11-20-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Dr B0B

BEST BETS
Rotation #315 Penn State (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Rotation #328 Boston College (-6 1/2) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #379 Pittsburgh (-2 1/2) 2-Stars at -3 or less.

STRONG OPINIONS
Strong Opinion - Rotation #320 Syracuse (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (at -115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #325 Duke (+11) Strong Opinion at +10 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #336 Iowa (+3) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

BIG AL MCMORDIE

17-0 NON CONFERENCE FB GOM

4* Texas Longhorns

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

SCOTT SPREITZER

Big 10 GOM - Iowa
SEC GOM - Tennessee
Morning Massacre Oklahoma St
Oddsmaker GOM - Utah

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Larry Ness | CFB Side Sat, 11/20/10 - 10:00 PM

triple-dime bet 393 Utah -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 394 San Diego St.
Analysis: My 10* 27-Club Play is on Utah at 10:00 ET.
As the month of November dawned, Utah was 8-0 and ranked 5th in the latest BCS standings, right ahead of FB powers Alabama, Nebraska and Oklahoma. How quickly things change. Just two scant weeks later, the Utes have lost back-to-back games. The team's total demolition at the hands of TCU (47-7) was brutal. The Horned Frogs out-gained the Utes 558-to-199 in yards and TCU's 40-point victory was the second-largest margin in a regular season game between two top-five BCS teams. The loss also ended Utah's 21-game winning streak at Rice-Eccles Stadium. While that loss was bad, this past Saturday's loss at South Bend was even more devastating to Utah's "rep!" The Irish have become laughingstocks in CFB these days but Notre Dame walked away from last Saturday's game with a 28-3 win. When the 'dust' cleared last Sunday night, the Utes found themselves down to No. 23 in the latest BCS standings, hanging on for dear life. Up next for the Utes (before its season-ender with BYU) is Brady Hoke's rapidly improving San Diego St Aztecs, who come in 7-3. SDSU's three losses in 2010? How about road games at Missouri (27-24), BYU (24-21) and this past Saturday, 40-35 at TCU (Horned Frogs had allowed just 23 points their previous five games and had outscored all opponents entering the SDSU game, 414-85!). I haven't read or heard anyone pick Utah in this game. Well, as Ronald Reagan used to say, I'm "all over" the Utes. How about inserting some reality into this game analysis. SDSU completed a 49-yard pass on its second play from scrimmage early on, setting up a one-yard TD run. Minutes later, the Aztecs sacked TCU's Dalton, who fumbled aninto the end zone with SDSU recovering to go up 14-0. From that point, until late in the third quarter, TCU scored 37 consecutive points. SDSU would tack on three late TDs while totaling 199 of its 300 total yards (had 38 yards rushing on 21 carries for the game), in 'garbage time.' For the game, SDSU had just seven FDs (that's right!). Now to Utah's 28-3 loss at Notre Dame. Utah held the Irish to just Notre Dame 256 yards! However, the Utes were minus-two in TO margin and that doesn't include Notre Dame's blocked punt TD. SDSU's played four "worthy" opponents this year, at Missouri, at BYU, home to Air Force and at TCU. Missouri didn't run much vs SDSU but threw for 351 yards. As for BYU, Air Force and TCU, those three schools ran for 266, 312 and 271 yards. That's 283.0 YPG on 4.8 YPC. After the Utes run on this 3-3-5 defense, it will open things up for QB Wynn and the Utes will earn back a measure of the respect they've lost these last two Saturdays. Bet on it!

