If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Without Albert Pujols, St. Louis can’t score many runs. They couldn’t score against Halladay, couldn’t score against Lee and won’t score against Oswalt today. Chris Carpenter is solid enough on the other side to keep this one under.
Yesterday, Cliff Lee worked a complete game shutout for Philly in the 4-0 win. The Phillies are 0-8-1 OU since April 17, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.
St. Louis is not a team known from breaking out right away after being shutout. The Cardinals are 2-9 OU since June 25, 2010 after being shutout for a net profit of $690 when playing the under.
This is the sixth of nine straight home games for St. Louis closing out this series tonight. The Cardinals are 0-7 OU since September 16, 2010 with a total over seven, coming off a loss, when playing at least their third straight home game and facing a right-handed starter.
St. Louis was able to defeat Oswalt once this season, 2-1, but he still pitched strong in that game. The Cardinals are 2-12-2 OU since August 17, 2010 as a favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $965 when playing the under.
Oswalt struggled a bit in his last start, allowing four runs while striking out just three batters in the loss to Seattle. The Phillies are 0-7-2 OU since August 22, 2010 when Roy Oswalt starts if he struck out no more than six batters in his last start and they scored no more than five runs last game.
While Chris Carpenter has been giving up plenty of overs lately, June is not the month where this usually happens. The Cardinals are 5-20-3 OU since June 02, 2004 when Chris Carpenter starts as a favorite in June for a net profit of $1465 when playing the under.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia 5, ST LOUIS 1
Game: New York at Tulsa (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York -4.5 (+100)
The Tulsa Shock won all of six games a year ago, and is off to a 1-6 start. Bettors have been able to take advantage of their poor play, as the books are padding their lines. But after four straight covers, they have backed off. The Liberty started slowly a year ago, but roared through the second half of the season, and find themselves in a similar position here as losers of four straight. Unlike most teams that go on cruise control coming to Tulsa, the Liberty will have a different agenda here and focus off of the four losses. New York is also 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. the Shock including 9-4 ATS on the road (Detroit/Tulsa).
I like New York.
1*Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals – DIAMONBACKS TO WIN (-105)
Daniel Hudson is back on the mound for the D’backs and looks to continue where he left off. Hudson pitched a complete game in his last tie out against the White Sox, giving up just 3 hits and 1 earned run. Over his last three games Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. On the season the D’backs young pitcher is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.
Felipe Paulino is on the mound for the Royals, and is looking for his first win of the season. Paulino has made 4 starts this season after joining the starting rotation, and has a 0-4 record, 4.10 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the year. His last start against St Louis wasn’t a good one, allowing 5 hits, 4 walks, and 4 earned runs in 6 innings of work (although the majority of the damage came in one inning). The Diamondbacks sit on top of the NL West, with 41 wins on the season, while the Royals are struggling going 11-26 in their last 37 games.
Note the Dbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 9-1 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series, and 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs a right handed starter. They are also 16-7 in their last 23 following a win and a stellar 24-11 in their last 35 overall. The Dbacks have had success with Hudson lately, going 6-1 in his last 7 starts, and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. The Royals are just 2-8 in their last 10 home games, and 12-30 in their last 42 games as an underdog. Kansas City has lost 4 straight games, and are 3-13 in their last 16 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game (lost 3-2 last night). Arizona has taken 4 straight games in Kansas City, and I like them to complete the sweep tonight.
Take the Dbacks on the moneyline.
New York Liberty vs. Tulsa Shock
Play: New York Liberty -3
The Tulsa Shock won all of six games a year ago, and is off to a 1-6 start. Bettors have been able to take advantage of their poor play, as the books are padding their lines. But after four straight covers, they have backed off. The Liberty started slowly a year ago, but roared through the second half of the season, and find themselves in a similar position here as losers of four straight. Unlike most teams that go on cruise control coming to Tulsa, the Liberty will have a different agenda here and focus off of the four losses. New York is also 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. the Shock including 9-4 ATS on the road (Detroit/Tulsa).
Comment