12-31-10

[Mr. IWS]

LEM BANKER

College Hoops
Florida pK...BIG

College football
Clemson -6...small
Central Florida +6.5...small
South carolina -3...Big

OVER NOTRE DAME GAME 47

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS

Rose Bowl

Big Ticket Wisconsin

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

10 Georgia -6.5
5 Miami Fl -2.5
Hoops
5 Gonz-5
4 Nev-4
3 Cinncy-7

Saturday
6 TCU-3
6 Ala-9.5
4 Miss St-4.5
Hoops
4 Depaul
3 Marq

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco

15 Dime Georgia

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 UNIT* NCAAFB* Connecticut Huskies, +17
4 UNIT* NCAAFB* Michigan State Spartans, +10
4 UNIT* NCAAFB* Mississippi State Bulldogs, -4.5
4 UNIT* NCAAFB* Northwestern Wildcats, +9.5
4 UNIT* NCAAFB* Texas Christian University Horned Frogs (TCU), -3
4 UNIT* NCAAFB* University Central Florida Knights (UCF), Over 53.5

[Mr. IWS]

Hammer the Book
Full card

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
3-UNITS: ROTATION 237/238: SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS +6
4-UNITS: ROTATION 239/240: MIAMI HURRICANES -2 1/2
5-UNITS: ROTATION 241/242: GEORGIA BULLDOGS -6 @ CARIB)
4-UNITS: ROTATION 243/244: SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS -3

NBA PLAYS
3-UNITS: ROTATION 803/804: INDIANA PACERS -6
4-UNITS: ROTATION 811/812: OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -5

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
4-UNITS: ROTATION 821/822: KENT STATE -4 1/2 @
3-UNITS: ROTATION 823/824: MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS -7
4-UNITS: ROTATION 827/828: XAVIER MUSKATEERS pk
4-UNITS: ROTATION 841/842: CINCINNATI BEARCATS -7 1/2
5-UNITS: ROTATION 853/854: GEORGIA BULLDOGS -16

NHL PLAYS
3-UNITS: ROTATION 003/004: ATLANTA THRASHERS ML +115
5-UNITS: ROTATION 007/008: COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS ML -120

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton New Year's Eve Day Action







100 Dime college football selection on GEORGIA minus the points vs. Central Florida in the Liberty Bowl. The Bulldogs are laying between 6½ and 7 points deaending on where you look. Clearly there’s a BIG difference beteween those numbers, so make sure you shop around and get the best price. If you absolutely cannot get Georgia at -6½ and have to settle for -7, I want you to buy the half point and get off the key number of a toudhdown. It’s smart insurance to buy to protect this big investment.




Fact: Central Florida was easily the class of Conference USA this season, as evidenced by the fact the Golden Knights went 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS against league foes, winning the title with a dominating 17-7 win over SMU back on Dec. 4. That was part of UCF’s overall 10-3 SU and ATS record (tied for the third-best pointspread mark in major college football), including 5-1 SU and ATS away from home.





Fact: Georgia had an extremely disappointing 6-6 season and needed a 42-34 win over instate rival Georgia Tech in the regular-season finale to even get into this bowl game and avoid its first losing campaign since 1996.





So given those facts, how can I justify backing the Bulldogs with my second-ever 100 Dime college football play? Here’s the easy answer: Georgia competes in the toughest league in the nation (SEC). Central Florida is from Conference USA.





To expand on that, Georgia faced a gauntlet of a schadule that included South Carolina and Auburn on the road (the two teams that played for the SEC title); Florida at a neutral site (Georgia lost that game 34-31 in overtime); Arkansas, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Kentucky and Georgia Tech (each of those teams went bowling this year); and a road game at Colorado (the Buffs stunk this year, but going to Boulder is no easy task). And keep in mind that the Bulldogs were put behind the 8-ball at the start of the season when their best player (WR A.J. Green) was suspeended by the NCAA for four games for a silly violation.





While Georgia was matched up against eight bowl teams (all from the rugged SEC), Central Florida faced five such opponents. Results? Two home wins over SMU (17-7 in the C-USA title game) and East Carolina (49-35) and three losses to North Carolina State, Kansas State and Southern Miss.





So who – other than SMU and East Carolina – did the Golden Knights defeat, exactly? Here’s the list: Memphis, Tulane, Houston (which was down to its third-string quarterback), Rice, Marshall, UAB, Buffalo and South Dakota.





See where I’m going here? Put it this way: Central Florida was favored in all but one of its 13 games this seasdn (the Knights were a 6-point ‘dog at Kansas State). Today, on a neutral field, they’re a touchdown underdog to an opponent that went 6-6. I think that says it all.





