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The Pirates have been playing well, winning four of six. The Pirates are 5-2 in their last seven games following a loss and have Jeff Karstans on the hill today, a guy with a 2.66 ERA, quietly having a great season. He's allowed just 65 hits and 12 walks in 71 innings and has been on a tear of late, with a 0.44 ERA in his last three starts. Cleveland has the bigger name pitcher in this one with Justin Masterson, who had that great April. However, this is a guy is overvalued by oddsmakers. He is susceptible to lefty bats with his funky underhand delivery and has been a money-loser, with the Indians going 1-7 in his last eight starts. In addition, the Indians are 5-11 in their last 16 overall.
Play the Pirates.
DAVID BANKS (comp)
Push yesterday with the Over Detroit / Cincinnati
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
The weekend’s Interleague action closes out on Sunday night at historic Wrigley Field where CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees will hope to be in a position to win their series against the Chicago Cubs and starter Randy Wells.
The Yankees were seemingly out of it in the team’s series opener on Friday, but that was well understandable with NY just sweeping the defending AL champion Texas Rangers in the Bronx in their previous series; a bit of a hangover was expected and Chicago capitalized on it. The defeat dropped manager Joe Girardi’s outfit to 16-12 as a visitor on the year ($360) but the Yankees still remain a lucrative 19-7 their L/26 vs. NL Central opposition heading into Game 2 on Saturday.
Chicago looks to have a bit of a pulse right now leaving many on the Northside of Chicago wondering if this is just a recovery period or if this is the type of baseball Cub Nation should get used to taking in the rest of the season. Capturing the series opening win against the Yankees was just the cherry on top of the sundae after Chicago took three of four from the division leading Milwaukee Brewers its previous series. Still, the Cubs sit 11-games under .500 and have cost MLB bettors upwards of $1050 on the year.
New York will send lefty CC Sabathia to the starting bump for the 16th time on Sunday night; the Yankees have won 10 of his outings to date and he’s been at his best on the road going 5-2 with a 2.28 ERA. New York’s captured wins in seven of its L/8 Game 3s played and are also 4-1 in the veteran’s L/5 Interleague starts. It’s been a rough go for sinkerballer Randy Wells thus far. He’s 1-1 with a lofty 5.62 ERA & 1.58 WHIP, but is coming off his best effort of the season since coming off the DL. Chicago’s just 1-4 its L/5 vs. a lefty and have failed to win each of the L/5 times Wells tossed in a Game 3 series finale.
Analysis: I do not agree with the initial line move and will bite the fruit again. I've said for weeks that the Marlins biggest problem is not hitting with runners in scoring position, and sure enough they went 1-10 again yesterday, and still managed four runs. The Rays went 2-11 and managed seven runs. Neither team hit one over the fence. Both teams used three relief pitchers, so if either Shields or Volstad falter, this could get ugly.
Unsure of whether or not Stanton will play, but with a DH I am not overly concerned that Florida won't have sticks. Obviously I'd like to seem him in there. Volstad has given up runs to everyone. Shields had just shut out Boston, which is another reason he's so pricey. I am tempted to take the Florida RL at that number, but in the end have got to stick to what I try and do, which is ride the streaks. I suppose you could make the argument that having the Fish SCORE with runners on would be a streak as well, but the total involves both teams. No chance of the Rays getting shut down, and honestly Shields can at times pitch to the level of his competition. He threw quite a few pitches the last two games, and the last time he threw that many in two games he got hit pretty hard the next outing.
So, I looked at this last night, now I have got to make this play, as it's one that if I don't, after all the work, and it hits, I'll be pissed. It's my new thing of not holding back, as you guys saw yesterday, which also included two twitter winners that would have been paid plays if I didn't want to run the risk of going 0-7 publicly and taking shit. This is a solid play, and I honestly think it hits sooner rather than later.
---Start Time 4:10 PM EST---
Chicago White Sox/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS under 8 runs, 5 dimes
Each team is riding a four game Under-the-total streak, and the combination of these two starting pitchers should continue that trend. Phil Humber has been a nice surprise this year for the ChiSox, and he's been on a sick run lately. Humber has posted a 4-0 record over his last 7 starts with a sub-3.00 ERA to boot. His mound opponent is a rookie that's shown some serious stuff at Chase Field this season. I've followed Josh Collimenter closely, and this kid is no fluke. In 7 starts this year, Collimenter has managed an ERA close to 2.00 and WHIP under 1.00! He's just as comfortable at home, and until last game, he had a home scoreless streak of over 20 innings.
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