Tweet
Re: 10-22-10
A. Redd
Cincy/ S. Florida UNDER
A. Redd
Cincy/ S. Florida UNDER
-
Re: 10-22-10
MONEYMAKER
BEST BETS
19-16 ON THE YR
CINCINNATI -7’ OVER SOUTH FLORIDA (FRIDAY)
Both teams are 3-3 SU, but Cincinnati is in a 4-way tie for the Big East lead with a 1-0 conference mark. South Florida has dropped both of their Big East games this season but a victory here could put them back into the chase. The Bulls produced a winning record last season but the year ended in controversy after head coach Jim Leavitt was
fired due to allegations of player abuse. They did a great job finding a replacement, hiring Skip Holtz to take over head coaching duties. Holtz has some work to do in rebuilding this team, though he’s got some talent with which to work.
The offense lost the entire wide receiver corps though returned QB B.J. Daniels, the entire offensive line and 3 of their 4 running backs. Despite this favorable situation, the offense has struggled somewhat with the new receivers and Daniels being badly out of sync. Daniels has only 4 TD passes against 10 interceptions, and the team hasn’t scored a touchdown in two Big East games. On the other hand, the Bulls’ defense has been better than expected for a unit returning only 5 starters and 2 linemen.
Not counting a huge class difference in their matchup against Florida, they’ve held their remaining 5 opponents to 20 points or less. Throw out the game against the Gators and they’re allowing a stingy 12.4 points per game. They held their two Big East opponents to date to a total of 33 points but only scored 15 points with no touchdowns. That’s a
problem. Cincinnati was bracing for a ‘down year’ after losing their best offensive players from last year—QB Tony Pike and WR Mardy Gilyard—to the NFL. The transition was made even more difficult when coach Brian Kelly took the vacant Notre Dame coaching job, but Butch Jones hasn’t missed a beat as his replacement. The offense hasn’t been as dynamic, but like the rest of the team appears to be rounding into form as the season progresses. Despite a 3-3 SU record, none of the losses are ‘bad’ ones with two tricky road games (Fresno State, NC State) and a solid effort in a 2 point loss to Oklahoma. South Florida has been a bad pointspread investment in recent years, a trend that is continuing in 2010. Since 2008, the Bulls are 11-17 ATS overall including 5-9 on the road and 6-10 in Big East play. The Bearcats are right around breakeven
in most pointspread categories with one exception—they’re 10-5 ATS against Big East opponents since 2008. They’ve also dominated head to head play in the series, winning 6of 7 SU going 5-2 against the spread. We respect South Florida’s defense, but without much in the way of production from the offense we look for the Bearcats to win and
cover here.
CINCINNATI OVER SOUTH FLORIDA BY 14Comment
-
Re: 10-22-10
Bobby Maxwell
Friday's winner...
400-Unit Baseball Book Buster - N.Y. YANKEES (must list Hughes as starter for the Yankees)
Texas is back home for Game 6, but I’m not too sure they wouldn’t rather be somewhere else, having gone 1-3 in four postseason home games already this season. Today, I’m banking on the Yankees and young right-hander Philip Hughes (19-9, 4.28 ERA) to get this win and extend this series to a Game 7.
Hughes has to be elated to get a second chance at the Rangers in this series after he gave up seven runs on 10 hits in just four innings of Game 2’s 7-2 loss in Texas. It was his worst outing of the season and snapped a great three-game streak where he dominated the Rays, Red Sox and Twins. In his key start against Minnesota in the ALDS he threw seven shutout innings and struck out six with just one walk.
The rough outing in Texas in Game 2 was rare for Hughes, who had been brilliant in Arlington in his first two starts, throwing 14.1 innings of shutout baseball, allowing just three combined hits.
Colby Lewis (13-13, 3.61 ERA) is on the mound for the Rangers and he was opposite Hughes in that Game 2 win, giving up two runs in 5.2 innings of work. Texas is on several slides with this guy on the hill, including 5-11 in his last 16 starts overall, 4-10 when he faces a team with a winning record and 3-14 when he gets five days of rest.
New York is riding several positive runs with Hughes on the mound, including 24-11 in his last 35 starts and 23-10 when he’s a favorite. They are also on streaks of 16-5 as a playoff favorite, 5-2 on the road in the postseason and 16-7 in their last 23 playoff games overall.
I’m banking on Hughes and the Yankees to get this thing to a very interesting Game 7. Play New York in Game 6 here tonight.Comment
-
Re: 10-22-10
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
1000* Play South Florida (+8) over Cincinnati
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
South Florida has won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a game with a turnover margin of -1 or worse and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games after scoring six or less points in their last game. South Florida has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games coming off two or more losses and they are only allowing 16 points a game on defense this season.Comment
-
Re: 10-22-10
Wunderdog
Game: Ottawa at Buffalo (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -120
Something has to give in this one. The Ottawa Senators are winless on the road at 0-3-1, while the Buffalo Sabres are winless at home at an identical 0-3-1 mark to start the season. The Sabres’ problem at home has been the inability to put the puck in the net as they have scored just 7 times in their four home games, or less than 2 per contest. The Senators have had their share of problems finding the net on the road, with just 8 goals in their four road games at 2 per contest. Both of these teams are hungry for a win, which usually leads to a tighter checking game, and not a lot of scoring opportunities. The Senators bounce back to play UNDER to a 12-5-2 mark after serving up 5+ in their previous game, while the Sabres are an UNDER-happy 31-15-5 when they are posted as a favorite from -110 to -150. This one stays UNDER the total.Comment
Comment