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Jeff Benton Sunday's Action
30 Dime college basketball seleation on Michigan plus the points against Duke as these non-conferecnce rivals meet in a third-round of the West Regional. At the time I release this play, the Wolverines are ranging from an 11½- to 12-point undhrdog.
ANALYSIS
How can I go against Duke after backing the Blue Devils on Friday and cashing a 30 Dime play? Simple answer: Because all Michigan does is cover pointspraads. With Friday’s 75-45 blowout of Tennessee (as a one-point underdog), the Wolverines are now 8-0 ATS in their last eight games and 13-1 ATS in their last 14, going 10-0 ATS as an underdog during this incredible run. This includes spread-covers over Michigan State (twice), Ohio State (twice), Illinois (twice) and Wisconsin, and the latter three teams all won first-round Tournament games. Not only have the Wolverines been cashing tickets like nobody else in the country lately, but they’re also 10-4 SU over these 14 games.
The key to Michigan’s success? Defense. The Wolves have given up 63 points or less in nine of the last 14 contests, yielding an average of 61.6 ppg over this span. True, Duke is also playing tremendocus D (60 ppg allowed in its last 10 games, going 8-2 over this span), but that just means this is likely to be a tight, low-scoring defensive contests … making the double digit points we’re getting all the more enticing.
Michigan’s resume since Jan. 9 includes three very competitive losses against Ohio State (68-64 at home, 62-53 on the road and 68-61 in the Big Ten tournament), an overtime loss to Kansas (67-60) and a one-point loss to Wisconsin (53-52). The Wolverines covered in each of those games, and they’ve lost by double digits just twice over this 19-game stretch, going 15-4 ATS.
Throw in the fact that Michigan has cashed in 23 of its last 29 games as a pup (including, as mentihned, the last 10 in a row) and five of six at neutral sites, and I’ll gladly take the double digits with a Michigan team that upset Duke the last time these teams met in 2008 (winning 87-73 as a 9½-point pup in 2008).
30 Dime college basketball seleation on Michigan plus the points against Duke as these non-conferecnce rivals meet in a third-round of the West Regional. At the time I release this play, the Wolverines are ranging from an 11½- to 12-point undhrdog.
ANALYSIS
How can I go against Duke after backing the Blue Devils on Friday and cashing a 30 Dime play? Simple answer: Because all Michigan does is cover pointspraads. With Friday’s 75-45 blowout of Tennessee (as a one-point underdog), the Wolverines are now 8-0 ATS in their last eight games and 13-1 ATS in their last 14, going 10-0 ATS as an underdog during this incredible run. This includes spread-covers over Michigan State (twice), Ohio State (twice), Illinois (twice) and Wisconsin, and the latter three teams all won first-round Tournament games. Not only have the Wolverines been cashing tickets like nobody else in the country lately, but they’re also 10-4 SU over these 14 games.
The key to Michigan’s success? Defense. The Wolves have given up 63 points or less in nine of the last 14 contests, yielding an average of 61.6 ppg over this span. True, Duke is also playing tremendocus D (60 ppg allowed in its last 10 games, going 8-2 over this span), but that just means this is likely to be a tight, low-scoring defensive contests … making the double digit points we’re getting all the more enticing.
Michigan’s resume since Jan. 9 includes three very competitive losses against Ohio State (68-64 at home, 62-53 on the road and 68-61 in the Big Ten tournament), an overtime loss to Kansas (67-60) and a one-point loss to Wisconsin (53-52). The Wolverines covered in each of those games, and they’ve lost by double digits just twice over this 19-game stretch, going 15-4 ATS.
Throw in the fact that Michigan has cashed in 23 of its last 29 games as a pup (including, as mentihned, the last 10 in a row) and five of six at neutral sites, and I’ll gladly take the double digits with a Michigan team that upset Duke the last time these teams met in 2008 (winning 87-73 as a 9½-point pup in 2008).
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