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Re: 10-17-10
TheProSource
GL
New Orleans - 4 ** TOP Play **
at Tampa Bay 1 pm et
The Saints have looked like a SB hangover team, but we think they
will pull out this week, playing with Division revenge at Tampa Bay.
NFL teams which lost to a non-division team by 7 pts or more when
they were favored by 7 or more rebound strongly the following week.
These teams are 72-40 ATS since 1980.
There certainly isn't anything wrong with the Saints defense. The
New Orleans defense is allowing 61 yds/gm LESS than last years
SB team. The offense has struggled, but we see them getting well
vs a 3-1 TB team that looks like a bit of a pretender. The Bucs are
allowing generous yardage, but have been benefitting from those all
important turnovers. TB got 4 turnovers last week at Cinci, and 3 in
their other 2 wins. In their lone loss at Pittsburgh, TB got a season
low 2 TO',s and were beaten 38-14 by a team with a back-up QB.
Obviously, Drew Brees is no back-up.
GREAT value, as last season, we would be laying dble digits here.
The Cards did not score an offensive touchdown last week vs NO in
the bizarre loss at Arizona. NO had 373 yds to AZ 194!
Tampa is being out-scored on the year and have been out gained in
every game but one.
system to;
Play ON the defending Super Bowl champs if they are playing on
the road off a straight-up loss as a favorite, AND they are playing
a .500 or better team that is playing off a SU and ATS win.
............14-2-2 , 88% for over 25 seasons
NO is 56-11-1 ATS in their last 68 SU wins and are a
POWERFUL 48-5-2 ATS their last 55 SU revenge victories.
NO 6-1 in 2nd of BB rd games
The visitor in 19-5 in the last 24 Tampa Bay games
TB 1-11-2 ATS in its last 14 home games.
TB 1-10 in OCT playing off a straight underdog win .
Philadelphia UNDER 43
vs Atlanta 1 pm et
With the posted total in this range, Atlanta is UNDER 5-22 away
off a SU win S2003.
The Eagles are an under team in October 18-35 UNDER in OCT.
Atl 1-9 UNDER away after allowing 10 or less pts.
Series UNDER 5 in a row.
Denver +3.5 to + 4
vs NY Jets 4:05 pm et
Great set up here for the home team.
The Jets are playing on the short week off the Monday niter, & now
fly into the high altitude of Denver.The Jets should be a bit tired in
this spot playing their 6th straight game & their 3rd road game in 4
weeks. Denver has been horrible running the ball, but QB Orton has
been lighting it up thru the air with 4 straight 300+ yd passing games.
The fatigue should catch up with the Jets 22nd ranked pass defense
chasing the Bronco's receivers around in the thin air. The Broncos
have been the way to go in this series, 8-2 ats the last 10, and 5-1
ats at Mile High.
Den 11-2 as a non-div HD of 2.5+ pts
Den 17-3-1 before Oakland when facing a team off a win
Den 8-0 in OCT as dogs when WL% is less than .500
Den 7-1 in OCT off a SU/ATS loss vs a team off BB SU wins.
NYJ 8-19 on the road vs non -div teams.
NYJ 1-11 in OCT off BB SU/ATS wins
NYJ 1-10 in OCT off a non-div vs a non div that is off a SU/ATS loss
Teams with 3 SU/ATS wins in a row, with 90+ ttl points scored during
that span, and are installed as a road favorites and are playing a team
with Denvers WL% are very good teams to Play AGAINST
TheProSource
GL
New Orleans - 4 ** TOP Play **
at Tampa Bay 1 pm et
The Saints have looked like a SB hangover team, but we think they
will pull out this week, playing with Division revenge at Tampa Bay.
NFL teams which lost to a non-division team by 7 pts or more when
they were favored by 7 or more rebound strongly the following week.
These teams are 72-40 ATS since 1980.
There certainly isn't anything wrong with the Saints defense. The
New Orleans defense is allowing 61 yds/gm LESS than last years
SB team. The offense has struggled, but we see them getting well
vs a 3-1 TB team that looks like a bit of a pretender. The Bucs are
allowing generous yardage, but have been benefitting from those all
important turnovers. TB got 4 turnovers last week at Cinci, and 3 in
their other 2 wins. In their lone loss at Pittsburgh, TB got a season
low 2 TO',s and were beaten 38-14 by a team with a back-up QB.
Obviously, Drew Brees is no back-up.
GREAT value, as last season, we would be laying dble digits here.
The Cards did not score an offensive touchdown last week vs NO in
the bizarre loss at Arizona. NO had 373 yds to AZ 194!
Tampa is being out-scored on the year and have been out gained in
every game but one.
system to;
Play ON the defending Super Bowl champs if they are playing on
the road off a straight-up loss as a favorite, AND they are playing
a .500 or better team that is playing off a SU and ATS win.
............14-2-2 , 88% for over 25 seasons
NO is 56-11-1 ATS in their last 68 SU wins and are a
POWERFUL 48-5-2 ATS their last 55 SU revenge victories.
NO 6-1 in 2nd of BB rd games
The visitor in 19-5 in the last 24 Tampa Bay games
TB 1-11-2 ATS in its last 14 home games.
TB 1-10 in OCT playing off a straight underdog win .
Philadelphia UNDER 43
vs Atlanta 1 pm et
With the posted total in this range, Atlanta is UNDER 5-22 away
off a SU win S2003.
The Eagles are an under team in October 18-35 UNDER in OCT.
Atl 1-9 UNDER away after allowing 10 or less pts.
Series UNDER 5 in a row.
Denver +3.5 to + 4
vs NY Jets 4:05 pm et
Great set up here for the home team.
The Jets are playing on the short week off the Monday niter, & now
fly into the high altitude of Denver.The Jets should be a bit tired in
this spot playing their 6th straight game & their 3rd road game in 4
weeks. Denver has been horrible running the ball, but QB Orton has
been lighting it up thru the air with 4 straight 300+ yd passing games.
The fatigue should catch up with the Jets 22nd ranked pass defense
chasing the Bronco's receivers around in the thin air. The Broncos
have been the way to go in this series, 8-2 ats the last 10, and 5-1
ats at Mile High.
Den 11-2 as a non-div HD of 2.5+ pts
Den 17-3-1 before Oakland when facing a team off a win
Den 8-0 in OCT as dogs when WL% is less than .500
Den 7-1 in OCT off a SU/ATS loss vs a team off BB SU wins.
NYJ 8-19 on the road vs non -div teams.
NYJ 1-11 in OCT off BB SU/ATS wins
NYJ 1-10 in OCT off a non-div vs a non div that is off a SU/ATS loss
Teams with 3 SU/ATS wins in a row, with 90+ ttl points scored during
that span, and are installed as a road favorites and are playing a team
with Denvers WL% are very good teams to Play AGAINST
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