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Toledo Rockets vs. Eastern Mich
Play: Toledo Rockets -10
Toledo is one strong win from bowl eligibility. They are undefeated in MAC play. The Rockets have won and covered 7 of the L8 over the Eagles, including the L3 in a row. The Toledo offense will have no problems moving the ball against an EMU defense that gives up 44 PPG. The Rockets come into this matchup winning their L2 over Kent State and Ball State. In each of those games, Toldeo has controlled the line of scrimmage. After this contest, the Rockets will have a week off then a matchup with rival Northern Illinois. This is a great confidence-builder before that showdown. EMU is just horrible, going 1-7 SU and being outscored by an average of 23.1 PPG. They are 0-3 at home and have gotten some beatings over the season that has taken their toll on the squad. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS their L5 games played in Eastern Michigan and 9-3 ATS their L12 following a ATS loss. The eagles are 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. teams with a winning record and 4-14 ATS their L18 games played at home. Take Toledo. Thank you.
Andy Fanelli
Saturday's Selection
You guys all set for my bigiest release to date? Well, the wait is over. My 60 Dime Pac 10 Game of the Year is a play on the Oregon Ducks minlus the points over the USC Trojans. This game kicks off in LA at 8pm eastern time, and as I type this analasis, the Ducks are right around a 6 1/2 point favorite. I don't see this one being close at all, so lay it all night long with Oregon.
Wow...
Fanelli is almost NEVER A FAN. But Oregon plays at a pace that would make arena foitball teams jealous.
I have played this one in my mind a half dozen times and I fail to see any way that USC stays within a touchldown in a 4 quarter game against this Ducks team. They are simply phenomenal and USC has had their issues losing two of their last 3 games, including a terrible home loss to Washington in which they allowed 32 points.
USC also allowad 35 points the following week to Stanford. At home USC isn't exactly dominant despite a nice performance against Cal on the 16th.
Does anyone remember their terrible home loss to Arizona last year?
Look, The thing to watch in this one is the 2nd half. Because that is when Oregon plays defense and allows next to nothing...Reason? Teams are simply gassed from trying to keep up. Look at the second half outputs of Tennessee, Stanford and Arizona State against Oregon. I give you these teams because they were the only teams to be competitive against Oregon at halftime.
They all stayed competitive in the first half...They were collectively outscored in the 2nd half...77 to 7!!! 77 to 7? yes...77-7! and we are coming up 7's on this one. Perhaps the worst thing for USC is if they dare keep it close in the 1st half as Oregon looks faster and stronger in the 4th quarter then they do in 1st quarters. USC does not have the man power to keep up with a team that is posting over 55 points per game. And when you consider how much Oregon scores, doesn't that mathematically make a 6 and half point lay pretty darn small?
I mean think about it logically. If Oregon hits their average of 55 points that means USC would need to come up with 49 to cover. Judging by the stats, USC better get 42 of that in the first half!
Bet an ear and a pinky-toe on this one.
Of course that would be a whopping 60 dimes in Fanelli-Land.
I don't think I have to give you my season stats on MY BIG PLAYS THIS
SEASON but i will anyway.
TWO BIGGEST PLAYS = 2-0 for +100 DIMES. And here we go again as we turn your bookie into your personal driver by the end of the season. But for now we give him a nice backhand smack in the cheek and have a nice dinner with your families.
OREGON STATE -2.5 vs california
OREGON / USC OVER 72
OKLAHOMA -23.5 vs colorado
BAYLOR +7.5 at texas
TULSA +9 at notre dame
IOWA -6.5 vs michigan state
Game: California at Oregon State (Saturday 10/30 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: California +3 (-110)
The California Bears have not yet won on the road yet so how do they have a shot here? Look at the competition. They lost to Arizona, USC and Nevada, teams with a combined record of 17-4. This game should be different as they face a .500 team. The Bears have a nasty defense that ranks #16 in the country. They have already held five of their opponents to 17 points or less, and four of their opponents to 10 points or less! Oregon State hasn't exactly been blowing teams out with their three wins coming by a total of 12 points. The Bears not only have a powerful defense to keep them in the game, but they have a capable offense that has scored 50+ on three different occasions this season. And they have been a dangerous road dog over the years, entering this one at 15-6-1 ATS as a road dog in their last 22. The Beavers are not faring so well as a small favorite of 3 points or less where they have covered just one of their last five. This has been a road-dominated series with the road team cashing six of the last seven. The public is all over Oregon State here (75% of around 5,000 bets). My computer matchup predicts a Cal win and I agree! Take the Bears here.
