10-14-10

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 07:42 AM

Re: 10-14-10

Dr. Bob

**Kansas State (-2 ½) 29 KANSAS 19
I pegged Kansas as overrated heading into their game at Baylor 2 weeks ago and the Jayhawks lost that game 7-55 for a Best Bet win. I’ll go against the Jayhawks again tonight, as they are worse than Kansas State on both sides of the ball and on special teams. Kansas may still be getting too much credit for beating Georgia Tech in week 2, but the Jayhawks were out-gained in that contest 322 yards at 4.7 yards per play to 408 yards at 6.2 yppl and were not close to being the better team. Kansas’ only other victory was a 42-16 win over a horrendous New Mexico State team and out-gaining the Aggies at home 7.1 yppl to 5.0 yppl is actually a bad game too given that New Mexico State would be out-gained 7.1 yppl to 4.0 yppl on the road by an average Division 1A team. Aside from their phony win over Georgia Tech the only other two decent teams that Kansas faced resulted in that 7-55 loss at Baylor and a 16-31 loss at Southern Miss in which the Jayhawks were out-gained 3.9 yppl to 6.1 yppl by a worse than average Eagles squad. Oh, and Kansas also lost 3-6 at home to North Dakota State – although that was a game that they actually should have won. For the season, Kansas is horrible offensively, averaging just 4.9 yppl despite facing a schedule of teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team. Kansas State was pretty solid defensively until giving up 587 yards at 11.3 yppl last week to Nebraska, but the Wildcats’ defensive numbers (5.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team) are still 0.7 yppl better than the Jayhawks’ offense.

Kansas State’s offense is 0.4 yppl better than average (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl) and the Wildcats should move the ball well against a Kansas defense that’s been 0.5 yppl worse than average in allowing 6.0 yppl to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team. In addition to being significantly better on both sides of the ball, the Wildcats are also better on special teams and my math model gives Kansas State a very profitable 57.6% chance of covering at -2 ½ point. I’ll take Kansas State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 10:04 AM

Re: 10-14-10

ROOT

MIll- S. Fla +11

BONUS GAME- Kansas +3

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 10:28 AM

Re: 10-14-10

Big AL's 100% NEVER LOST LOCK is:
KANSAS STATE -3

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 01:30 PM

Re: 10-14-10

BRANDON LANG

10 Dimes: Kansas - Kansas State UNDER 25.5 First Half Only Bet

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 01:30 PM

Re: 10-14-10

Scott SpreitzerGuaranteed SelectionsDate: Thursday, October 14, 2010
Scott brought his PERFECT-10s to the web this past MLB season. On Thursday, he releases his first of the CFB season. Scott EASILY WON last Thursday's Big-12 battle when Nebraska THRASHED KSU! Tonight's contest is backed by a perfect 10-0, 100% spot. Grab it here as Scott extends his CFB THURS/FRIDAY run to 85-59 ATS!10/13/2010

I'm laying the points with Kansas State on Thursday night

**Mr. IWS** · 10-14-2010, 05:38 PM

Re: 10-14-10

BEN BURNS

BLUE CHIP TOTAL
WVU/USF Under

10-14-10

10-14-10

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