3-2-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[golden contender]

GC NBA TOTALS SYSTEM PLAY

Wednesday Highest Rated Big Sky Power System Conference Play of the season + 32-4, 32-1 Power Angle Plays. NBA Highest rated second half totals play averages 213 ppg and has 100% tier one Totals system. NCAAB Cashes with Ok. St last night while NBA Hits 2 of 3 moving to 18 games over .500 for the season. Free NBA System Play below.

On Wednesday the Free NBA Play is to play the Over in the Portland at Sacramento game. Rotation numbers 717.718 at 10:00 eastern. This game fits a tight totals system here tonight. What we want to do is play the over when we have a road favorite of -4 or less with no rest that scored 90 or less as a home favorite of -5 or more last night that is taking an opponent that scored 90 or more at home in their last game. This system has cashed 7 of the last 8 times. The Blazers are off a bad 103-87 loss at home to Houston last night while the Kings defeated the Clippers on Monday. All teams that travel into Sacramento with no rest and scored 90 or less the night before have played over 88% of the time provided the Kings scored 90 or more at home last out. Finally the Blazers have played over 7 of 9 times on the road after scoring 90 or less. Look for this to go over the total. On Wednesday We have 3 NCAAB Power Plays including the Highest rated BIG Sky conference Power system side + 23-1,and 32-4 angle plays. Last night OK.St cashed Big for us. NBA Has a 100% highest Rated 2nd Half totals system play that beats the line by over 12 points. NBA Hit 2 of 3 on Tuesday and is a 18 games over .500 on the year. Jump on these Big Plays tonight. For the Free Play take the over in the Portland at Sacramento game. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* Auburn +6.5
4* NJ Devils

[Mr. IWS]

David Malinsky

4* GEORGIA / LSU OVER 126

The markets are using some stale numbers in their setting of L.S.U. Totals these days. When Ralston Turner and Storm Warren were injured, Trent Johnson was not only forced to slow the pace for his Tigers to be able to hang around, but it also meant a low level of offensive efficiency as well. But after working his way back into playing rhythm Turner has averaged 15.2 ppg over the last six outings, and Warren showed that he is back to full health after sitting out two games, and being limited in several others, by scoring 24 points vs. Vanderbilt on Saturday. The last two games were the only SEC outings all season in which Turner and Warren each played more than 30 minutes, and they sailed over the Total by a combined 60.5 points. That makes it five straight Over’s for the Tigers, and that does not change at tonight’s short offering.

While the L.S.U. offense has indeed perked up with their key scorers healthy, the defense remains hapless, dead last by a wide margin if we focus only on SEC games. In those last two they allowed 86.0 ppg on 55.1 percent shooting, and now they run into a team that can score both inside and out, with four players averaging in double figures in SEC action - Trey Tompkins (15.4 ppg), Travis Leslie (14.9), Gerald Robinson (12.4) and Jeremy price (10.1). Yet we get a break from the price point because of Georgia’s easy 64-48 win over South Carolina on Saturday, a game in which all of the air went out of the tempo by halftime, when the Bulldogs led 39-22. The second half was played at a snail’s pace, and much of it was “fingernails on chalkboad”, as the reserves from the two teams combined to shoot a hideous 4-30 from the field, including 0-9 from 3-point range. That created a misleading scoreboard that only helps to fuel the value that we have for this setting, as Georgia brings much more energy in the LHG, once that firmly seals a spot for the Bulldogs in the Big Dance.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

200♦ Triple Team
200♦ North Carolina -2
200♦ No. Colorado -15

200♦ NBA NY Knicks -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

NBA GAME OF THE YEAR
8 UNIT Timberwolves/Pistons over 203.5

REGULAR NBA
4 UNIT* NY Knicks
4 UNIT* LA Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

5* GOTM UNC -2 over FSU

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

REGULAR CBB
4 UNIT* North Carolina -2
4 UNIT* Minnesota /Northwestern OVER 135.5
4 UNIT* Mississippi State +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE LINEBACK

4.5* NBA* Golden State/Washington OVER

[Mr. IWS]

The Unfair Advantage

100 Dime 4.5 Point Tease (-120) Boston Celtics to -2.5 & OKC Thunder to -3.5
40 Dime Play San Antonio Spurs -9

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

10* Boston

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 10 ncar 5 north colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Wednesday's Action

30 Dime college basketball selecaion on New Mexico plus the points at BYU. As of 12:45 p.m. Eastern time, the Lobos are a conseensus 11-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore. However, there is one outlet in Vegas that has the pointspread that was as high as 12½ earlier this morning, so make sure you shop around and get the best of the number.

