11-12-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-10

ppp--boise

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-10

BEN BURNS - CFB

9* FRIDAY MAIN EVENT* UNDER Boise/Idaho (63 or better)

Game: Boise St. vs. Idaho Game Time: 11/12/2010 9:00:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Boise and Idaho to finish UNDER the total. The Broncos have been good to me recently, so I'm well aware of how potent their offense is. Last week, I had a big play on them against Hawaii and they rewarded me with a 42-7 victory. The previous week, I successfully played against the Broncos. They beat LA Tech by a score of 49-20 but failed to cover the large spread. In the Broncos' previous game, I successfully played on the 'under.' Boise scored 48 points but the game still stayed below the total, thanks to the defense delivering a perfect shutout. With all due respect to the offense, which is very good and which is also looking to run up scores, I feel that the Boise defense continues to be under-rated and that, as a result, we're again getting excellent value with the UNDER. Even with all the big offensive numbers that the Broncos have been putting up, thanks to a combination of high O/U lines and their excellent defensive play, the UNDER is 2-1 their last three games and 3-2 their last five. That includes a 2-0 mark when playing on the road. In fact, the Broncos have allowed only six combined points in their three "true" road games. (The Virginia Tech game was technically considered a neutral site.) They limited Wyoming to six points and they blanked BOTH New Mexico State and San Jose State completely. Some may not realize quite how impressive last week's defensive performance was. The Warriors entered that game averaging 9.2 points per game and 491.7 yards per game. The Broncos held them to 11 first downs and 196 total yards. That was Hawaii's lowest output in 12 years. Idaho got lit up (63-17) by Nevada last time out, a game that sailed over the total. While that result has helped in keeping this evening's O/U line generously high, note that the Vandals' previous two games had both finished below the total, a 45-10 loss at Hawaii and a 37-14 victory over New Mexico State. This will be the best defense that the Vandals have seen and I expect them to have trouble scoring. The UNDER is 2-1 in their home games this season and 8-6 the last 14 here. Off last week's awful defensive effort and having been embarrassed on Boise's blue turf last season, the last thing the Vandals want is to be destroyed in front of its home fans. While that may inevitably prove to be unavoidable, I expect there to at least be an emphasis on defense and for the Vandals to fight their hardest on that side of the ball. Note that this year's Vandals returned only four offensive starters but 10 on defense. Naturally, the Broncos are massive favorites here. Note that the UNDER is 6-4 the last 10 times that they were favored by 31 or more points. The last meeting here at Idaho finished with a score of 45-10. I expect a similar final combined score here. *9

BEN BURNS NBA

10* FRIDAY NIGHT O/U FEAST* ATLANTA HAWKS (-5 or better)

Game: Utah Jazz vs. Atlanta Hawks Game Time: 11/12/2010 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Atlanta Hawks Reason: I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Jazz come in as the "hotter" team. In fact, they're off back to back upset victories at Miami and Orlando. Pretty impressive stuff. Off those two wins, they may be patting themselves on the back a bit here though and it could be easy to let their guard down, if only slightly. That will prove costly though as the Hawks are generally very strong on this floor and as they should be extremely "hungry" tonight. Indeed, the Hawks have lost three straight games and should be desperate to get back on track. Note that the Hawks are a profitable 8-4-1 ATS since the start of the 2008 season, when off three or more consecutive losses. Also, note that they haven't lost three straight home games (they've currently lost b2b games here) since the 2007/2008 season. Atlanta's Josh Smith had this to say: "We'll figure out what's going wrong, and we'll fix it really quick." Before "writing off" the Hawks because of their current losing streak, lets not forget that they're still a solid 6-3 on the season. Perhaps more important, keep in mind that this team went an awesome 34-7 SU here last regular season, after going an impressive 31-10 here the previous season. During the same stretch, the Jazz were a combined 36-46 on the road. The Hawks are a solid 16-11 ATS (20-7 SU) the past 2+ seasons when listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. During that stretch, the Jazz were a money-burning 7-14 ATS (6-15 SU) when listed as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 range. The Hawks swept the Jazz last season and they're 3-0 SU/ATS the last three series meetings here at Atlanta. That includes a 96-83 victory here last season. I expect them to continue that success here, bouncing back with a much needed win and cover. *10

BEN BURNS NHL

10* BIG JUICE GAME OF THE MONTH* PITTSBURGH PENGUINS
BLUE CHIP O/U BLOWOUT * UNDER PITTSBURGH PENGUINS/TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Game Time: 11/12/2010 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins Reason: I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Penguins are fairly steep favorites here. However, I feel that the high price tag is justified. In addition to having home ice advantage, the Penguins have the schedule in their favor. The Pens come in well-rested. They had yesterday off, after playing on Wednesday. Prior to that, they'd had several days off. On the other hand, the Lightning were busy losing at Washington last night. Now, they'll be playing their third game in the past four days. Including a 1-0 loss last week at LA, note that the Lightning are a money-burning 72-118 (-31.6) the last 190 times that they played the second of back to back games. While its possible the Pens will be without Malkin, the Lightning will definitely be without LeCavalier, arguably a much bigger loss. The Pens figure to be extremely motivated. Not only have they been losing recently, but they also squandered a 4-2 third period lead in their last game, en route to an embarrassing 7-4 loss. Note that they're an outstanding 46-24 (+12) the last 70 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, they were also a highly lucrative 33-17 (+13.7) when coming off a loss by two or more goals. Additional motivation is provided by the fact that the Lightning already defeated the Pens, at Tampa. While its been a tough start here so far this season, keep in mind that the Pens were 25-12-4 here last season, 25-13-3 here in 2008 and 26-10-5 here in 2007. This is a team which has been consistently getting it done at home for years. They're 5-2 the last seven times that they were attempting to avenge an earlier loss and I look for them to bounce back and earn an important two points tonight. *10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-10

BRANDON LANG

MONEY MOVE
10 DIME* Idaho/Boise State OVER 64

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-10

Wayne Root

nba game of month atlanta

cbb under dog seton hall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-12-10

Ness - 27* Hawks