12-18-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Dr. Bob First 3 Bowl Games

BYU (-11.5) 28 Texas El Paso 18 (at New Mexico Bowl)
11:00 AM Pacific, 18-Dec-10
I’ll lean slightly with UTEP at +11 or more and I’ll lean with the UNDER



Northern Ill (-1.0) 30 Fresno St. 24 (at Humanitarian Bowl)
02:30 PM Pacific, 18-Dec-10
I’ll lean with Northern Illinois in this game and I’ll also lean with the Under


Ohio 31 Troy (-2.0) 30 (at New Orleans Bowl)
06:00 PM Pacific, 18-Dec-10
I’ll lean with Ohio and I’d consider the Bobcats a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more. I’ll also lean slightly with the Over at 58 points or less.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

BIG AL

At 2 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over BYU, as UTEP falls into 58-29, 45-25 and 39-18 ATS Bowl Systems of mine. There's no doubt that Mike Price's Miners really want to be at this game, and are intent on coming away with a victory. Not only is UTEP trying to win its first Bowl game in 43 years, but this may very well be Price's last game in his long, and storied, 29-year coaching career. And his players will surely want to send him out on a winning note. Both teams come into this game off a loss: UTEP fell 31-28 at Tulsa, while BYU dropped a 17-16 decision to rival Utah. Both teams finished the season with a 6-6 record, and the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite over UTEP. But one of the last things a football bettor should ever do is lay a large amount of points with a bad team in a bowl game. To wit: Since 1980, .555 (or worse) teams are 14.2% ATS as favorites of more than a touchdown! And dogs of +10 to +21 points are a super 64-37 ATS in post-season games. Take UTEP.


At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies over Fresno St, as Northern Illinois falls into 40-12 and 14-0 ATS angles of mine. Fresno State comes into this game off back to back wins, including an upset over Illinois (as a 6.5-point home dog) in its last game. Off that impressive win, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Bulldogs, and especially since they're matched up against a Northern Illinois team that lost outright as 20-point favorites to Miami-OH in the Mid-American Conference Championship game (not to mention the fact that the Huskies' coach, Jerry Kill, bolted two days after that loss to Miami-OH to take the Minnesota job). But over the past 24 years, teams off upset wins, as 6-point or greater underdogs, are 0-14 ATS in the Bowls, provided they're NOT an underdog of 9+ points, and their opponent is off a SU/ATS loss by 28 or less points. Ironically, there may have been more turmoil this past week in Fresno than at Northern Illinois, as Fresno's coach, Pat Hill, suspended three players for violating team rules, including linebacker Kyle Knox (2nd on the team with 74 tackles), receiver Matt Lindsay (14 catches for 208 yds), and linebacker Daniel Salinas. Take Northern Illinois.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Root's " All Day Bowl Pass "

Mill = Troy
Mill = Fresno
No Limit = UTEP

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

BRANDON LANG

MAJOR WAGER #11

50 DIME* CFB* Troy -2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Dr. Bob
Saturday Daytime Best Bet
**Cal Poly SLO (+14) over CALIFORNIA
Rotation #555 - 2 pm Pacific
Cal Poly lost is offensively challenged but the Mustangs lost by just 11 points as an 18 point dog at UCLA and lost by just 6 points as a 24 ½ point dog at San Diego State. Those competitive losses as big dogs are a good omen today, as the Mustangs apply to a very good 173-72-6 ATS big road underdog situation that they also applied to against San Diego State on Monday but I passed on that one because I thought the line was too low. That is not the case here, as my ratings favor Cal by 13 points. I’ll take Cal Poly in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.

Saturday Daytime Opinion/Possible Best Bet
South Alabama (-4 ½) over GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Rotation #601 – 11:30 am Pacific
Georgia Southern is one of the worst teams in all of Division 1 basketball and all 3 of their wins have come against non-Division 1 teams. South Alabama is only 3-5 straight up but the Jaguars have beaten the two bad Division 1 teams that they’ve faced and they apply to a solid 93-48-1 ATS road favorite situation. My ratings favor South Alabama by 4 ½ points and I’ll lean with the Jaguars at -4 ½ or -5 points. I’ll take South Alabama in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line goes back down to -4 points or less.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

PPP

5% Fresno St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Ben Burns football

10* Main Event - Ohio
10* Best Bet - Over Ohio 57.5