JIM FEIST (Highest to Lowest rated)
Florida
Nevada
Hawaii
Oklahoma
Indiana
Michigan State
Mississippi
Kentucky OVER
Kentucky
USC
Oregon State
Kansas State
GREAT LAKES SPORTS
rates their selections 3*, 4*,&5* with 5* being our highest rated selection.
College Football Selection:
Missouri at Nebraska 3:30PM EST Play on: 4* (164) Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than forty points in their previous game, and the Nebraska Cornhuskers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. The favorite is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in this series, and the home team is a very solid 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. We look for the Nebraska Cornhuskers to grab the home ATS Win & Cover. TAKE: 4* (164) Nebraska Cornhuskers
Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's winners...
600-Unit College FB Saturday Special - OREGON DUCKS
Last year when these two teams met, Oregon’s team speed made it a laugher, beating the Trojans 47-20 at Autzen Stadium. I know this year they are squaring off in Los Angeles, but the team speed for the Ducks is still amazing and the defense for USC is actually worse than last year. I’ll lay the touchdown with Oregon in this one and look for them to pull away in the second half and win it by 17.
The Ducks cashed as three-point home ‘dogs last season and to this point of the year they are regarded as one of, if not, the best teams in the country. They have opened the season 7-0 (5-2 ATS) and have had 10 days to get ready for the Trojans, last playing on October 21, blowing out UCLA 60-13 as 26 ½-point home favorites.
Oregon’s offense is high-powered and will not give the USC defense time to breathe. They average 55.1 points a game, 572 yards per game and rush for 313.9 yards per contest. Defensively, the Ducks aren’t too bad either, giving up just 15.9 points a game.
The Ducks rushed for 270 yards against UCLA, led by LaMichael James’ 123 yards on 20 carries. Throw in 75 yards on eight carries with three TDs and Remene Alston Jr. is another force that will get the ball today. USC’s has had trouble tackling this season and James will shred them tonight.
Let’s talk about the points USC has given up this season, allowing 24.3 per game and more than 400 yards of total offense. The Trojans let Stanford get 37, Washington had 32, Minnesota scored 21 and Hawaii touched up the Trojans for 36. I agree that offensively, USC is playing very well and QB Matt Barkley would be a Heisman candidate if this team wasn’t on probation as he’s thrown for 20 TDs and 4 INTs.
But Barkley is going to find the going tough today against an Oregon defense that is going to come after him. The Ducks will stuff the run and force him into long third downs and make things tough on him.
USC is on ATS skids of 5-11 in Pac-10 games, 7-16 in October contests, 2-7 after a straight-up win, 2-9 after a spread cover and 3-8 on grass. Oregon brings in several positive streaks, including 19-7 in October, 5-2 as a favorite, 9-4 after a spread-cover and 13-6 after a straight-up win. In this rivalry, the favorite has cashed in five of the last six.
Play the favorite today as Oregon goes into Los Angeles and leaves with a big win.
200-Unit Big 12 Smart Play - MISSOURI TIGERS
A week after an enormous victory over top-ranked Oklahoma, Missouri is right back in the Big 12 fire with a trip to Nebraska today, but I think the experience of winning a big game is going to carry this team to another strong performance today, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Grab the points and play Missouri to either keep this one very close down to the wire, or sneak out of town with a narrow win.
The Tigers used a strong second half to beat up Oklahoma last week, winning 36-27 as three-point home ‘dogs. It was the most points the defense allowed all season, but understandable against the fast-break offense of the Sooners. QB Blaine Gabbert was outstanding, completing 30-of-42 throws for 308 yards and a TD, but it was on defense where they won the game in the second half. The Tigers held Oklahoma to just 99 yards rushing and the Sooners were just 4-for-12 on third downs.
The 486 yards Missouri gained last week was the best they’ve done all year, and they’ll probably need another big game to top Nebraska and QB Taylor Martinez. He led the Cornhuskers to a 51-41 win over Oklahoma State last week, cashing in as a six-point road favorite. Missouri’s bend-but-don’t-break defense gives up 240 yards passing per game, but they are fifth in the country allowing just 13.1 points per contest.
In their last two home games, Nebraska edged lowly South Dakota State 17-3 in a lackluster performance by the whole team and then let Texas come in and get a 20-13 win as a 10-point underdog. In Big 12 action, the Cornhuskers have lost three of their last five in Nebraska. Last time Missouri was in Lincoln, the Tigers were delivering a 52-17 drubbing to the ‘Huskers as 10-point favorites.
Missouri is on ATS runs of 14-5 on the road, 4-0 in October and 4-0 against winning teams. Nebraska is 0-3-1 ATS at home in its last four and 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 as a home favorite.
Grab the points and go with Missouri on the road today.
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