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Re: 12-17-10
Billy Coleman
Phoenix +7
LAL/Phil Under 196.5
Detroit -3.5
N Orleans +1
Sac/OKC Over 205
Billy Coleman
Phoenix +7
LAL/Phil Under 196.5
Detroit -3.5
N Orleans +1
Sac/OKC Over 205
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Re: 12-17-10
Ferringo NCAA Hoops
1.5-Unit Play. Take #825 Tennessee (-12) over Charlotte (8 p.m., Friday, Dec. 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #829 Arizona State (-4) over Nevada (9 p.m., Friday, Dec. 17)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #833 Citadel (+15) over Colorado (9:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 17)Comment
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Re: 12-17-10
Jeff Benton FRIDAY'S ACTION
20 Dime NBA release on the 76ERS plus the points at home against the Lakers. Philadelphia is a 5-point home underdog both here in Vegas and offshore. I recommend you hold off on making your wager, beecause the Lakers are such a public team and are likely to attract a lot of money as the day goes on, driving the line higher. Regardless, make sure you monitor the odds and shop around to get the best of the number.
10 Dime NBA release on the CLIPPERS plus the points on the road at the Pistons. Los Angeles is a 3½-point unddrdog both here in Vegas and offshore. Again, monitor any line movement here and wager accordingly.
76ERS
Both the Lakers and Sixers are in the tricky spot of playing their third game in four nights, but L.A. has been on the road for all three (part of a seven-game, 12-day road trip that ends Sunday in Toronto). Philadelphia, on the other hand, has played five of its last six and seven of its last nine at home. During this nine-game span, the 76ers have won seven times, going 6-1 at home (only setback was a last-second 102-101 loss to the red-hot Celtics last Thursday).
Not only has Philly won seven of nine overall, it is the hottest pointspread team the NBA, cashing in 10 straight games and 12 of the last 13. That includes eight consecutive spread-covers at home, going 4-0 ATS (and 3-1 SU) as a home underdog.
The key to Philadelphia’s success? Defense. Take out the 102-101 loss to the Celtics eight days ago, and the 76ers have held nine straight opponents under 100 points. And during its 12-1 ATS run, Doug Collins’ team is yielding just 91.2 points per game (and that includes a 116-114 overtime loss at Washington back on Nov. 23).
The Lakers have picked up their offense in their last two games, blowout road wins over the Wizards on Tuesday (103-89) and the Pacers on Wednesday (109-94). Prior to that, though, L.A. had averaged 90 ppg in its first three games on the trip (Clippers, Bulls and Nets). Not only that, but prior to winning and covering at Washington and Indiana, Los Angeles had been in a 1-9 ATS funk (obviously, all as a favorite), being held under triple digits in eight of those 10 contests.
Even if you throw in the wins over the fact that the Lakers have won six of seven overall (and four of five on this road trip), they’re still just a .500 road team since Nov. 26, going 4-4 SU and just 2-6 ATS.
More negatives for Los Angeles: It is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 overall, 2-5 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference, 1-5 ATS in its last six against Atlantic Division foes, 2-5 ATS in its last seven after one day off and 2-5 ATS in its last seven after a victory. Meanwhile, in addition to covering in 10 straight games overall and eight straight at home, the 76ers are on pointspread upticks of 5-1-1 against the Western Conference, 5-0-1 after one day off, 8-0 following a victory and 5-0 after a double-digit win.
Bottom line: Like the Celtics eight days ago, the Lakers (just 9-5 on the road this year) may find a way to pull this game out in a final possession situation. But I see the 76ers staying within this impost most if not all of the way, and they’ll be challenging for the outright upset in the final two minutes.
CLIPPERS
It’s gotta happen at some point, right? I mean, sooner or later the Clippers have to win a road game, right? They’re 0-for-11 on the highway this season, the most recent setback coming at Philadelphia on Wednesday when L.A. got out scored 52-35 in the second half, turning a 56-53 halftime lead into a 105-91 loss.
Thing is, it’s not like the Clippers have been completely non-competitive on the road. Prior to falling apart in the second half against the scorching-hot Sixers, L.A. suffered road losses at Portland, Denver and Phoenix – three teams that are much better than Detroit – by nine, five and eight points. The Clippers also started the season with consecutive road defeats at Denver (111-104) and Utah (109-107 in double-overtime). There’s also a two-point loss at Minnesota on the ledger. So six of the Clippers’ 11 defeats have been by a total of 33 points.
Yes, I know the Clippers couldn’t get past Detroit in Los Angeles five weeks ago (losing 113-107 in overtime as a 1½-point home favorite). But L.A. swept the season series last year, including a 104-96 win in Motown as a 3½-point underdog.
Also, even though Detroit is coming off Monday’s 103-80 rout of the Hawks as a four-point underdog, this is still a team that’s lost 12 of 16 and is 4-8 ATS in its last 12. The Pistons have also failed to cover in four straight games against the Western Conference and 10 of 12 following a double-digit win.
Finally, think about this: The Clippers are in ATS slumps of 0-9 against Eastern Conference teams, 3-9 against the Clippers, 1-4 in Detroit (the one cover coming last year) and – to repeat – they’re winless through 11 road games this year … and yet despite all that, Detroit is barely favored here. Doesn’t that raise a red flag? It does to me, as there’s no doubt in mind which of these two squads has more talent. And with a Saturday game on deck at Chicago – a game the Clippers likely know they can’t win – they’ll bring supreme effort tonight because they realize this is a very winnable contest.Comment
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Re: 12-17-10
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Re: 12-17-10
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