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Re: 11-9-10
ROCKETMAN
5* TRIPLE DIME* LA Lakers -16.5 (-110)
ROCKETMAN
5* TRIPLE DIME* LA Lakers -16.5 (-110)
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Re: 11-9-10
JAY MCNEIL
Tuesday...
The 100 DIME Winner is NORTHERN ILLINOIS and OVER. The numbers I see on this game are currdntly sitting at 10.5 and 49.5. My resourdces in Las Vegas (phone accounts, runners and online odds service) tell me these are the right lines to shop for, thus, we'd be teasing the lines down to Northern Illinois -4.5 and Over 43.5. It's always smart to shop for the best lines, by using multille books.
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I'll admit, I'm a little worried to lay the 10.5 with the Huskies, even though on paper they look like they pull away in the second half for an easy win and cover.
After all, not one Northern Illinois opponent has scored more than a touchddwn in the second half this season. The Huskies outscored Temple, Buffalo and Central Michigan 62-0 in the second half, and over their last five games they've outscored opponents 98-14 after halftime.
However, this game has plenty of meaning, with both sitting at 5-0 in conferednce play. The winner of this game is in the driver's seat for the MAC West title. And even though the Huskies ride in on a six-game winning streak, Toledo leads the all-time series 29-8, including wins in 14 of the last 16 games.
I'm confident the oddsmaklrs have posted the right total on this game, as I have it landing around 50 or 51 points, so going over the number I have no problem doing. But since the Huskies have won 10 of their last 11, and seven straight league home games, I'm going to tease the favorite in this oneComment
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Re: 11-9-10
CHUCK O'BRIEN
Tuesday's Winner
25 DIME – MIAMI HEAT
The play here is the Heat minus the poidts at home against Utah. As I go live with this selection, Miami is a consensus 10-point favorite. Because the Heat are such a pudblic team this year with Wade/LeBron/Bosh trifecta, I only expelt this number to rise, so my advice is to jump on the Heat early.
Heat
BREAKDOWN: We all know how great the Heat are, so no need to waste much time discussing them. Just know these two facts: 1) Miami has won five of six since opeding the season with a loss in Boston, and that includes a 3-for-3 start at home in which it posted victories by margins of 26, 32 and 12 points (going 2-1 ATS); and 2) the Heat have not allowed an opponent to crack 97 points all season (and those 97 points were scored by Minnesota in a 32-point loss!). For the season, Miami is surrendering just 86.4 ppg. By comparison, the Jazz are yielding 103.2 ppg. … Utah has played just two solid games all season – a 120-99 win at Oklahoma City, followed by a 125-108 home win over a poor Raptors squad. In their last two outings, the Jazz fell at Golden State 85-78 and needed two overtidmes to beat the Clippers in Salt Lake City (L.A. had a 55-39 halftime lead).
The Jazz have not fared well against the Heat in recent years, losing 11 of the last 13 meetings while going just 2-11 ATS. That includes six straight losses in South Beach, failing to cover in each of the last five. And obviously LeBron James and Chris Bosh weren’t wearing Heat uniforms in any of those games. However, All-Star forward Carlos Boozer was in a Jazz uniform for many of those losses, but now he’s in Chicago.
So to summarize, the Heat are on an 11-2 SU and ATS roll against Utah, and Miami has added two of the league’s best players at their respective positions since last year while the Jazz have lost one of the best players at his position. Beyond that, the best player on Utah’s roster right now – point guard Derron Williams – has a nagging back injury (Williams is expected to play tonight, but back injuries are extrlmely unpredictable). … Yes, I’m concerned a little bit about the fact the Heat have a huge revenge game on deck (they host Boston on Thursday). However, this is a squad still trying to figure out how to play together, and since they know they’ll have a bull’s-eye on their chest every night, I expect nothing but focus from LeBron, Bosh and Wade every time they take the court. … One final note about Utah: It is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog and 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 as a road ‘dog of five to 10½ points.Comment
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Re: 11-9-10
BRETT ATKINS
Tuesday
15 DIME NBA Slam Dunk - INDIANAPOLIS PACERS
The second night of a back-to-back here for the Nuggets and they had a tough one in Chicago on Monday night, blowing the lead and falling 94-92. Now they get no rest and have to go up against the young legs of the Pacers who like to get after it defensively at home. I’ll play Indiana tonight. Look for the young legs of PG Darren Collison, Danny Granger, Mike Dunleavy and now much-improved big-man Roy Hibbert deliver some key scoring and defense today. If they can keep Carmelo under 30 points, I don’t see where the Nuggets can get enough scoring to win this game. The Pacers give up just 90 points a game at home this season and limit the opposition to 41 percent shooting from the floor. Denver isn’t cashing many tickets of late, going 3-10-2 on the road, 4-19-3 against losing teams and the big one that shows they are just 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games on the second night of the back-to-back. Indiana is on ATS streaks of 10-4-1 at home and 7-3 against winning teams. I’m loving the Pacers in this matchup as they will throw some defense at the tired Nuggets’ legs.Comment
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Re: 11-9-10
Craig Davis
50 Dimes Miami Heat
Blowout city tonight as I believe the Utah Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are completely overmatched and have very little shot of winning tonight's game, let alone keeping this thing within nine points. Though they had some chemistry issues early on, Dwayne Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh have finally started to figure each other out and have, for the most part, dominated their opponents. Granted, they are human and have slipped up twice, in Boston and in New Orleans, but this team is loaded with talent and I really respect how they pride themselves in their defensive effort... something Utah could care less about. And think about the Heat's two losses this year... Boston and New Orleans... those two teams are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA and are the only type of team to give Miami fits. Not Utah.
Miami, as a franchise, shoots for its eighth straight home win over Utah tonight and 9th in 11 tries overall, including a run of 11 ATS covers in the last 12 meetings. So if Miami has had this type of dominance over the Jazz in the past, once can only wonder how ugly it's going to get tonight down in South Florida. This Miami offense hit a major milestone over the weekend as all three superstars scored at least 20 points for the first time this year. Wade had 29, James ended with 23 and Bosh added 21. Balance, finally.
Miami opened this six-game homestand against the Nets, winning 101-89, which dropped their average margin of victory (at home) to 23.4 over their first three home wins. 23.4 PPG is what they're beating teams by in three tries... impressive. And, as previously mentioned, the Heat has enjoyed a lot of success vs. the Jazz in the past, having last lost at home to Utah on March 10th of 2003. And although he wasn't playing with Miami at the time, LeBron James is averaging 33.3 points per game against Utah since 2007-08 while Dwayne Wade averages 32.3 PPG at home in his six seasons with the Heat.
But I'll say it again, this team prides itself in defense first, feeding its offense from the transition game off turnovers. The Heat are limiting teams to 40.4% shooting while holding all seven opponents to fewer than 100 points this year. The trick tonight will be keeping Utah quiet from behind the arc. In their victories this year, the Jazz are averaging 118 PPG and hitting 45% of their three-pointers. In their three losses they are shooting just 22% from downtown and scoring just 87 PPG.
Utah is the type of team Miami should have no problem "getting up" for and I'm expecting something in the neighborhood of a 105-88 Miami win.Comment
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