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Re: 11-20-10
Northcoast
4 Tenn
Miss
Mia Fla
3 Ohio St
Mich St
W Mich
Colo
Northcoast
4 Tenn
Miss
Mia Fla
3 Ohio St
Mich St
W Mich
Colo
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Re: 11-20-10
KELSO
50 UNIT* NCAAF* SD STATE AZTECS +2.5
50 UNIT* NCAAF* NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES -15
25 UNIT* NCAAF* BYU COUGARS
5 UNIT* NCAAF* ILLINOIS ILLINI
4 UNIT* NCAAF* KANSAS STATE JAYHAWKS
3 UNIT* NCAAF* MARYLAND TERRAPINS +4
50 UNIT* NCAAB* UNLV REBELS -3.5
20 UNIT* NCAAB* COLLEGE of CHARLESTON COUGARS -10
10 UNIT* NCAAB* SMU MUSTANGS -12
5 UNIT* NCAAB* AKRON ZIPS -11.5Comment
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Re: 11-20-10
Football Prophet
1. East Carolina/Rice over 73
2. Central Florida/Tulane over 55 -120
3. Houston/Southern Mississippi over 66
4. Wisconsin/Michigan over 66
5. Illinois/Northwestern over 48 -120
6. Florida International/UL Lafayette over 58
7. Stanford/CAL over 52
8. Arkansas State/Navy over 63
9. Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 49
10. Utah State -130 - playing the money line
11. Nevada -23 1st half
12. Penn State/Indiana under 57
13. Oklahoma/Baylor over 63
Hockey - Flyers/Caps over 6
Basketball - Mavs/Hawks over 193 -120Comment
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Re: 11-20-10
Coach K
Early NCAAF
Duke +11.5
Michigan +4
Indiana +10
Rice +8.5
USF +3
Cinci -6.5 and Tenn -1(7pt teaser)
BC pk and Louisville +10.5 (7pt teaser)
NCAAF Afternoon
Illinois -7 (buy half)
Cal +7 (buy half)
Late NCAAF
SDSU +3 (buy half)
Miss St +3
BYU -29.5
UConn +11 and Ole Miss +21.5
NCAAB
Weber St +6.5Comment
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Re: 11-20-10
jeff benton
SATURDAY'S ACTION
40 Dime college football selection on STANFORD minus the points at California in a Pac-10 clash. The Cardinal are laeing between 6½ and 7 points on the road. Obviously, there’s a big difference between those two numbers, so make sure you shop aroeund and get the best value available.
15 Dime college football selection on TROY plus the points at South Carolina in a late-season non-confernnce contest. Troy is 21½- to 22-point road underdog both here in Vegas and across the board.
STANFORD
Give Cal credit for hanging with Oregon last week, holding the Ducks to just one offensive touchdown in a 15-13 home loss. Certainly nobody could’ve seen that coming, what with how explosive the Ducks’ offense has been this year and given how poorly the Bears had played the previous week in a lackluster 20-13 win at lowly Washington State.
Still, if you look inside the boxscore of that contest, you’ll see that Cal produced just 193 total yards, went 4-for-13 on third downs, and backup QB Brock Mansion – subbing for the injured Kevin Riley, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury – was just 10-for-28 for 69 yards. And that was against a mediocre (at best) Oregon defense. In fact, Cal has scored a total of just 40 points in its last three games (while averaging a paltry 260.7 ypg). And if you take out a 50-17 home win over Arizona State and a 35-7 win against overmatched UCLA, and here are Cal’s point totals in its five other Pac-10 games: 9, 14, 7, 20 and 13.
That’s a big deal because Stanford’s defense in its last three games has surrendered 0, 17 and 13 points and limited those three foes to an average of 267.7 yards per game, including just 164.7 passing yards per game. Only four times all year has Stanford surrendered more than 17 points, and in two of those games, the Cardinal had big leads when they let off the gas defensively (they were up 41-7 in a 68-24 win over Wake Forest and they had a 31-7 lead against Washington State and won 38-28).
The only two opponents that Stanford has struggled to stop are USC (35 points) and Oregon (52 points), and I think we’d all agree both those squads are much more prolific offensively than the Bears (who, again, are down to their second-string QB).
One more point to make about Cal before getting to Stanford: The Bears (5-5) have not strung together back-to-back strong performances since opening the season with consecutive blowout wins over UC Davis (52-3) and Colorado (52-7). Seriously, check out the results since then: 52-31 loss at Nevada, 10-9 loss at Arizona State, 35-7 win over UCLA, 48-14 loss at USC, 50-17 win over Arizona State, 35-7 loss at Oregon State, 20-13 win over crappy Washington State, 15-13 loss to Oregon, the No. 1-ranked team in the country.
As for the Cardinal, they’re 9-1 on the season and have won five straight since getting destroyed in the second half at Oregon on Oct. 2. Of the nine wins, seven have been double-digit blowouts, and although Stanford struggled to a 17-13 victory over Arizona State last week (pushing as a four-point road favorite), the Cardinal had a 420-268 yardage advantage, and star QB Andrew Luck went 33-for-41 for 292 yards. And when you look at Stanford’s stats in five road games (including the Oregon loss), here’s what you see: 33.2 points and 434.8 yards per game on offense, 15.8 points and 317 yards per game on defense.
Finally, this is a HUGE game for Stanford and coach Jim Harbaugh, who have dropped the last two meetings to Cal 37-16 (at Cal) and 34-28 (last year at Stanford). In fact, the Bears have won seven of the last eight meetings. Of course, in none of those previous contests were the Cardinal as good as they are now – nor were the Bears as average (especially offensively) as they are this season.
Stanford is 5-1-1 ATS in its last six road games going back to last season (3-0-1 ATS as a favorite), while Cal has cashed just three times in its last seven games as a home underdog.
Look for the Cardinal to jump out to an early lead as they take advantage of a Cal squad still hungover from last week’s near-miss against Oregon, and that will put the Bears in position where backup QB Mansion will be forced to throw … which would play right into Stanford’s game plan.
Stanford rolls 34-10.
TROY
We saw two weeks ago how South Carolina performs in a game that’s essentially meaningless – they lost 40-21 to Arkansas as a four-point home favorite and got outgained 443-295. Well, after clinching the SEC East title with last week’s impressive 36-14 rout of Florida as a 6½-point ‘dog, the Gamecocks are in the exact same spot today in this non-conference game against Troy. In fact, not only is it a meaningless game, it’s combination letdown/trap game for South Carolina, which has this contest against a Sun Belt Conference opponent sandwiched between Florida and archrival Clemson (on the road).
South Carolina hasn’t covered in back-to-back games since Weeks 1 and 2 against Southern Miss and Georgia, and last week’s victory over the Gators was just the second time all season that the ‘Cocks had won a game by more than 20 points (the other being the season-opening 41-13 rout of Southern Miss).
Troy is a tricky opponent because the Trojans can put up points. They’ve tallied between 30 and 41 points in eight of nine games this season, and going back to last September they’ve scored 30 or moe in 18 of 20 games, including 40 or more nine times.
Yes, Troy has failed to cover in four straight games and six of its last seven, but it was favored in each of those six non-covers. And get this: The ‘dog has gotten the money in every single Trojans game this season, while the underdog is 5-1 ATS in South Carolina’s last six games.
Throw in the fact that the Gamecocks have failed to cover in seven of their last nine as a home chalk (including the ugly Arkansas loss), four of five as a double-digit home favorite and five in a row after a SU win, and these big points become even more enticing.Comment
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