Good luck...Larry

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

BEN BURNS

TEXAS (-23 or better)

Game: Florida Atlantic vs. Texas Game Time: 11/20/2010 3:30:00 PM Prediction: Texas Reason: I'm playing on TEXAS. As you know, its been a very disappointing season for the Longhorns. A "blowout" win over Florida Atlantic won't change that fact. That said, it would make this team feel a lot better about itself. It would also keep the Longhorns' "bowl" hopes alive and give them some much needed momentum for next week's final vs. Texas A&M. The Longhorns have serious talent edges in this game and I expect them to come together and demonstrate that this afternoon. While there's no denying Texas has the talent and athletic advantage, some may fear that the Longhorns have quit on the season. I don't expect that to be an issue though. Coach Mack Brown concurs. He was quoted as saying: "We've asked the kids to make sure they've committed for 12 days on Saturday. ... We want the kids to keep fighting. We said you cannot have the season you want, but you can't ever quit. If you quit, what an awful message to you in the rest of your life -- I don't see them doing that." While the Longhorns are 14-0 SU against teams currently in the Sun Belt, the Owls are 0-5 SU/ATS their last five against teams from the Big 12. The Owls have been terrible in non-conference road games for years. The last time that they played a non-conference opponent with any type of talent on 10/2, when they visited South Florida. That resulted in a 31-3 blowout loss. Including that result, they're just 7-12 SU/ATS on the road, the past few seasons. Given the fact that they need a win to keep their bowl hopes alive, there will be no looking past the Owls. Texas senior James Kirkendoll said this of the team's current state of mind: "I think at this point we have a sense of urgency. It doesn't matter who we play. We have to win the next two games if we want to go to a bowl game." These teams met here in 2008. Before the game Florida Atlantic coach Howard Schnellenberger suggested that Texas was "soft" and vulnerable against "smash-mouth football." The Longhorns went on to punish the Owls with a commanding 232-37 edge on the ground, which led to a 31-13 advantage in first downs. The final score was 52-10 in favor of the Longhorns. They've got a lot of frustration to take out and I look for a similarly lopsided result here. *10


SAN JOSE STATE (+28 or better)

Game: San Jose St. vs. Hawaii Game Time: 11/20/2010 10:30:00 PM Prediction: San Jose St. Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE STATE. I successfully played against the Warriors in their last game, a blowout loss at Boise State. They're back home now and they've had an extra week to "lick their wounds" and to prepare for San Jose State. As a result, most will expect them to bounce back with a blowout victory. After all, they'd been pretty impressive before those loss to the Broncos. While they may indeed bounce back with a solid win, in my opinion, asking them to win by greater than four touchdowns is asking too much. The Warriors, 1-2 SU/ATS the last three times they were coming off a bye, had a big winning streak snapped in the loss at Boise. That was a huge game for them - this one is not. I believe that it will have been hard for them to put Boise out of their heads these past two weeks and that fully focusing on San Jose State will have been difficult. Keep in mind that the Warriors have already accepted an invitation to the Hawaii Bowl. The Spartans haven't been winning. However, they have been competitive - at least recently. Last week, they lost by four points vs. Utah State. The previous week, in their last road game, they lost by two at New Mexico State. Before that they lost by 15 vs. Fresno State and before that they lost by 22 at Nevada. Other than the Nevada game, which was still a cover, their only "blowout loss" in conference play was vs. Boise State. As already mentioned, Hawaii was also blown out by the Broncos. These Spartans are a "battle-tested bunch" and their ugly overall record is due in part to the fact that they played a killer non-conference schedule. They began the season at Alabama. The next week, they were at Wisconsin. Two weeks later, they were at Utah. Overall, the Spartans have been outgained pretty significantly - again, that's partly due to the schedule. However, over their last three games they've only been outgained by a 437 to 406 margin, in terms of total yards. Led by senior quarterback Jordan La Secla, the Spartans have thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games with seven touchdown passes. The Spartans finished only 2-10 last season but still played Hawaii very tough, as they have for a few seasons in a row now. The Warriors won last season's meeting by a 17-10 score, in overtime. The previous season, at Hawaii, San Jose State scored an outright win. Before that, in 2007, the Spartans hung within seven, losing 42-35. I look for this one to be closer than most are expecting once again and am grabbing the generous points. *10

NORTH CAROLINA (-3 or better)

