4-14-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 4/14

MLB Apr 14 '11
8:10p Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals
Take: Kansas City Royals -127
4* MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -127

[golden contender]

GC MLB Play

Thursday AL Total of the Month from 95% Totals system that Beats Posted total by Over 3 Runs Per game + MLB 11-1 Power System Side and Triple Angle NHL Total. NBA Season ends with Sweep. MLB free Play below.


On Thursday the Free MLB System play is on the Kansas City Royals. Game 918 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals are playing good ball right now and return home off a solid road dog win, which saw them score 10 runs in a big win in Minnesota. That big win coupled with the Seattle Mariners home dog loss sets up a solid system that plays on the Royals tonight. What we want to do is play on home favorites that scored 10 or more runs in a road dog win where they won by 5 or more runs and are taking on a team off a home dog loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs. This system has cashed 9 of 11 times since 2004. The Royals are averaging 7 runs per game over the last 7 games and 6 runs per game at home this season. The Mariners have D. Fister going tonight and he has been just average in 3 starts, all at home vs KC compiling a 4.50 era. The Mariners have a bullpen with a 6.75 road era. KC Has B. Chen going tonight and he has decent numbers vs Seattle. Look for KC to get game 1 of the series tonight. On Thursday I have the AL Total of the Month from a solid 95% system that beats the posted total by over 3 runs per game. I also have a big 11-1 MLB Power system side and a triple angle NHL Playoff total. . Jump on and Cash Big on Thursday. For the free Play take the Kansas City Royals. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton 4/14

N.L. Game of the Month

Dodgers -120

Kuroda must start or play is void.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 100* Orioles +175

[Mr. IWS]

mti-
Matchup: Florida at Atlanta
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Nolasco, Ricky (R) vs. Beachy, Brandon (R)


Play: Florida (ML +157)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 14, 2011 @ 9:02:43 AM EDT

Josh Johnson pitched a gem yesterday and the Marlins won 5-1 to even the series at one. Florida went up 5-0 after the first three innings and ended up outhitting the Braves 8-2. We like the Fish to take the series here. The Braves are a money-burning 23-29 as a home favorite when they are off a night loss in which they never led.
Florida, on the other hand, is 9-0 after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base and 6-0 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a win in which they never trailed.
The last time the Braves saw Nolasco, they sent him to the showers after two-plus innings and won 12-3. Ricky is very reliable in this spot. The Marlins are a perfect 4-0 as a road dog with Nolasco when seeking same-season revenge for a lost in Nolasco’s last start vs this opponent. In these four games, Nolasco has four quality starts, allowing an average of 2.0 runs in 7.2 innings with a WHIP of 0.95. Good enough for us to back him at this price vs Brandon Beachy.
MTi’s FORECAST: Florida 4 ATLANTA 2


Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Wolf, Randy (L) vs. Maholm, Paul (L)


Play: Pittsburgh (ML +106)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 14, 2011 @ 9:02:43 AM EDT

The Pirates have lost Maholm’s first two starts of the season and the Pirates have been significantly underestimated when they lost their starter’s last two starts. In fact, Since June 19 last season, Pittsburgh is a very profitable 17-8 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started. They are 5-0 their last five in this situation and they were the dog every time – as they are here. Going back further, we find that Paul Maholm is THE MAN in this spot. In his career, the Pirates are 17-4 at home when the Pirates lost his last two starts.
In addition, Pittsburgh’s trend number four from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible tells us that: “The Pirates are 14-0 (+3.2 rpg) since June 2006 at home when they are off a loss in which their opponent left fewer than ten men on base and had more than five hits, as long as the Pirates were not a 180-plus dog in that loss.”
Also from the Bible: “The Brewers are 0-8 (-5.8 rpg) since 2009 after a win as a favorite in which they had fewer than four team-left-on-base.”
Finally, the Brewers have not had the “eye-of-the-tiger” in this situation. Milwaukee is 5-26 at night in the last game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a win in which they never trailed.
We’ll take the live home dog.
MTi’s FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 4 Milwaukee 3

[Mr. IWS]

mti-
Matchup: Florida at Atlanta
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Nolasco, Ricky (R) vs. Beachy, Brandon (R)


Play: Florida (ML +157)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 14, 2011 @ 9:02:43 AM EDT

Josh Johnson pitched a gem yesterday and the Marlins won 5-1 to even the series at one. Florida went up 5-0 after the first three innings and ended up outhitting the Braves 8-2. We like the Fish to take the series here. The Braves are a money-burning 23-29 as a home favorite when they are off a night loss in which they never led.
Florida, on the other hand, is 9-0 after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base and 6-0 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a win in which they never trailed.
The last time the Braves saw Nolasco, they sent him to the showers after two-plus innings and won 12-3. Ricky is very reliable in this spot. The Marlins are a perfect 4-0 as a road dog with Nolasco when seeking same-season revenge for a lost in Nolasco’s last start vs this opponent. In these four games, Nolasco has four quality starts, allowing an average of 2.0 runs in 7.2 innings with a WHIP of 0.95. Good enough for us to back him at this price vs Brandon Beachy.
MTi’s FORECAST: Florida 4 ATLANTA 2


Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Wolf, Randy (L) vs. Maholm, Paul (L)


Play: Pittsburgh (ML +106)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 14, 2011 @ 9:02:43 AM EDT

The Pirates have lost Maholm’s first two starts of the season and the Pirates have been significantly underestimated when they lost their starter’s last two starts. In fact, Since June 19 last season, Pittsburgh is a very profitable 17-8 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started. They are 5-0 their last five in this situation and they were the dog every time – as they are here. Going back further, we find that Paul Maholm is THE MAN in this spot. In his career, the Pirates are 17-4 at home when the Pirates lost his last two starts.
In addition, Pittsburgh’s trend number four from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible tells us that: “The Pirates are 14-0 (+3.2 rpg) since June 2006 at home when they are off a loss in which their opponent left fewer than ten men on base and had more than five hits, as long as the Pirates were not a 180-plus dog in that loss.”
Also from the Bible: “The Brewers are 0-8 (-5.8 rpg) since 2009 after a win as a favorite in which they had fewer than four team-left-on-base.”
Finally, the Brewers have not had the “eye-of-the-tiger” in this situation. Milwaukee is 5-26 at night in the last game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a win in which they never trailed.
We’ll take the live home dog.
MTi’s FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 4 Milwaukee 3

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO
10 UNIT GM2 MLB Colorado Rockies, -115 ML
3 UNIT MLB Oakland Athletics, -155 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

8* Kings / Sharks Under 5