11-13-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

BEN BURNS CFB

Notre Dame +4 or better

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

Scott Spreitzer - Scott Spreitzer's CFB GAME OF THE YEAR! *12-2, 86% Lifetime!

(177) KANSAS STATE (+12.5, ov54.5)
(178) MISSOURI (-12.5, un54.5)
Saturday, Nov 13 2010, 09:30 AM PST
Take " (178) MISSOURI "
I'm laying the points with Missouri on Saturday. Several weeks ago Kansas State hosted Nebraska on a Thursday night in Manhattan. I mentioned in my write-up that the difference in team-speed and athleticism were night and day. I predicted Nebraska would have no trouble at all with a slow Kansas State offense and defense. The Huskers won, 48-13. The slow Wildcat defense was also ripped for 47 points and 683 total yards on 9 yards per play. And another comparable offense, Oklahoma State, was quite sluggish, but still piled-up over 500 yards of offense against Bill Snyder's troops. After beating a self-destructing Texas team last week, the 'Cats must go on the road against the quickest opponent (on both sides of the ball) that they have faced since the Nebraska game. RB Daniel Thomas hasn't been getting the holes he got during non-conference play and QB Carson Coffman is a sack waiting to happen against defenses like Missouri's. In fact, Snyder decided to change things up a bit and started Colin Klein under center a week ago. The 6'5 sophomore adds more mobility than Coffman, but even after the Texas game, Klein has thrown a grand total of just nine passes. There's really nothing left up Snyder's sleeve. Start Coffman and you have a hampered running attack and a stationary QB who'll be under constant pressure. Start Klein and you have a QB who can move better, but the passing game suffers dramatically. In either case, the 'Cats are truly hamstrung against Missouri's speed. It's a Tiger team that suffered a hangover against Nebraska after the huge win over Oklahoma. Then last week, they looked drained in Lubbock after having their hopes of a perfect season dashed the previous week in Lincoln. The Tigers are finally back home in Columbia, and believe it or not, it's their final home game of the season. There's been some talk about "what's wrong with QB Blaine Gabbert?" Nothing's wrong. He just ran into two very tough situations. He gets "just what the doctor ordered" this week when he faces the nation's 102nd rank defense overall, allowing 435.7 yards per game. It's a balanced K-State defense. They're weak against both the run and the pass, allowing 218.7 yards rushing per game (113th) and 217 yards passing per game (63rd). K-State allows a whopping 5.6 yards per carry, which is dead last, 120th in the nation! They're tied for 102nd in sacks with just 13 on the season. And K-State ranks 93rd in third down conversion percentage allowed. Let's also remember that Nebraska and Texas Tech have the speed to cover Mizzou receivers man-to-man. Kansas State, as explained above, does not. I expect a huge game from Gabbert and star WR T.J. Moe, who goes unmatched down field in this one. Making matters even tougher on K-State is the arm injury to LB Alex Hrebec. With 73 tackles on the season, Hrebec is the team's leading tackler. He's not expected to start this week. Even if he does, he's much less than 100% healthy. Again, this is just the opponent Mizzou needs to get right back on track and I believe they will in a big way. Missouri is a healthy 10-2, 83% ATS at home when they're off an upset loss as a favorite. Mizzou has scored 87 combined points in their last two home games against K-State, winning by 26 and 17. And they have won four in a row in the series, by an average score of 42-22. K-State has won just 4 of their last 26 road games, and they have dropped seven straight against ranked teams. Just like I said when they hosted Nebraska, Kansas State is "fools gold" in my opinion. They look strong against sluggish, mistake-prone teams at home. But they'll take it on the chin against the elite teams on their schedule. I'm laying the points with Missouri, my CFB Game of the Year. Thanks! GL! Scott

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

Dr. Bob

Best Bets
Rotation #117 Cincinnati (+5 1/2) 3-Stars at +3 1/2 or more, 2-Stars at +3.
Rotation #166 Auburn (-8) 2-Stars at -10 or less.
Rotation #212 Florida Atlantic (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -12.

Strong Opinions

Strong Opinion - Rotation #157 BYU (-6 1/2) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #188 Air Force (-32) Strong Opinion at -34 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -31.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #211-212 Florida Atlantic-UL Lafayette UNDER (55) Strong Opinion Under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

BEN BURNS

TEXAS (+4 or better)

DUKE (+3 or better)

CALIFORNIA (+17 or better)

SD STATE (+26 or better)

FLORIDA (-7 or better

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

ness "legend"--missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

Root To Win
Perfect Play - Texas +

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

BIG AL's PAC-10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Ariz St

BIG AL's 100% BIG CHALK BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR
Air Force

BIG AL's 100% (17-0) NCAA HIGH ROLLER
Nerbraska

BIG AL's 100% (11-0) NCAA FOOTBALL ROADKILL
Mizz

BIG AL's JAW-DROPPING 21-0 NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER
Fresno

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRES CLUB Notre Dame Fighting Irish
BILLIONAIRES CLUB California Bears
NO LIMIT (PAC 10 GOY) Arizona State Sun Devils
PINNACLE Colorado State Rams
PERFECT PLAY Texas Longhorns
BOARD OF DIRECTORS Clemson Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

I gotta run for a couple hours, If ANYONE can help out, The group will really appreciate it.