ANALYSIS

There’s no question this has been a disappointing season for New Mexico, which is just 18-11 overall and 6-8 in the Mountain West Conference, just one year removed from a 30-win season and a Mountain West regular-season championship that earned the school a No. 3 seed in the Big Dance.





However, New Mexico’s fifth-place standing in the Mountain West is very deceaving if you review the Lobos’ schedule. To wit, here’s a look at the team’s eight conference defeats: there’s a pair of 10-point losses to San Diego State (at home) and Utah (on the road), plus a one-point loss at Wyoming, a one-point loss at UNLV, a six-point loss at Colorado State, a six-point loss at San Diego State, a two-point, buzzer-beating home loss to Utah and a three-point overtime home loss to UNLV.





That’s right: The Lobos haven’t lost a Mountain West game by more than 10 points all year, and if you take away the two 10-point losses to San Diego State and Utah, New Mexico’s other six league losses were by a total of 19 points. Throw in a three-point overtime loss at Dayton and a six-point loss at Northern Iowa back in non-confereence play, and 10 of New Mexico’s 11 losses this season have been by 10 points or less (the only team to blow out the Lobos was Cal, which rolled 89-64 at home back on Nov. 20, the third game of the season).





And yet here are the Lobos catching 11 to 12 points tonight against BYU, a team that A) has just two losses this season, but one of them was to New Mexico (86-77 in Albuquerque); B) is in a major flat spot, coming off Saturday’s 80-67 win at San Diego State (the last time they beat San Diego State – also by 13 points – they followed it up with the nine-point loss at New Mexico) and C) is 24 hours removed from the crushing news that starting forward Brandon Davies (11.1 points, team-high 6.2 rebounds per game) has been suspended for the rest of the season for violating the school’s Honor Code.





Now, I know what you’re thinking: “Hey Jeff, two words for you: Jimmer Fredette.” True, Fredette is a freaking stud. However, if you watched BYU’s senshtional win over San Diego State on Saturday, you know the Cougars are much more than just Jimmer. And the loss of Davies is a major, major blow. Besides, as great as Jimmer is, BYU has lost three straight and four of five to New Mexico (both SU and ATS).





So to recap:





BYU is coming off its biggest win of the season (and the last time that was the case, the Cougars lost by nine points at New Mexico; also, the Cougars are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games following a spread-cover).





BYU has lost three in a row and four of five to New Mexico.





BYU just lost its third-leading scorer and leading rebounder to a season-ending suspension.





New Mexico has played 26 games without losing by more than 10 points.





And New Mexico is, at minimum, an 11-point underdog in this game (and the Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last four when catching between 7 and 12½ points).





One final point: The Lobos are tied with Utah for fifth place in the Mountain West standings, and because Utah beat New Mexico twice, the Lobos have to win their final two games and hope Utah loses once to get the No. 5 seed in the upcoming conference tournament and avoid UNLV (which hosts the tournament on its home floor) in the first round. In other words, this is a HUGE game for New Mexico.





Will the Lobos win it? I’m not willing to make that prediction (after all, BYU is 15-0 at home). But New Mexico has proven to be a very tough matchup for the Cougars, and I don’t see why that won’t be the case today (especially since BYU will be without one of its starters). Grab the points and watch the Lobos stay within this inflated pointspread wire to wire!

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

15* PLAYMAKER LIVE ON ESPN
Florida State +2

[Mr. IWS]

5* OVER West Virginia
4* CBB Utah State

5* Utah State OVER


4* Eastern Kentucky


3* NBA OKC Thunder

5* free play NHL Anaheim Ducks