3-10-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

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Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Hammer The Book

NBA PLAYS

ROTATION 701/702: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (8:05 PM) LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ MIAMI HEAT (LAKERS -2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:50 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

ROTATION 703/704: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (8:35 PM) NEW YORK KNICKS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS (OVER-214 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:52 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

MARCH MADNESS

ROTATION 707/708: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (12:00 PM) UCONN HUSKIES vs PITTSBURGH PANTHERS in the BIG EAST CONFERENCE Quarter-Finals @ Madison Square Garden, New York, NY (PITT +3 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:54 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

ROTATION 717/718: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (2:25 PM) WAKE FORREST DEMON DEACONS vs BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES in the ACC CONFERENCE 1st Round @ The Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC. (BC -13 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:56 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

ROTATION 741/742: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (3:30 PM) SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS vs OLE MISS REBELS in the SEC CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT 1st Round @ The Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA. (COCKS +4 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:57 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

NHL PLAYS

ROTATION 003/004: 3.5-UNIT TWITTER: (7:05 PM) BUFFALO SABRES @ BOSTON BRUINS (BRUINS ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 7:59 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

ROTATION 007/008: 4-UNIT REGULAR: (8:05 PM) MONTREAL CANADIENS @ ST. LOUIS BLUES (BLUES ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 8:01 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

ROTATION 009/010: 5-UNIT BOMB: (8:05 PM) MINNESOTA WILD @ NASHVILLE PREDATORS (PREDS ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 8:02 AM (ET) 3/10/11)

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 400* Auburn +11.5.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
100 DIME
MAC Game of the Year
Kent St

[Mr. IWS]

Joel Tyson
30 DIME
Raise the Bar
Winner # 5 in a Row
Ole Miss

Va Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
30 DIME
College Basketball Winner #3 in a Row
Penn St

Maryland/ NC State OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Brett Atkins
40 DIME BIG TEN TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR
Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd
50 DIME TRIFECTA
Arkansas
Ball State
Virginia

30 DIME COLLEGE
Auburn
Miami OH

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Thursday's Action
15 Dime college basketball seleation on Boston College laying the points vs. Wake Forest in the opening round of the ACC tourenament. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, the Eagles are a 13-point favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.





15 Dime college basketball selection on the OVER in a quarterfinal Pac-10 matchup between USC and California. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, this total is sithing at 133 across the board.





15 Dime college basketball selection on New Mexico laying the points vs. Colorado State in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West tournament. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, New Mexico is ranging from a 2½- to 3-point favorite.

ANALYSIS

Wake Forest went 1-15 in the ACC this year, and in those 16 games, the Demon Deacons were compeaitive exactly twice: a five-point home win over Virginia and a one-point home loss to Miami, Fla. Other than that, Wake Forest lost 13 league games by an average of 23 ppg, with all 13 losses by 14 points or more. Included was Sunday’s 84-68 loss at Boston College, and even if you give Wake Forest credit for a spread-cover in that defeat – the line was anywhere between 15½ and 16½ – the Demon Deacons were still just 5-10-1 ATS in ACC games, never once cashing in back-to-back contests.





While Wake Forest enters the ACC tournament on a 10-game losing skid (and 2-19 since mid-December), Boston College has posted three straight convincing wins over the Demon Deacons, Virginia Tech (76-61 on the road) and Virginia (63-44 on the road). And you know the first rule of thumb come tournament time: Ride the teams that are playing well, fade the teams that are playing poorly. Here, we get the perfect storm of such teams facing each other. Not only that, but Boston College knows it needs a win (if not two) to punch its Big Dance ticket. At the same time, it’s not a stretch to predict that the Demon Deacons just want their season to end.





Finally, even if you count Sunday’s game against Wake Forest as a non-cover for Boston College, the Eagles are still 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, and the favoerite is still 7-1 ATS in this rivalry since B.C. joined the Big East in 2005-06. Eagles soar to an easy victory.

ANALYSIS

Final scores of the two meetings this season between Cal and USC: 68-66 and 78-75. Both games went over the posted total, part of a 10-1-1 OVER run in this rivalry. That includes two meetings in the conference tournament that not only cleared the posted total, but look at the final scores: 79-75 and 82-67.





