12-18-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

10* UTEP Under

10* Fresno St

6* Troy Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

WUNDERDOG SPORTS

5 UNIT* Ohio Bobcats +2
5 UNIT* Fresno State Bulldogs +1
5 UNIT* UTEP Miners +11.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Teddy Covers

10* UTEP

10* Ohio

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Mr east

5 units utep +11.5
4 units utep / byu under 50

4 units n. Illinois / fresno st under 60

5 units utah +17
4 units utah / boise st under 60.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

A.REDDS
Saturday's Plays

50 Dime Release on Troy over Ohio. As this play is releasid at 8 AM Eastern, the Trojans are currently 2 point favorites in this contest pretty much everywhere here in Vegas and offshore.
15 Dime 1st Half Release on Troy over Ohio. The Trojans are currently 1 point favoreites in the 1st Half of this contest.
15 Dime Release on UTEP plus the points over BYU. The Miners are currently getling 11 1/2 points in this contest.
15 Dime Release on Fresno State plus the points over Northern Illinois. The Bulldogs are currently getting 1 1/2 points in this contest

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Allen Eastman College football game of the month

No. IL

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Chris Jordan 12/18
Ohio State -17', North Carolina -2 and Northern Illinois -1'

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

ATS college football:
9pm: 4 Units Troy -2
2pm: 3 Units BYU -11

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Jim Feist:

*15 Troy

*20 UTEP

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

Matt Fargo:

*9 Fresno State +1.5

*9 Troy OVER 57

*9 UTEP +12

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

AL DEMARCO
Saturday's Plays


5 dime pick on Baylor as the favorite againlt visiting Gonzaga in a game being played in Dallas. The line is currentay -7 points in both Las Vegas and offshore as I release these selections at 3:30 AM Pacific.



5 dime pick on Orlando as the home chalk versus Philadelphia. The Magic are currently -9.5 everywhere I check.



5 dime pick on New York as the road favorrte at Cleveland. The Knicks are laying -5 in the contest.







No. 9 Baylor, although not playing on campus in Waco for the first time this season, still enjoys the homecourt advantage against Gonzaga as today's game is being played in Dallas.


This is a step-up game for the 7-0 Bears, who have won their games so far by an average of 24.8 points against a cupcake schedule littered with the likes of Bethune-Cookman and Prairie View A&M. Their toughest foe, and only victim from among the so-called six "power" conferlnces was Arizona State and the Sun Devils are just mediocre at best. However, the Bears are a talented group with size and guard LaceDarius Dunn, who has scored 20+ points in four straight games after returning from a season-opening four-game suspension.



Gonzaga carries a 5-5 record into the contest as a brutal non-conference schedule that includes losses to four nationally-ranked teams: San Diego State (76-79), Kansas State (64-81), Illinois (61-73) and Notre Dame (79-83). This is the Bulldogs' third road game in a four-game stretch over an 11-day period. They lost the previous two at Washington State (59-81) and in South Bend.



Baylor is rested; Wednesday's 83-39 rout of Bethune-Cookman was its first game in 13 days. The Bears lead the country in scoring defense (51.9 ppg) and are tied for third in rebounding differential, pulling down 13.3 more boards a game than their foes. They're also tied for fourth in field goal defense, limiting opponents to 35.5% shooting.








Great situational play on Orlando tonight as the Magic return home after a dismal 1-3 road trip which included losses at Portland, Utah and Denver. Worse yet, they allowed 97, 117 and 111 points in those games prompting Stan Van Gundy to dedicate nearly all of Thursday's 2 1/2-hour practice on defense, which the coach deemed a success.



Orlando had won six straight and 10 of 11 prior to its current 1-5 tailspin and with a brutal stretch of games at Atlanta and then home versus Dallas, San Antonio and a Christmas day clash with Boston, this is a must-win situation tonight.



The 76ers had been on runs of 7-2 SU and 12-1 ATS before last night's 93-81 loss to the visiting Lakers. Philly could not control LA's big men as Pau Gasol had 19 points and 13 rebounds while Lamar Odom poured in 28 points. The Lakers' size advanatage resulted in 28 trips to the line versus just 14 for Philly and tonight the Sixers, playing their fourth game in five nights, must contend with not only Dwight Howard but new starting power forward Brandon Bass (13.7 points, 7.3 rebounds last three games) and back-up center/forward Marcin Gortat, whose minutes have increased of late.



Orlando's backcourt woes have GM Otis Smith reportedly considering acquiring Gilbert Arenas, but for tonight the Magic have the edge at the point with Jameer Nelson against Jrue Holiday, who is coming off a 3-for-15 shooting performance versus the Lakers.






