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5 Unit Play. #518 Take Phoenix -5 ½ over Memphis (10:05 p.m., Friday, November. 5)
(Game of the Week) Phoenix is off to a horrible start of the season but tonight they are at home and will be looking for their first home 'W' tonight. Both teams split four meetings last year, while Phoenix has won 13 of the last 16 meetings in this series. Memphis has dropped 21 of its last 25 road game to the Valley of to Hot. Memphis is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games and the Phoenix Suns are 21-7-1 ATS as a favorite.
“1 UNIT” NBA INJURY INTANGIBLE (Timberwolves +7’ at home versus Hawks in a 8:05 eastern tipoff): The line of this contest has been inflated for several reasons including the fact that Atlanta (5-0) is the only remaining undefeated team from the Eastern Conference. Despite that undefeated mark the Hawks have “only” defeated opponents that are a combined 5-17 out of the gate, so this team that virtually quit on a now “ex” head coach during last year’s playoffs still has much to prove. I do admit that Minnesota is off to a horrible start (1-4) but they have actually faced some stiff competition. In what turned out to be an awful mistake, ex-Miami Heat rookie draft pick and new Minnesota acquisition Michael Beasley claimed that his team was actually better than the Heat. Not only did the Timberwolves get clobbered by a 42-point count on Wednesday at Orlando, they also were smoked by a 32 point margin the prior in Miami. As previously mentioned tonight’s line has been adjusted to account for Minnesota’s recent failures, but it is worth considering the highest spread that Atlanta has been asked to cover on the ROAD so far this season has been only 3 points. I have found out that the visiting Hawks are dealing with INJURIES coming into this contest as they will be WITHOUT starting forward Marvin Williams and reserve swingman Maurice Evans. In addition valuable Hawks “sixth man” off the bench Jamal Crawford (toe) is questionable. While on the injury front I have found out that Michael Beasley (hip) actually WILL be in tonight’s Minnesota starting lineup. The bottom line is that we are about to find out whether undefeated Atlanta can cover a big number on the highway and I for one am betting against it
4 UNIT* 5 Montreal Canadiens/Buffalo Sabres* Under 5½
4 UNIT* 13 Detroit Red Wings/Edmonton Oilers* Under 5½
3 UNIT* 3 Boston Bruins/Washington Capitals* Over 5½
2 UNIT* 7 Carolina Hurricanes/Florida Panthers* Under 5½
2 UNIT* 11 Phoenix Coyotes/Dallas Stars* Under 5½
2 UNIT* 15 Pittsburgh Penguins/Anaheim Ducks* Over 5½
WV/U Conn 8:00: We believe there is good value with the Huskies, which are coming off a blowout road loss to Louisville. The Huskies have been strong all year and sport a strong 9-1 ATS mark in the 1st of back-to-back home games. They're also a strong 6-1 ATS as a home dog and 23-5 ATS after scoring less than 20 ppg. We realize QB Michael Box won't play but Senior QB Zach Frazier, who started games last year and this year, is capable of leading this team on its strong home field. Furthermore, the solid Huskies' run game with RB Jordan Todman behind the experienced o-line should get going against a WV defense that's given up 4.5 ypg on the road. West Virginia's offense slipped at home vs Syracuse, as the Orange pressured Gino Smith into mistakes. We may see a blue-print of that defensive effort unfold tonight on this strong field against a pretty good U Conn defense. WV is a mere 2-5 ATS on Fridays and 3-7 ATS following an ATS loss. U Conn the call.
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