EST

San Francisco has won 6 of the last 7 games and they have also won 34 of the last 48 games with an on-base percentage of .310 or worse over the last 20 games. Matt Cain has won 18 of the last 23 games as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and he is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.82.

50* Play Atlanta (-160) over Philadelphia
Game starts at 7:30 PM EST

Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 37 of the last 49 games as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.