Time for the Knicks, following consecutive homes losses to the Celtics and Heat that ended their eight-game winning streak, to rebound with a road win against the Cavaliers, snapping an eight-game losing streak against Cleveland, a streak compiled when LeBron was averaging 33 ppg.



Speaking of James, he torched New York last night at the Garden with a triple-double (32 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) as his new team, Miami, rolled 113-91. The contest marked the end of Amare Stoudemire's streak of nine straight games with 30+ points and came just two nights after the Knicks almost upset Boston at home.



Tonight the Knicks carry an eight-game road winning streak into Cleveland against the Cavaliers, who have lost 10 in a row by an averrge of 17.5 points. They've shot just 40.1% during the skid and are coming off a 108-99 loss at Indiana last night, their 14th overall in the past 16 games.



New York was held to 34 points in the second half by the Heat last night. Don't expect a repeat performance against the Cavs as the Knicks average 108.1 points on the season.



Cleveland couldn't handle the Pacers' Danny Granger last night (30 points, 12 rebounds); the Cavs can't contend with Stoudemire, Wilson Chandler (19.5 ppg since joining the starting lineup), Raymond Felton (18.3 ppg or the Knicks' depth tonight. And two of their top defenders, Joey Graham and Leon Powe, missed Friday's loss at Indiana and will most likely remain sidelined today.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

CRAIG DAVIS
Saturday's Plays...

40 Dime Play on the TROY TROJANS minus the points over Ohio. Troy is laying -2 or -2 1/2 points depending on your book. I want you to buy the 1/2 point down on this line if it goes up to -3 or -3 1/2.



15 Dime Play on FLORIDA STATE minus the points over Loyola Marymount. Florida State is laying -6 1/2 points in most books offshore and in Vegas.



10 Dime Play on OHIO STATE minus the points over South Carolina. Ohio State is laying -17 or -17 1/2 points depending on your book.



TROY TROJANS (be sure to buy the 1/2 point) --- Saturday's rather boring slate of football bowl games concludes this evening with the best value on the board... the Troy Trojans. Before I look at any numbers or records or common opponents, I want to point you to one thing. When I doubt, side with the best QB on the field. If it's close, either leave the game alone or play small on the slightly better QB (unless you have other HUGE determining factors leading you in one direction). Tonight we have a clear cut winner, and that's Troy QB Corey Robinson, and he alone will carry this team to a victory greater than three points.

Troy has a very good but little-known QB... a talent that Ohio University's defense hasn't seen yet. Not only that, but his receivers are more-talented and bigger than Ohio's defensive backfield and this mismatch simply can't be overlooked. Sure, Ohio's defense has been good all season if you look at their overall numbers, especially against ground games, but when you get to these bowl games you have to look at the talent on the field and now so much what they've done in the past vs. teams in their own conference. The MAC doesn't have a QB as talented as Robinson, in my opinion, and I just don't believe the Bobcats corners or safeties are athletic enough to keep up with Troy's wideouts. Advantage Troy. Big!!

This matchup definitely gives us a contrast in styles... as Troy wants to get up and down the field, eventually wearing out a defense and outscoring them in a high-scoring game. Ohio is a little more traditional, playing rather solid defense and pounding the ball on the ground. But let's not forget that the Trojans can run the ball too. Just because their passing game gets all the accolades doesn't mean they can't run the ball when they need to. For the season, Troy averaged over 150 rushing yards per game, with most of the damage coming from Shaun Southward. Don't sleep on Troy's ability to run the ball just because Corey Robinson gets all the praise... trust me, Troy will run the ball tonight too.

Troy enters tonight's game having beaten Florida International and Western Kentucky in their final two games, covering both and also playing their best defense in those two games. Ohio, on the other hand, suffered a humiliating 28-6 to lowly Kent State as 5-point favorites. They looked as bad as I remember them. There was a clear disconnect between QB Boo Jackson and the rest of his team, and that's one of the things I noticed and one of the reasons I liked Troy in this game when it was first released. Jackson finished the season with more INTs than TDs, but he's the only chance they have to win. If he doesn't play, Ohio will get destroyed tonight. I handicapped this game as if he were playing, which is why it's only a 40-dimer. If he doesn't play they are truly doomed because I just don't see how they'll score many points.

The Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 upon allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games following a SU win and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS win. Although they aren't playing a true home game, they are playing a lot closer to home than Ohio and both of these teams play a lot better at home. I'll give the edge here to Troy and subsequently the win and cover.

