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Re: 10-6-10
SPORTS WAGERS - RANDALL THE HANDLE
Cincinnati +1.92 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
There is no doubt that the Phillies are overpriced both in game one and in the series and therefore it’s either the Reds or nothing. Edinson Volquez gets the Game One nod on the heels of a smoking September: 1.95 ERA in 28 IP. Also of note is his 54% GB% this season, a welcome feature for anyone pitching in Citizens Bank Park. Volquez did not face the Phillies this season, but in his career has allowed only one run in 12 career IP against Philadelphia. Halladay, on the other hand, "struggled" a bit down the stretch--if that's what you call a 3.44 September ERA--but still finished with 21 wins overall. About the only concern coming in is Halladay's high IP count (251), but Halladay hasn't pitched since the Phils clinched the division on September 27, and relishes his first chance to pitch in the postseason. He faced the Reds twice this year, losing 4-3 on June 30 (when he allowed a season-high 13 hits in 8 IP) and winning a complete-game 1-0 shutout on July 10. Only three Reds have had more than 20 plate appearances against Halladay, and the most successful has been Ramon Hernandez (.351/.368/.405 in 38 career AB.). Both Joey Votto and Jay Bruce, however, have one home run against Halladay in 12 AB. Bruce has been on fire over the last 31 days with 7 HR and a 1.183 OPS. No Phillies player has faced Volquez more than 10 times; in his two career starts, they have only slugged .310 against him. No one doubts the Phillies' edge here, as Halladay, Roy Oswalt or Cole Hamels could serve as the ace of most staffs. However, Volquez has the ability to dominate and we saw a few stretches this season in which the Phillies struggled miserably at the plate. The Reds are being sold short. They have a damn good chance to win game one and at this price they’re very worthy of a look. Overlay. Play: Cincinnati +1.92 (Risking 2 units
SPORTS WAGERS - RANDALL THE HANDLE
Cincinnati +1.92 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
There is no doubt that the Phillies are overpriced both in game one and in the series and therefore it’s either the Reds or nothing. Edinson Volquez gets the Game One nod on the heels of a smoking September: 1.95 ERA in 28 IP. Also of note is his 54% GB% this season, a welcome feature for anyone pitching in Citizens Bank Park. Volquez did not face the Phillies this season, but in his career has allowed only one run in 12 career IP against Philadelphia. Halladay, on the other hand, "struggled" a bit down the stretch--if that's what you call a 3.44 September ERA--but still finished with 21 wins overall. About the only concern coming in is Halladay's high IP count (251), but Halladay hasn't pitched since the Phils clinched the division on September 27, and relishes his first chance to pitch in the postseason. He faced the Reds twice this year, losing 4-3 on June 30 (when he allowed a season-high 13 hits in 8 IP) and winning a complete-game 1-0 shutout on July 10. Only three Reds have had more than 20 plate appearances against Halladay, and the most successful has been Ramon Hernandez (.351/.368/.405 in 38 career AB.). Both Joey Votto and Jay Bruce, however, have one home run against Halladay in 12 AB. Bruce has been on fire over the last 31 days with 7 HR and a 1.183 OPS. No Phillies player has faced Volquez more than 10 times; in his two career starts, they have only slugged .310 against him. No one doubts the Phillies' edge here, as Halladay, Roy Oswalt or Cole Hamels could serve as the ace of most staffs. However, Volquez has the ability to dominate and we saw a few stretches this season in which the Phillies struggled miserably at the plate. The Reds are being sold short. They have a damn good chance to win game one and at this price they’re very worthy of a look. Overlay. Play: Cincinnati +1.92 (Risking 2 units
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