If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
monday recap 3-0 +6.6 units
3* Indy -5.5(win)
2* SF/Tex u-6.5(win)
1* San Fran +160(w)
Nice start to the month.. Let's try to keep the good vibes flowing tonight.
2* Miami/Minn under 192.5(7:30 pm) - Right now Miami is still learning where to position each other on their offensive sets in order to be most effective on the offensive end of the floor. While this takes time, it has been a point of emphasis to maintain a commitment to defense. Defense is mostly effort and despite having less time to work together, each person can always give maximum effort. Miami has held their 4 opponents to an average of 80.75 ppg. This is the 1st out of conference game for Miami and it is against one of the bottom feeders. Even if Miami allows 85 points this game, they still would have to win by 28 to send this game over. That is a high total to count on when your starters are resting.
2* Edmonton +115 over Vancouver
This is the first of six meetings between the Northwest Division rivals. The Canucks are riding a three-game winning streak. Vancouver made it three in a row with a 3-0 victory against the New Jersey Devils on Monday night at Rogers Arena. However, Vancouver is off to an 0-3-1 start away from home. Meanwhile, Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home and Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver. Khabibulin is 4-0-2 with a 1.78 GAA in his last six games versus the Canucks
15 Dime NBA selection on the Pistons plus the points at home against the Celtics in an Eastern Conference showdown. Detroit is a solid six-point undelrdog across the board, and I advise you to be on the lookout for line moves as anticipate this number going up. In the NBA, with the way fouls happen at the end of games, the closer you can get to +7 with an underdog, the better charces you’ll cash.
PISTONS
Since knocking off the Heat 88-80 in an emotionally charged season opener, the Celtics haven’t covered a pointspread. One night after upsetting Miami, Boston lost 95-87 at Cleveland, and then on Friday they barely held off the Knicks 105-101 as a 9½-point home favorite. True, the aging Celtics got a full three days off to rest up for this contest in Detroit, but I still say it’s a bad spot for the defanding Eastern Conference champs.
Why? Because this game kicks off a stretch in which the Celtics play five games in four different cities from now through Monday. That includes a home contest tomorrow night against Milwaukee, which is followed by three extremely grueling tests against the Bulls (home), Thunder (road) and Mavericks (road). So if ever there was a game where coach Doc Rivers would reign in his big horses with a big lead in the fourth quarter, it’s this one. Rivers knows the NBA season is a marathon, not a sprint, and with guys like Shaq, K.G., Pierce and Allen, Boston is competing in the senior citizen division of that marathon.
Indeed, the Pistons are still sealrching for their first win of the season, as they’re off to an 0-3 starts with losses to the Nets and Bulls on the road as well as Kevin Durant and the Thunder at home. However, Detroit had a shot to win two of those games, blowing late leads at New Jersey (101-98 loss) and Oklahoma City (105-104 loss at the buzzer). And the Pistons did cash in both of those contests as an underdog.
Besides, Detroit’s 0-3 record kind of belies its statistics. The Pistons’ shooting percentage (43.2 percent) is nearly identical to their opponents’ (43.4 percent) and they’ve been far more efficient from three-point land (43 percent) than their foes (27.7 percent). Detroit’s problem has been free-throw shooting (66 percent) and rebounding (it has gotten out-boarded in all three games by a combined 142-124). Well, I doubt the rebounding thing will get fixed tonight (Boston is outrebounding opponents by seven per game), but the Celtics have their own free-throw shooting woes (68.8 percent). The latter is a big deal when you’re this big of a road favorite in what should be a game that comes down to the final four minutes.
Going back to last season, the Pistons are on pointspread upticks of 8-2 overall, 8-1 as an underdog, 5-2 after a SU loss, 4-0 against winning teams and 6-2 against the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, Boston is in ATS funks of 2-5 folloring a SU win, 3-8 when coming off three days or more of rest and 10-22 when laying between five and 10½ points.
Bottom line: The Pistons are pretty desperate for a victory and they’re getting the Celtics in a good spot. Will they get that victory? I’m not going to go that far – although it wouldn’t shock me – but I do believe they’ll cover an inflated number. Take the points.
Comment