FLORIDA STATE --- Prove it to me first. I need to see if Loyola Marymount is really as good as their record or just a product of their rather easy schedule. The toughest team the Lions have played thus far is probably Cal-Santa Barbara and, of course, they lost by 10. In fact, all of their "borderline" tough games resulted in losses and I still don't believe in them. They are definitely stepping up in competition tonight and I just don't think they can keep up with Florida State's length and athleticism.

Chris Singleton will be an absolute matchup nightmare for every player on the floor in a Lions jersey and I wouldn't be surprised if he's on his way to a double-double by halftime. Loyola has no one on its roster that can stop him one-on-one, and when they start to double down he is more than capable of finding the open shooter for the perimeter jumper. And considering the Seminoles shoot better than 40% from three-point land on the road, that's going to spell trouble for the Lions at home. FSU not only scores more, they play very good team defense with their athletic front court.

FSU didn't beat Ohio State, but they sent a message by playing a very physical game and allowing the #2 team in the country to score just 58 points. If OSU can only score 58, how can Loyola be expected to top that? The 'Noles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road favorite of between 1 and 7 points and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as a road favorite in general. The buck stops here as FSU is just too strong for Loyola.

OHIO STATE --- How many times have I given you the Buckeyes already this year and won? How about +3 at Florida (93-75 win)? What about the following game... as 29-point favorites over UNC AT&T (a 40-point win)? Or against Florida State as 4 1/2-point favorites (a 14-point win)? I was on all three and so were my clients. I know this team folks... I know them very well. Yes, I know I'm asking you to lay a lot of points here in a strange spot, but the Buckeyes have stepped up in both of their "big" games so far this year and won both games by double digits. And unless I've completely underestimated the Gamecocks (which I don't think I have), they aren't in the same class as Florida or Florida State.

Yes, I know South Carolina is 7-1 on the season and its only loss came at Michigan State by nine points, but have you seen some of their wins??? USC-Upstate, Wofford, Radford, Elon, Deleware State... the list goes on. They haven't played anyone EXCEPT Michigan State, and in that game they lost. Isn't it ironic that MSU was giving 17 points in that game as well and although they won South Carolina easily covered, yet Vegas comes right back with that number against another Big Ten team? They are BEGGING for South Carolina money people, and I'm not going to be fooled.

Jared Sullinger, the freshman phenom, is averaging 17 points and 9 rebounds per game this season and I don't think we've seen anything close to his best yet. This team is balanced, high-powered on offense and very suffocating on defense. Not only are they completely outscoring everyone, they're outrebounding them and not turning the ball over. Unless they completely collapse today, I see them winning this thing easily by 20 or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

JOEL TYSON Saturday's Selections
"Iron" Joel Tyson for Saturday,



30 Dime Stone Cold Lock is an Absolute Blowout winner on Ohio State to step it against South Carolina.



I also have a 10 Dime Opening Bowl Lock on Fresno State right around a 1-point dog versus Northern Illinois in the Humanitarian Bowl.



Nice early returns for the Gamecocks who are off to a 7-1 start. Their lone loss came against Michigan State of the Big 10, and the Cocks did manage to cover in that game, losing by 11 as the 17 point underdog.



Here we have a similar line against another Big 10 foe, but I will tell you flat out that Ohio State presents a different set of challenges for the very young visitors from Columbia.



Ohio State has the emerging freshman Jared Sullinger to keep the Gamecocks front line busy, and at 9-0 the Buckeyes sure look like the "real deal" to me.



Today I think they make a statement against South Carolina who will be playing their first road game of the month.



Lay it with the Buckeyes.



Northern Illinois loses the MAC Championship Game outright as an 18 point favorite, their coach Jerry Kill leaves with both of his coordinators for the University of Minnesota, and the Huskies are still a slight favorite in this bowl game?



OK, I will bite. Give me Fresno State in this one, as the Bulldogs may have 4 losses, but they have played the stronger competition, and 3 of the schools they lost to are playing in bowl games this holiday season.



Fresno State was blanked 51-0 on this field about a month ago, but that was against Boise State. They are not playing Boise State in this one, and they are quite familiar with the blue turf in Idaho, as Coach Pat Hill has already won his 2 previous tries in this bowl game the last 2 times the Bulldogs have traveled to Boise, Idaho.



Northern Illinois has been run over the last 2 years in their bowl games, and are 0-3 the last 4 years when appearing in a bowl, getting outscored 81-20.



10 dime bonus baby on Fresno State.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-10

DEREK MANCINI

Today's Winner... 50 Dime play on Northern Illinois over Fresno State. The Huskies are curraently 1 1/2 point favorites in tonight's Humanitrrian Bowl from Boise, Idaho.