10-21-10

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 09:10 AM

Re: 10-21-10

Bobby Maxwell
Thursday's winner...
300-Unit College Thursday E-Z Play - UCLA BRUINS

The top team in the country has lost each of the last two weeks with Alabama falling to South Carolina two weeks ago and then Ohio State losing to Wisconsin last weekend. Tonight, Oregon comes in as the No. 1-rated team and the Ducks are laying way too many points against a tough UCLA team. I’ll happily grab all these points and play the Bruins.

It’s the first time in the school’s history that Oregon is on top of the college football standings, and carrying that into a game can be somewhat intimidating.

UCLA has been off since October 9, giving the coaches plenty of time to gameplan for the Ducks. The Bruins had a three-game winning streak snapped by Cal on October 9, with two of those three wins coming against ranked team in Houston and then-No. 7 Texas. Coach Rick Nueheisel knows how to develop a plan, as he showed in Texas when the Bruins completely dominated the Longhorns.

UCLA sophomore Johnathan Franklin is second in the Pac-10 with 113.2 yards rushing per game. The Bruins are committed to the running game and the Ducks have allowed an average of 159.3 yards rushing over their last three games.

Last time these two teams squared off in Oregon was 2008 when the Ducks scored a 31-24 win and came nowhere near covering the 19-point spread, UCLA has cashed in two of the last three years and two of the last three times they’ve met in Oregon.

The road team, and the underdog, is on a 6-2 ATS run in this series and the Bruins come in on further streaks of 23-10 after a straight-up loss and 8-2 the last 10 times they’ve been ‘dogs of 10 ½ points or more. Oregon is on a couple of ugly ATS slides, including 1-4 in Pac-10 action and 0-5 in Thursday night contests.

UCLA needs to play a strong defensive game like they did against the ranked Cougars and Longhorns. Look for them to be in this one through three quarters but let it slip away in the final period. But it won’t slip past a cover. Grab the points and go with the Bruins.

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 10:44 AM

Re: 10-21-10

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:
Oregon + UCLA OVER 61

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 11:38 AM

Re: 10-21-10

Anthony Redd 10-21-10

Redd has 2 plays today

Oregon 1st Half
Oregon (game)

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:01 PM

Re: 10-21-10

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

100* Play San Francisco (+105) over Philadelphia

San Francisco has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 9 of the last 12 games vs. Philadelphia at home. Tim Lincecum has won 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.57.

NHL Hockey

25* Play Philadelphia (-200) over Anaheim

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:01 PM

Re: 10-21-10

Jeff Benton THURSDAY'S ACTION

20 DIME College Football selection on UCLA over Oregon in a Pac-10 contest from Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore. The Bruins are a 24- to 25-point underdog, with the number fluctduating across the wagering board. So make sure you shop around and get the best of the number, especinlly since 24 can be a key number in college football.

UCLA

As much as I love Oregon, as much as I think Autzen Stadium is one of the toughest stadiums for visiting teams, and as much as UCLA has been wildly inconsietent this year, I just cannot lay this incredibly inflated price with the newly-minted top-ranked Ducks. How inflated is this line? Back in June, Oregon was a 10-point favorite in this game. When the numbers came out this week, Oregon was laying 21. And by Wednesday evening, the line had crossed 24 and hit 25 in some spots.

Translation: There is absolutely no value in laying the chalk with the home team, even if that team is 6-0 with six double-digit wins and has scored at least 42 points in every game (as the Ducks have). After all, since blowing through its three non-conference games – wins over New Mexico, Tennessee and Portland State by a combined tally of 189-13 – Oregon has found the going much tougher. The Ducks rallied to win 42-31 at Arizona State (failing to cover as an 11½-point road favorite); they fell behind Stanford 21-0 and rallied to win 52-31; and they even got behind crappy Washington State, coming back to post a comfortable 43-23 win but failing to cover as a 36½-point road chalk.

So while Oregon’s first three Pac-10 games have all resulted in sizeable victories, not one was by more than 21 points.

Meanwhile, UCLA started the season with ugly losses to Kansas State (31-22 on the road) and Stanford (35-0 at home) and looked hedaded for another long season. But the Bruins rallied to beat nationally ranked Houston (31-13), nationally ranked Texas (34-12) and Washington State (42-28), putting up gaudy rushing numbers in the process. Then, just as it looked like UCLA was hitting its stride, it went to Cal two Saturdays ago and got clobbered 35-7 as a 7½-point underdog (the same Cal that followed up the UCLA win with a 48-7 loss at USC on Saturday).

So why take a shot with the Bruins tonight? More than anything they have a one-dimensional offense – all they do is run the football, averaging 223 yards per game (5.2 yards per game). That pales in comparison to Oregon’s rushing attack (321.2 yards per game, 6.6 yards per carry), but it means that UCLA should be able to control the football (and thus the clock) and shorten the game (the Ducks’ defense is giving up 159.3 rushing ypg in Pac-10 play).

Two more positives for the Bruins: They’ve been very competitive against Oregon recently, losing three of the last four meetings but those three losses were by 14, 7 and 10 points. And its last three trips to Autzen have resulned in two losses (31-24 and 30-20) and a victory (34-26 as an 8½-point underdog). Also, the road team and underdog are both on a 6-2 ATS roll in this series.

Oregon wins, and wins comfortably again, but not by as big a margin as the oddsmakers suggest – look for something along the lines of 37-21.

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:01 PM

Re: 10-21-10

RANDALL THE HANDLE

Pittsburgh -1.02 over NASHVILLE (REG)

TORONTO -½ +1.13 over N.Y. Rangers (REG)

San Jose -½ +1.37 over COLORADO (REG)

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:02 PM

Re: 10-21-10

TEDDY COVERS

NLCS PLAYOFF HOTSTREAK
Philadelphia Phillies

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:02 PM

Re: 10-21-10

JIM FEIST

HIGH ROLLER* Oregon Ducks

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:02 PM

Re: 10-21-10

BOB BALFE

Oregon Ducks -26

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 01:36 PM

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 02:14 PM

Re: 10-21-10

ROCKETMAN

TRIPLE DIME BEST BET
4* Time: 9:05 PM EDT San Jose Sharks -120

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 02:15 PM

Re: 10-21-10

JIM FEIST
15* PLATINUM HIGH ROLLER* Oregon Ducks

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 02:43 PM

Re: 10-21-10

Baseball Prophet

Phils/SF over 5.5

**Mr. IWS** · 10-21-2010, 03:07 PM

Re: 10-21-10

Hockey Prophet

POD - Detroit Red Wings -135 - 3-way line

Rangers/Maple Leafs over 5.5 -115
Stars/Panthers over 5.5 even
Wild/Oilers over 5.5 even
Sharks/Avalanche over 5.5 -115

10-21-10

10-21-10

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