Game: NC State vs. North Carolina Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: North Carolina Reason: I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA. The Wolfpack come in with the better record. However, I believe that the Tar Heels are favored for good reason. In fact, while I respect Russell Wilson and the Wolfpack, I feel that the Tar Heels could easily be laying more points. Keep in mind that the Tar Heels were -6 point favorites at NC State last season and -13 point favorites here the previous season. While the Wolfpack are 3-5 SU off a conference victory the past few seasons, (0-3 this season) the Tar Heels are 7-3 when coming off a conference loss. Note that the Wolfpack have lost back to back road games. This is the 100th meeting in this fierce instate rivalry and it goes without saying that both teams badly want to win. I expect the Tar Heels to be just a little "hungrier" though. Not only have the Wolfpack beaten them three straight times, but this is the Tar Heels final home game. This team had dealt with a lot of adversity and has many seniors. They want to go out on top and what better way than by beating the hated Wolfpack in the 100th all-time meeting of the series and their final game in front of their home fans. I look for them to get it done, covering the small number along the way. *9
INDIANA (+10 or better)

Game: Penn State vs. Indiana Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Indiana Reason: I'm playing on INDIANA. As you know, the Hoosiers were absolutely destroyed last week. That type of loss is embarrassing and players generally follow it up by working hard in practice and giving their best effort the next game. I expect that to be the case here. The Nittany Lions also come off a loss - theirs may be tougher to bounce back from though. They were up on Ohio State but fell apart and ended up getting blown out. Note that Penn State is 2-3 ATS its last five when coming off a conference loss. Note that prior to last week's loss, the Hoosiers had seen their previous two games (vs. Iowa and Northwestern) decided by three and five points. The Hoosiers covered against the Nittany Lions each of the past two seasons, including a 11 point loss at Penn State (as 24 pt dogs) last season. I expect them to bounce back with a highly motivated effort and for that to lead to at least another cover here. *9


MICHIGAN (+3 or better)

Game: Wisconsin vs. Michigan Game Time: 11/20/2010 12:00:00 PM Prediction: Michigan Reason: I'm playing on MICHIGAN. You probably heard about Wisconsin's 83-20 victory over Indiana last week. Admittedly, that's pretty impressive. However, a home game against Indiana and a road game at Michigan are two entirely different matters. Of course, the Badgers are well aware of this fact as they're an absolutely awful 1-17 their last 18 here in Ann Arbor, including 0-5 the last five. Now, in part because of last week's lopsided score, the Badgers are being asked to win by more than a field goal. I believe that's asking too much and feel that we're getting excellent value with the talented home underdog. Note that the Badgers were favored by -4.5 points here in 2008. Michigan erased a 19-0 halftime deficit and won 27-25. Including that result, the Badgers are 0-2 SU/ATS the last two times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. The Wolverines haven't been covering - which has helped us even further, in terms of line value. However, they are off back to back wins. They average better than 520 yards per game while scoring 37.7 points. In a game that could come down to the wire, I'll grab the points. However, I expect the Wolverines to continue their homefield dominance in the series and look for them to score the outright upset. *9

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

BIG AL MCMORDIE

Big 10 GOY - Mich
Non Con GOM - Texas
Road Kill - Miss St
5 game package
BYU
NAVY
CUSE
MTS
RICE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Root:
Upset Club: Mich +4
Baylor +7.5
Millionaire: Mich +4
Perfect Play: Ore St +3.5

[fsiler]

Re: 11-20-10

Does anyone have Root's Pinnacle?

[bballfiend]

Re: 11-20-10

does anyone have Root's Billionaire Play of the year??

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Joe Gavazzi

5* FLA St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

does anyone have Root's Billionaire Play of the year??

Root Bill GOY

IOWA HAWKEYES

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Brandon Lang

30 dime USC -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-20-10

Dr. Bob NBA
I’ll take Phoenix in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or less and for 3-Stars at -1 or better.

[wayneschultz]

Re: 11-20-10

Do you know the rating on the Baylor Pick (is it No Limit)? Have you seen his Pinnacle pick for today?