11-30-10

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98823

    #46
    Re: 11-30-10

    Lenny Del Genio

    Boston -6.5

    This is an excellent spot to play on the Celtics, who come in with the best record in the Eastern Conference at 12-4 SU (tied with Orlando). Back on October 27th, they lost here in Cleveland as they found themselves in a far less fortuitous situation. They had just beaten the Heat on opening night the night prior and were facing the Cavs in their home opener. Not surprisingly, because this is the NBA, they lost 95-87 as four-point favorites. Tonight, they come in well rested as they have not played since a 110-101 victory over Toronto last Friday, their third straight win overall. One of the best times to jump on Boston is when they are playing with revenge, particularly when on the road. They are 21-7 ATS the last two-plus seasons away from Boston and seeking revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when the prior loss came on the road as it did here. Surprisingly, the Boston offense has been quite potent the last two weeks with four games of 110 or more points scored. Not surprisingly, the defense has also been solid as in the two games prior to Friday's win over the Raptors saw the team surrender just 76 and 83 points. In fact, with the exception of a pair of games vs. Toronto, the last four games has seen Boston allow an average of just under 83 PPG. This is not good news for a Cleveland team whose only two victories in the last six games have come by a combined eight points over Memphis and Milwaukee, the latter coming on a buzzer beater. Without LeBron, this team just doesn't score much, averaging a terrible 91.9 PPG at home this season. Speaking of LeBron, the Cavs will be pointing towards a Thursday night showdown on TNT vs. Miami here at home in what will be James first return 'home.' Looking ahead is not what you want against a revenge-minded Celtics team. Boston is our 15* Revenge Game of the Week.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98823

      #47
      Re: 11-30-10

      Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

      6* Pacers / Kings Under 190.5

      For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under":

      The Pacers have seen the total go "under" the number in 11 of 15 to start the year including in 4 of 6 on the road; on the 28th they upset the Lakers on the road 95-92, the total staying well below the number of 204.

      Over the last 2-seasons the Pacers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 30 of 57 when playing the roll of favorite.

      On the other side of the court: The Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in 9 of 15 games to start the year including in 6 of 9 in front of the home town crowd; last time out they lost at home to Chicago 96-85, the total staying below the number of 191 1/2.

      Keep in mind that over the last 2-seasons this team has seen the total go "under" the number in 18 of 31 when playing with 2 days of rest; also in 13 of 18 after scoring 85-points or less.

      Bottom line: It must also be noted that in 7 of these teams last 10 played at ARCO Arena the total has indeed also gone "under" the number.

      "This is a big win for us to come into L.A. and beat the world champions on their home court," said Pacer Danny Granger. "It gives us a lot of motivation and confidence on this West Coast road trip."

      Indiana will look to continue its dominant defensive play tonight against a struggling Kings side.

      No need to overanalyze this selection...

      6* play on the UNDER!
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98823

        #48
        Re: 11-30-10

        The Duke's Sports

        Ole Miss (+3) for 2 Units

        The Rebels have a good recent history of performing well early in the season under Kennedy and we'll grab the points here. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 on the road, including 4-1 ATS as a road dog. They're also 6-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. They've got a good core group which went to the Final Four of the NIT last year. Senior PG Chris Warren is solid at dribble penetration and either finding one of his solid supporting players or taking a high percentage shot. Ole Miss has surprisingly good depth --Gaskins stepped in the other night for Buckner and delivered --, respectable defensively at this stage of season, and make better decisions with the ball than Miami U, which has had some turnover problems early. The 'Canes are just 3-13 ATS on Tuesdays and won't have an easy time with the Rebels tonight.
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98823

          #49
          Re: 11-30-10

          EZ Winners

          2 Illinois -6
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98823

            #50
            Re: 11-30-10

            ASA

            3 Blazers -3.5

            3 Indiana State +16
            3 New Mexico State +4.5
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98823

              #51
              Re: 11-30-10

              California Sports

              3 New Mexico State
              3 Long Beach State
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98823

                #52
                Re: 11-30-10

                Teddy Covers
                Pacers

                Northwestern
                Indiana State
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