6-8-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns | MLB Money Line Wed, 06/08/11 - 7:05 PM ÀÔ

triple-dime bet 972 NYY (-130) Hilton vs 971 BOS
Analysis: I'm playing on the NEW YORK YANKEES. The Red Sox put up three in the top of the first inning yesterday and never looked back, eventually earning a 6-4 victory. Today, I expect the Yankees to bounce back with and even up the series.

Burnett had been really struggling on the road for some time. In fact, before his last start, he was 0-5 with a 5.64 ERA in his previous 11 road starts. He changed that last time out though, "getting the monkey off his back" with a solid victory at Oakland. Now, he returns home, where he's been pitching well all season. I look for him to keep the positive momentum going for another start.

Burnett is 5-1 with a very solid 3.63 ERA and 1.142 WHIP at home. He's averaging greater than six innings per start here. His teams are also 5-1 his last six home starts in the month of June.

Burnett has only made one home start vs. the Red Sox, as a member of the Yankees. He tossed 7 2/3 shutout innings in that 8/7/2009 game, leading the Yankees to a 2-0 victory.

The Red Sox won Wakefield's last road start. However, they're still 3-7 his last 10 away from Fenway. They're also 2-5 in his last seven road starts vs. the Yankees, dating back to 2005. Overall, the Red Sox are an ugly 5-11 in Wakefield's last 16 starts vs. the Yankees.

The Red Sox check in with at 5-9 (-5.4) the last 14 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of 10 or 10.5. During that stretch, the Yankees have gone 37-18 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 10 or 10.5. With Burnett getting the better of Wakefield, I expect them to pad those stats here. 3*


Pick Made: Jun 8 2011 7:36AM PST