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Re: 10-14-10
Sports Betting Solution
South Florida +10
Sports Betting Solution
South Florida +10
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Re: 10-14-10
CHRISTIAN ALEXANDER
Kansas State at Kansas
Pick: Kansas State -3
Tricky game to call but I just find Kansas impossible to back. The only thing the Jayhawks have done all season is beat Georgia Tech but outside of that, it has been really ugly. How ugly? They lost to North Dakota State at home by a score of 6-3 to start the year.
Not thrilled going with a Kansas State team which will be making its first trip away from home and who has a pretty one-sided offense but the fact remains this team has quality wins over UCLA, Iowa State, and Central Florida. Ok, so maybe "quality" is pushing it but compared to North Dakota State, those are QUALITY teams.
Look for Kansas State to hang around and steal this one in the 4th quarterComment
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Re: 10-14-10
Jeff Benton
THURSDAY'S ACTION
15 DIME college football selection on South Florida plus the points at West Virginia in Big East Conference action. The Bulls are a solid road unaerdog here, with the spread ranging from 10 to 10½ depending on where you shop. Neiedless to say there’s a big difference between 10 and 10½ in football, so it’s important that you have the ability to grab South Florida at the highest number possible. Just as important, although I don’t believe late money will come in on South Florida and drive this number down, if it does do not get caught taking anytling less than 10.
SOUTH FLORIDA
What a ridiculous overreaction by oddsmakers and bettors alike. Just because South Florida is coming off a disappointing home loss to Syracuse and West Virginia is coming off a 39-point home blowout over UNLV – easily one of the five worst teams in Division I-A – the line in this game has crossed double digits. Crazy for a number of reasons.
First, West Virginia hasn’t defeated a quality opponent all year. The Mountaineers’ four wins have come over Coastal Carolina, Marshall (in overtime!), Maryland and UNLV. The one time West Virginia stepped up in class, it lost 20-14 at LSU. No, I’m not saying South Florida is the equal to LSU – but the Bulls BY FAR are the second-best opponent West Virginia has seen this year. And it’s not like USF has to win this game anyway – the Bulls just have to not get blown out. And they won’t because of their defiense.
South Florida is allowing just 16 points and 301 yards per contest, and if you eliminate two bad quarters at Florida in Week 2 – the Bulls surrendered 31 second-half points in a 38-14 loss in Gainesville – South Florida has given up just 49 points in 4½ games, or 10.9 ppg. This defense knows how to contain West Virginia, too. In the lat four meetings, USF has held the Mountaineers to 19, 13, 13 and 19 points. In those four games, South Florida went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS … all as an underdog!
The Mountaineers have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 home games when laying 3 ½ to 10 points, while the Bulls are on a 6-2 ATS run when getting that kind of take back. Furthermore, West Virginia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 as a favorite of any price and 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games following a blowout win over more than 20 points.
I’m telling you guys, this line is inflated by more than a field goal, and given the fact that the last four meetings were decided by an average of 7.5 ppg – and again, South Florida won three of those outright! – I’m taking the value with the road ‘dog!Comment
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Re: 10-14-10
THE DUKE SPORTS
Kansas State Under (50) for 1.5 Units
Both of these conference foes are coming off devastating conference losses. Kansas had an additional week to prep and should shore up their defense that got caught off-guard vs Baylor, whose quick pass and screen game torched them. Kansas should corral the K State offense, which is not nearly as potent nor as versatile as the Bears' offense. K State has a big-time runner in Thomas, who represents a high percentage of the Wildcats' yardage and Kansas knows that is what they need to take away. K State is hitting the road for the first time this season and should take the conservative approach with a ground control game and great defensive effort to establish field position. On the other hand, the Kansas' offense has yet to get untracked and Snyder does a great job in preparing his team defensively. "Under" the call.Comment
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Re: 10-14-10
JOHHNY GUILD
South Florida Bulls (3-2) at (25) West Virginia Mountaineers (4-1)
Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV
The Bulls have won three of the last four series meetings, going 4-1 ATS. However, USF is playing poorly and coming off a terrible game. Look for the Mountaineers to be in control and shutdown the Bulls shaky offense in Morgantown. By the way, USF has lost its past five Thursday games, going 0-5 ATS.
West Virginia Mountaineers -10Comment
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