Thanks.

[mikefortino]

Re: 11-13-10

Ness legend 10-mizz 9-bay, tenn, 8-fl, ok st , oh st

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

Scott Spreitzer's CFB *61-16* BLOCKBUSTER GAME OF THE MONTH!
Game
Saturday Nov 13, 12:30 PM
(179) Penn State
(180) Ohio State
Pick
(180) Ohio State

Analysis
I'm laying the points with Ohio State on Saturday. Since losing to a good Wisconsin team, the Buckeyes have been simply "nasty" crushing Purdue and Minnesota with a "take no prisoners" approach. Following a bye week, I expect Ohio State to resume that mindset when they host Penn State. The Nittany Lions have faced just two tough opponents away from Happy Valley. Both teams, Alabama & Iowa, completely shut down the PSU offense. Penn State scored just a FG in both games. In fact, they lost by identical scores of 24-3. The offense averaged just 292 yards per game in the losses on just 4.6 yards per play. They rushed for only 90.5 yards on 3.35 yards per carry. And the passing game was non-existant. PSU hit just 50% of their attempts with no TDs, four INTs, and two sacks. I have news for Penn State. Ohio State's third ranked defense is even better. The Buckeyes are better at putting pressure on opposing QBs, allow a low 29% third down conversion rate, and actually hold their opponents to just 233.8 yards per game! Then there's the talented Ohio State offense, led by one of the best dual threat QBs in the nation in Terrelle Pryor, who is the nations 5th most effecient passer. Ohio State's offense ranks 17th overall, and they average 42 ppg. Toss in the fact that Ohio State is still playing for a Rose Bowl berth and Penn State is going to be in for a long afternoon, as far as I'm concerned. Penn State fought back from a 21-7 halftime deficit last week at home to beat Northwestern and get Joe Paterno his 400th win. But they celebrated like they just won a championship and I believe they're going to have a tough time gaining back the same emotion on the road. Penn State has struggled away from home as a big dog, going 2-8 ATS when getting more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes are on a 5-0 ATS run as a home fave of more than 10. The Buckeyes are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 at home. And finally, home faves off a win of at least 10 points over a conference rival, are 45-15 ATS against an opponent off three straight wins against conference opponents. The matchups and angles are all on one side...and so am I. I'm laying the points with Ohio State, my Blockbuster. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

Brandon Lang

Southern Miss - Central Florida OVER 54.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

BURNS NHL

LEAFS (+1.5 goals) *Puck-Line*

Game: Vancouver Canucks vs. Maple Leafs Puck Line Game Time: 11/13/2010 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Maple Leafs Puck Line (+1.5) Reason: I'm playing TORONTO on the "puck-line" (@ +1.5 goals). I feel that the Leafs have an excellent shot at winning this game. However, given their tendency to play close games at home, I feel that playing them at +1.5 goals is the way to go. Naturally, we will pay a steep price for the extra +1.5 goals. That said, the price on the Leafs at +1.5 is more reasonable than the price on any other home team, at +1.5, currently on tonight's busy NHL board. The Canucks did win big at Ottawa on Thursday. They're still below .500 on the road though. They're now 31-42 (-16.2) vs. the moneyline the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Canucks have played at Toronto just five times since 2003. Two of those games were decided by a single goal and another finished in a tie. The Leafs are currently in the midst of a losing streak. While that's not necessarily a good thing, it should make them "desperate" for a victory tonight and it should ensure a maximum effort. That's particularly true as they know that the entire national (Canadian) audience will be watching the game on TV. Despite their current skid, the Leafs are still 10-9 their last 19 home games. A look at the last 13 of those finds that 12 of them were decided by two goals or less - the other was a 5-1 victory. In fact, the Leafs haven't lost a home game by more than two goals since last March. Each of the Leafs last two games here resulted in 1-goal losses, both by identical 3-2 scores. The last one was particularly painful as they gave up the tying goal late and lost in a shootout. Looking back further and we find that 12 of the last last 19 games here at Toronto were decided by one goal. If one had been getting +1.5 with the Leafs in all those games, Toronto would have a record of 16-3. That includes a 5-1 mark their last six here. (That's a whole lot better than 1-5, which is their record vs. the moneyline their last six here.) I expect the Leafs to pad those "puck-line" stats here. *5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-13-10

BURNS NBA

UNDER miami/toronto (199 or better)

MIAMI (-16 or better)

CHARLOTTE (pk or better)