As for the motivational edge, I don’t see one. Obviously, Central Florida loves the fact it gets to test itself against an SEC opponent and will come out swinging (what do the Knights have to lose?). But Georgia will also be fired up for one simple reason: The players on this team don’t want to go down as the first Bulldogs squad in 14 years to finish a season under .500 (this proved to be a motivational rallying point down the stretch as Georgia following up that 1-4 start with a 5-2 finish).





There’s also a ton of heat on coach Mark Richt, whose job status is on shaky ground. A loss to a Conference USA opponent might lead to a pink slip, which is another reason the players will show up and play with effort, even if they are a big, bad SEC team facing an opponent from lowly Conference USA.





Remember, the last time the Bulldogs played a bowl game against a team from a lesser conference, they faced Colt Brennan and undefeated Hawaii in the 2007 Sugar Bowl. What happened? Georgia rolled to a 41-10 victory as an eight-point favorite.





That’s part of Georgia’s four-game SU and ATS bowl winning streak (average margin of victory of 18.5 ppg). Going back further, the Bulldogs are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last eight postseason games, including 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS as a bowl favorite.





Central Florida? It is still looking for its first-ever bowl win, going 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in three previous postseason appearances, including last year’s embarrassing 45-24 loss to Rutgers as a 2½-point underdog in the St. Petersburg Bowl (played in UCF’s backyard). Well, the Golden Knights will have to wait another year to finally get that historic win, because it’s not coming today, not against an opponent that is simply bigger, faster, stronger and more athletic.





Georgia posts its fourth straight double-digit bowl win (and fifth in a row overall) with a 31-13 rout.

[Mr. IWS]

Rocky Sheridan

College Football
5* Georgia -6.5
5* South Carolina -3

College Baskets
5* Northwestern +11

[Mr. IWS]

CAROLINA SPORTS

BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
6* Notre Dame Fighting Irish

[Mr. IWS]

NORTHCOAST

BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
5* Georgia Bulldogs

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso


ncaa:

notre dame x25
s. Carolina x25
s. Florida x3
c. Florida x3

ncaa (bb):

cincinnati x50

nba:

houston x50

[Mr. IWS]

EXECUTIVE

400% Miami Fla. -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker

Big S.FL.+6
small N.D.

[Mr. IWS]

Nick Parsons

NHL
Nyi/det under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole

243 Florida St. / 244 South Carolina Over 54.5 BetUS
Analysis:
7:30pm ET / CHICK-FIL-A Bowl / FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES vs SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

OU line opened 54 points for the Chick-Fil-A Bowl . At last look, it was starting to creep upward. So get your play in ASAP. The fast track at the Georgia Dome is IDEAL for our high-scoring outcome between two very good passing offenses.... and two teams that avrage more than 32 ppg each.

FLORIDA STATE Bowl Games have been VERY high-scoring as of late. The Seminoles have gone 5-1 O/U in their last 6 Bowl Games. Average points scored by the Fla St offense is 33.4 ppg. Historically, whenever the Seminoles are catching points... the OVER has come in at a high percentage. Florida State is 17-5-1 O/U in their we roles as an underdog. Also 5-1 O/U after allowing 40+ pts in a game... 5-1 O/U after passing for 280 yards... and 8-2 O/U on neutral sites. The Seminole went down swinging in the ACC Championship game, losing 44-33 to Virginia Tech (OVER by 26 points!).
SOUTH CAROLINA is ALSO on a high-scoring uptick as of late in their post-season games. The Gamecocks are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 Bowl games... Also 6-2 O/U in their last 8 roles as a favorite... 9-3 O/U after allowing 450+ total yards in their last game... and 8-2 O/U off a SU loss of 20 > points. They're playing off a BIG 56-17 loss in the SEC Championship game against Auburn. The OVER cashed by 12 points in that game.

Carolina comes into the game with a trio of offensive studs. Quarterback Stephen Garcia has had his ups and downs, but remains one of the better passers in a tough SEC. His favorite target, Alshon Jeffery, is one of the most dangerous receivers in college football. And freshman tailback Marcus Lattimore could be the best rookie runner in the country. It’s very likely that SC will find some success through the air. The Seminoles ranked 63rd against the pass this year, and Garcia has the weapons to go down field. The 'Cocks averaged 240 passing YPG on the year, and their 8.8 yards-per-pass was #3 in the SEC this year.

On the flip side, South Carolina’s primary weakness is pass defense. The Cocks allowed 254 passing YPG on the year, which was #107 in the entire country (out of 119 teams!). The question is, will Florida State be able to take advantage? Christian Ponder is the type of passer who can hurt a defense in multiple ways. His TD to INT ratio was 20 to 8 on the year. He didn't play much in the last 4 games (including the ACC Championship). Ponder is now BACK from surgery and has been whistling the ball in practice. The fifth-year senior will face a South Carolina defense that has been VERY prone to strafing. The Gamecocks were last in the SEC in passing yards allowed.