Cal comes into this game having averaged nearly 81 ppg over its last eight games, with the Bears topping 70 points in each of those contests, with the “over” cashing seven times. And that’s part of a 19-6-1 “over” stretch for Cal. USC, meanwhile, has also shown some offensive spark lately, averaging 68.8 ppg over its last six contests. And even though the Trojans play outstanding defense, they’ve been lit up pretty good this year by the Pac-10’s three most explosive ofhensive squads.





The over is 9-1-1 in USC’s last 11 games vs. teams with a winning record, while the Bears – in addition to the aforementioned 19-6-1 “over” streak – are on high-scoring runs of 52-20-2 in Pac-10 play, 64-27-1 following a victory, 10-1-1 versus winning teams and 9-1-1 when taking the court as an underdog of less than seven points.

ANALYSIS

Here’s how New Mexico’s last 11 games unfolded: Seven victories (including two over BYU) and four losses by 6, 6, 2 and 3 points (the latter in overtime). In fact, of the Lobos’ last 10 defeats, eight were by six points or fewer, and those eight losses were by a cumulative 25 points. In other words, the Lobos are in almost every game they play, and they carry a three-game winning streak into this contest (including the 82-64 win at BYU two weeks ago.





Meanwhile, Colorado State closed the regular season by losing four of its last five games, including double-digit losses at Air Force (74-57) and San Diego State (66-48). The Rams had just two victories against conference teams that finished in the top six in the standings: 78-63 at UNLV and 68-62 over New Mexico at home. But both teams avenged those losses to Colorado State (UNLV won 68-61 in Fort Collins; New Mexico won by the same score in Albuquerque). Other than that, Rams’ only other Mountain West wins came against Air Force (the teams split their season series), Utah, TCU and Wyoming.





New Mexico is playing much better basketball right now, and prior to their six-point loss in Colorado on Feb. 12, the Lobos had won eight in a row in this rivalry.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS=UCSB & CS-Full,

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
1 OF 11
Game: Oklahoma State at Kansas (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oklahoma State +15 (-110)

The Oklahoma State Cowboys picked up a big win yesterday as they squeaked past Nebraska by a single point to get their 19th win. They need at least a good effort here vs. Kansas, and perhaps a win to get into the NCAA Tournament. You can be sure they lay it all on the line in this one and with a sizeable number to take down, they are certainly the valued side here. The Kansas Jayhawks are young and surprised at 29-2 and have all but locked up a No. 1 seed win or lose here.
I'll play on Oklahoma State and the bushel of points in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Real animal

5* west mich
3* pitt

[golden contender]

GC BIG 10 Angle Play

Thursday 5* Conf. Tourney Early Evening Blowout System + Triple System ACC Side and 40-5 Double System NBA Total lead the way. Free BIG 10 Tournament play below.

On Thursday the Free Big 10 Conference Tournament Play is on Pemm.St. Game 760 at 7:30 eastern. The Nittany Lions have won 4 of the past 5 in the series and have won all 3 times this season against losing teams. They are one of the few teams to play under 5 games on their schedule vs losing teams. Tonight they take on an Indiana team that is a horrendous 1-9 straight up and against the spread in all tournaments the past 3 seasons. They are also 0-5 with home loss revenge, 3-10 vs teams who allow 65 or less points per game and 1-8 with just 2 spread wins off 3 or more losses. Look for Penn. St to win and cover in this first round Big 10 Match up. On Thursday the day leads off a with a 5* Conf. Blowout System in Early Evening Action and then continues with a Conference Tourney Triple system side and a 40-5 Double System NBA Totals play. For the free Play take Penn. St. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Cal Sports

4* New Mexico
4* Kent St
4* Vandy
3* Wake Forest
3* Cal riverside

[Mr. IWS]

Helmut

708 Pittsburgh UNDER 131.5
748 UAB UNDER 125
764 Arizona UNDER 142
782 Long Beach State OVER 151
790 Mississippi Valley State UNDER 133.5